Abstract
Importance:
Since 2018, a movement has emerged to define Alzheimer disease (AD) as a purely biological entity based on biomarker findings. The recent revision of the Alzheimer Association (AA) criteria for AD furthers this direction. However, concerns about a purely biological definition of AD being applied clinically, the understanding of AD by society at large, and the translation of blood-based biomarkers into clinical practice prompt this International Working Group (IWG) updated recommendations.
Objective:
To consider the revised AA criteria and to offer an alternative definitional view of AD as a clinical-biological construct for clinical use. We update recommendations of the 2021 IWG diagnostic criteria for further elaborating at risk and presymptomatic states.
Evidence Review:
We searched PubMed for articles published between Jul 1, 2020, and March 1, 2024, using the terms “biomarker” OR “amyloid” OR “tau” OR “neurodegeneration” OR “preclinical” OR “CSF” OR “PET” OR “plasma” AND “Alzheimer’s disease”. We also searched the references of relevant articles.
Findings:
In the new AA diagnostic criteria, AD can be defined clinically as encompassing cognitively normal people having a core 1 AD biomarker. However, recent literature shows that the majority of biomarker positive cognitively normal individuals will not become symptomatic along a proximate timeline. In the clinical setting, disclosing a diagnosis of AD to cognitively normal people with only Core 1 AD biomarkers, represents the most problematic implication of a purely biological definition of the disease.
Conclusions and Relevance:
the ultimate aim is to foster effective AD treatments, including preventing symptoms and dementia. We consider that the approach of diagnosing AD without a clinical and biological construct as being unwarranted and potentially concerning without a clear knowledge of when or whether symptoms will ever develop. We recommend that amyloid-positive only and more generally most of biomarker positive cognitively normal individuals should not be labeled as having AD. Rather they should be considered as being atrisk. We see the expansion of presymptomatic AD as being a better diagnostic construct for those with a specific pattern of biomarkers, indicating that they are proximate to the expression of symptoms in the near future.
The recently revised AA criteria for Alzheimer disease (AD)1 propose to define AD on biological evidence only. The diagnosis of AD can be provided to cognitively normal people with evidence of “core 1 AD biomarkers” encompassing CSF ABeta and Tau ratios and plasma phosphoTau217 validated against amyloid PET, even though these new criteria do not recommend testing for these biomarkers in cognitively normal individuals. This raises the question of the role and influence of biomarkers in the diagnostic workup.
The value of biomarkers
In 2007, the International Working Group (IWG) revised the 1984 diagnostic criteria for AD and were the first to propose that the diagnosis of AD in patients with cognitive deficits could be anchored around the presence of biomarkers to support more accurate and earlier disease diagnosis2. Since then, brain amyloid PET has been shown to correlate with the presence and density of beta-amyloid plaques in autopsy-derived brain tissue samples. CSF and plasma amyloid and phospho-tau biomarkers have been validated against amyloid PET. These validations justify the inclusion and reimbursement of biomarkers in diagnostic work-ups in different countries. However, the clinical value and utility of these biomarkers or tests differ depending on the context, e.g., research or clinical settings, in which they are used3,4.
The availability of these biomarkers has radically changed both observational and clinical trial research5. They are regularly used to identify and confirm the presence of AD pathology with a strong emphasis on amyloid, to study the natural history of disease biology, to evaluate pharmacodynamic effects of treatment candidates, and as surrogate clinical outcomes in clinical trials. At variance with post-mortem investigation, which provides the final definitive but static information about lesions in the brain, these biomarkers allow dynamic in-vivo monitoring of pathological changes and inform about their relationships to the onset and progression of symptoms6. Each biomarker provides information about a type of pathological lesion or a process that has its own weight and contribution to the natural history of the disease. However, the so-called “AD core 1 biomarkers” are individually insufficient to account for the many mechanisms and interactions underlying the disease process. In turn, selected tau and amyloid biomarkers should be conceptualized as AD risk factors with different/specific weights and synergies across the disease continuum. The potential of many other biological markers is currently being actively investigated including markers of glial activation and neuroinflammation, such as GFAP and YKL-40; neurodegeneration, such as neurofilament light chain (NfL); as well as synaptic dysfunction and degeneration, such as neurogranin and SNAP-257.
In the clinical setting, amyloid and tau biomarkers are used to support or refute a clinically suspected diagnosis. As acknowledged by neuropathologists in a National Institute of Aging conference consensus in 20128, Alzheimer neuropathologic changes are necessary but not sufficient for establishing the diagnosis of AD. They concluded, aligned with its historical definition, that ‘Alzheimer disease’ is a clinico-pathological entity that should be disentangled from Alzheimer pathological changes, which are frequently observed in post-mortem brains of aged individuals who died without any cognitive or functional decline9. Additionally, lesions of different pathological nature are frequently observed post-mortem due to the high prevalence of comorbidities and to the synergy between pathologies10: combinations of alpha-synuclein aggregates (Lewy bodies), insoluble aggregates of TAR DNA-binding protein 43 (TDP-43), non-AD tauopathies, and vascular pathologies commonly exist alongside with amyloidopathy and AD tauopathy. These are more the norm than the exception in pathological studies11 on sporadic cases.
The inherent logic of the new AA criteria leads to the conclusion that the development of emerging biomarkers of co-pathologies, e.g., alpha-synuclein, TDP-43, and others in the future, could result in the diagnosis of two, three, or more different neurodegenerative diseases in a cognitively normal person, as a norm.11 While multiple diagnoses are common in elderly patients, it took decades of studies to demonstrate the superiority of the comorbidity-based versus the additive single-disease approach, now accepted as a valid clinical construct12. Therefore, we argue that biomarkers alone should remain markers of pathological processes and not markers of a specific disease8. Furthermore, the contribution of biomarkers in the clinical setting depends on the context of use3 and, importantly, should differ between the assessment of cognitively impaired and unimpaired individuals4.
Contribution of biomarkers in cognitively impaired patients
The combination of common (amnestic syndrome of the hippocampal type, logopenic aphasia, posterior cortical atrophy) or uncommon (cortico-basal syndrome, behavioral and dysexecutive variants) clinical phenotypes and the positivity of pathophysiological amyloid and tau biomarkers establishes the diagnosis of AD4. This association defines the clinical-biological entity of the disease, proposed by the IWG4, in line with the clinical-pathological description by Alois Alzheimer13,14 and the neuropathological consensus8. This scenario also enables a clinical-biological diagnosis at an early prodromal stage, i.e., once mild but definite symptoms are in place. The concept of AD as a clinical-biological entity has played a vital role in the FDA’s approval of anti-amyloid monoclonal in prodromal AD15–17. The clinical implications and associated diagnostic narrative of the IWG and AA criteria are similar in the case of such cognitively impaired biomarker-positive patients, but very different in cognitively normal individuals18.
Contribution of biomarkers in asymptomatic atrisk and presymptomatic AD
Many cognitively normal people, with or without cognitive complaints, seek expert advice for their memory concerns, subjective perception of cognitive decline, positive family history of AD, or simply the wish to know their risk of AD. These persons can present with normal objective memory and cognitive performance and ask for evidence-based and clinically meaningful answers. Here, it is again necessary to distinguish between research and clinical settings.
In the research setting, there is major interest in developing effective drugs or other interventions at the earliest point in time possible in persons with an increased risk of progression to AD dementia. Functional recovery as a treatment outcome is highly unlikely once the degeneration in neural networks has reached a threshold of severity. We are in support of all research efforts in the field to move towards the goal of decreasing the incidence of cognitive impairment in cognitively normal persons at risk. As brain β-amyloidosis is an acknowledged risk factor for the onset of clinical symptoms, we endorse the view that clearing amyloid burden may possibly reduce the risk of future cognitive impairment –under certain conditions– analogous to treating vascular risk factors to prevent myocardial infarction or stroke. The vascular analogy has been endorsed by the international Dominantly Inherited Alzheimer Network, which has used the hypercholesterolemia/heart disease analogy to interpret their results on biomarker changes in autosomal dominant AD19.
In the clinical setting, extending the diagnosis of AD to cognitively normal people with only core 1 AD biomarkers, represents the most problematic implication of diagnostic criteria that have a purely biological definition of the disease. The argument invoked by the AA workgroup is the analogy with cancer, where less severe stages, such as in situ gastric or breast cancer, allow the earliest possible diagnosis and the most favorable outcomes1.20 In these cancer scenarios, an asymptomatic incubation period is followed by gradual and steady growth resulting in the occurrence of the clinical symptoms over a fairly predictable time course. This scenario is fitting for the autosomal dominant form of AD, where fully penetrant monogenic mutations in the APP, PSEN-1, and PSEN-2 genes identify persons who will almost invariably develop symptoms during their normal lifespan and to Down syndrome where the abnormal production of β-amyloid is responsible for the almost universal development of AD dementia21.
The model cannot be transferred to cognitively normal individuals with sporadic Alzheimer pathologic changes, as their lifetime risk of becoming symptomatic is much lower. Indeed, the lifetime risk of AD dementia in a 65-year-old man who is amyloid-biomarker positive has been estimated at 21.9%, a mere 1.7 times higher than the risk of amyloid negative of similar age22. Other reports have confirmed these estimates, with a lack of significant clinical progression in the ADNI cohort in cognitively normal individuals with isolated abnormal amyloid biomarker after an 8-year follow-up23, while in research cohorts, only 17% of these individuals of cognitively normal individuals with isolated abnormal amyloid biomarker progressed to mild cognitive impairment over six years24. Therefore, the revised AA criteria, proposing that a diagnosis of AD can be reduced to the sole presence of one AD core 1 biomarkers, may introduce major uncertainty and variability in the clinical prognosis of patients diagnosed with AD1. The risk of progression of those who have abnormal amyloid biomarker is marginally increased, including in those with combined abnormal amyloid and tau biomarkers (i.e., soluble AD Tau biomarkers [“T1” biomarkers according to the AA framework: HR = 1.08–1.31]25, and unstratified Tau PET positivity [35% of progression after 7 years of follow-up])25.26 However, the risk of progression to AD dementia significantly increases when the aggregated forms of tau spread out in neocortical areas24. This biomarker profile, together with other specific conditions (Panel 1), suggests that the underpinning pathological processes are active and that the development of clinical symptoms in the near future may be virtually inevitable. We do foresee the evolution of the diagnostic construct we have introduced previously of presymptomatic AD as applying well within the diagnostic lexicon. In its initial iteration, it was introduced within the IWG framework for monogenic fully penetrant AD mutations. We foresee being able to add new biomarker profiles within this presymptomatic grouping. Currently, long-term evidence for clinical progression remains limited and estimates are based on non-representative convenience cohorts of relatively small group size.
To summarize, the IWG approach allows the identification of two different categories of cognitively normal biomarker-positive subjects with different specific management strategies (Panel 1). First, individuals who are (A+) and (A+ and T1+) have an increased but far from a convincing benchmark of certainty of developing clinical AD within their expected lifetimes. These subjects should be labeled “at-risk,” and their follow-up in longitudinal cohorts will identify the modulating factors increasing/decreasing the risk of dementia and the likely emergence of symptoms. Second, individuals who are cognitively normal but are already on the path to clinical disease. We anticipate a realistic future where more and more of these individuals could be considered presymptomatic AD on the basis of models that incorporate a multiplicity of predictive biomarkers. (Panel 1)
The pathophysiological framework
The above classification derives from a theoretical pathophysiological framework recently developed as a revision of the traditional amyloid cascade, the probabilistic amyloid cascade model27. This model postulates decreasing penetrance of the phenotype from autosomal dominant mutations (almost complete penetrance) to APOEε4 carrier status (intermediate penetrance) and APOEε4 non-carrier status (lowest penetrance) due to the increasing effect of stochastic factors (non-APOE genes, environmental exposures, co-pathology). It further implies that brain amyloidosis in cognitively normal persons is a risk factor for cognitive impairment and dementia, and that the risk is higher in APOEε4 carriers.
The model further implies that the risk of progression to cognitive impairment in the asymptomatic at-risk can be estimated by considering both markers of Alzheimer pathology (amyloid and tau), other pathologies including TDP 43, vascular and Lewy body, resilience, lifetime and environmental factors, genetics, and other biomarker risk factors10,28. The model is consistent with the view that amyloid and tau biomarkers can be used in combination to diagnose AD in cognitively impaired patients.29
The societal impact
the consideration of whether cognitively normal persons with positive biomarkers for Alzheimer pathology should be labeled as asymptomatic atrisk or already affected by AD, is not “just semantics”, because behind the different concepts and semantic differences lie different strategies of management of these persons (Table 1). There is a need to acquire detailed personalized risk knowledge and to be able to communicate this effectively in clinical practice.
Table 1:
Differentiating Diagnostic Approaches to AD
| AA 2024 | IWG 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Definition of Alzheimer disease | Biological (“AD should be defined biologically, not based on a clinical syndrome”) | Clinical-biological (“AD is a clinical-biological construct”) |
| A biomarker-positive cognitively normal person can be diagnosed with AD | A biomarker-positive cognitively normal person cannot be diagnosed with AD* | |
| Implications in diagnostic disclosure of subject status | Cognitively normal persons with one positive core 1 AD biomarker can be told they have AD | Cognitively normal persons with positive AD biomarker can be told they are at-risk for AD* |
| Demonstration of efficacy on clinical parameters may not be necessary. | Demonstration of efficacy on clinical parameters is necessary. |
AA= Alzheimer Association; IWG= International Working Group
BM= biomarker;
except in the rare cases fulfilling the requirements for presymptomatic AD (see text)
A rich literature is available on the safety of disclosure of amyloid status to cognitively normal people30,31. The disclosure narrative and the way results are communicated have a significant impact on patient experience and involve clarifying that amyloid status does not equal AD32,33.
We cannot see any benefit in providing a diagnosis of AD to those who are cognitively normal with positive biomarker subjects with a high chance of never developing cognitive impairment in their lifetime. The resulting psychological and societal consequences of being diagnosed with AD and never developing symptoms can be consequential34,35. In addition, recent findings show that high-dose gantenerumab achieved similar amyloid PET clearance as approved aducanumab despite its lack of clinical effectiveness.36,37 This demonstrates the potential liability of the clinical and biological dissociation of AD definition regarding drug approval. This decision becomes particularly challenging when dealing with biomarker-positive cognitively normal individuals, as the clinical effects may be more delayed in this population. There is a greater inclination to depend on a surrogate biomarker to account for the delayed clinical effect when evaluating this group38, which adds to the uncertainty in determining treatment efficacy, especially if the biomarker is definitory, as proposed by the AA.
Last, the potential for diagnostic error should not be underestimated, considering realistic statistical parameters of the respective biomarkers in real-world clinical practice, e.g., PPV and NPV, that are, by definition, influenced by the disease prevalence in a given context of use3. In principle, a protein biomarker always delivers a probabilistic distinction of groups as opposed to genetic biomarkers, which may offer a deterministic separation of groups. As an example, cut-off points for AD biomarkers extrapolated from White North American and European population samples to more diverse populations have uncovered significant differences.39 Hence, interpreting biomarkers in the clinical context is crucial, as also emphasized by the AA criteria. This underscores the inherent limitations of relying solely on a biological definition of AD in clinical practice.1
The potential consequences are easily understandable for patients consulting for a benign memory complaint due to attention disorders or age-related changes and the biomarker positivity representing a false positive diagnosis40. These risks will be amplified when testing is done directly to the consumer as it is currently becoming available commercially and through online sources without physician or clinician involvement. Given the current availability of blood-based biomarkers for amyloid and tau, an explosion of cognitively normal persons who are labeled as having “Alzheimer disease” on a purely biological definition of the disease may be expected41. As a result, increasing societal pressure for anti-tau or anti-amyloid drugs to prevent cognitive decline is foreseeable, including treatment offlabel in persons who are cognitively normal.
The AA’s criteria do not endorse having the use of biomarkers to identify AD in those who are cognitively normal. Unfortunately, there may be no realistic way to control access to these biomarkers or diagnosis or treatment when a biomarker only diagnosis is made according to these criteria. Considering the concerns raised above, we believe that it is necessary to provide a clearer message on this critical issue. We recommend that routine diagnostic testing should not be performed in cognitively normal individuals outside of research purposes at this time. In this population, biomarkers of amyloid pathology are not diagnostic markers but risk markers. Risk assessment differs from diagnostic assessment, which can be done in the context of non-diagnostic patient journeys41,42.
Diagnostic criteria for AD can have far-reaching societal, political, organizational, and economic implications. We want to restrict the focus in this position paper to the scientific evidence and clinical impact on healthcare practice of these proposed revised criteria. Considering AD as a purely biological entity may be useful for research studies in cognitively normal individuals. However, the IWG’s approach of considering biomarker positivity in the absence of cognitive impairment as a risk condition rather than a disease, in most cases, increases the motivation for secondary prevention treatments. It also enhances the societal relevance of AD, similar to the impact of risk factors for cardiovascular diseases42,43. Instead, it will help better assess the risk/benefit ratio of drugs according to each context of use. Moreover, communicating a risk condition may stimulate these individuals to control their risk factors and change their lifestyle, as well as prompting public health policymakers to foster initiatives and programs for reducing dementia risk at the population level.
The future: defining the risk in cognitively normal individuals.
The conceptual approach proposed by the IWG is to maintain the essential clinical-pathological concept of AD14. We separate asymptomatic at-risk individuals from those who already have the disease. Persons who are asymptomatic at-risk deserve full research interest and engagement since current estimates of their cumulative risk of progression to cognitive impairment are undetermined and need to be defined according to their genetic and biomarker profile, factors of risk or prevention, lifestyle and potential mechanism of resilience. Individual cumulative risk profiling will drive strategies for risk reduction, including treatments with acceptable risk/benefit/cost ratio. The need is urgent to better estimate the risk of progression in the asymptomatic at-risk and the presymptomatic at large, from well-designed observational representative population-based studies with long follow-up and accurate measurements of baseline modifiable risk factors and biomarkers of Alzheimer pathology43,44. The study of groups for whom this information is lacking (e.g., non-white and ethnic minorities and populations from low and middle-income countries) is of utmost importance, as their dementia risk factors may differ.
There are task forces actively engaged in devising practical solutions for the asymptomatic at-risk and the presymptomatic persons. In particular, Brain Health Services for the Prevention of Dementia (dBHS) will offer: i) evaluation of risk; ii) communication of risk; and iii) risk reduction interventions targeting modifiable risk factors and disease modifiers when these will be shown effective42. Over time, the scenario might further evolve when well-tolerated drug treatments are developed. In such cases, a lower threshold of risk could be proposed for a preventive treatment in asymptomatic at-risk individuals.
To conclude, IWG continues to advocate for AD as is a clinical-biological entity.
In a clinical setting, a diagnosis of AD is made in the presence of established clinical phenotype with supportive pathophysiological biomarkers of AD pathology (CSF biomarkers, amyloid or Tau PET, or plasma biomarkers such as p-tau 217 pending their approval in clinical practice). The AD diagnosis encompasses the prodromal AD (predementia) and AD dementia stages, as these are just stages of the same disease.
The IWG discourages the use of biomarker investigation in cognitively normal individuals with or without complaints (e.g. in the so-called subjective cognitive decliners) to diagnose AD. Biomarker investigations in cognitively normal individuals can be done in the context of ad hoc non-diagnostic patient journeys aiming to evaluate the risk of future cognitive impairment, to communicate it, and to put in place risk reduction interventions. Pilot experiences of such patient journeys are currently in a research phase services, and might move into the clinic after due validation. Studies of cognitively normal subjects with positive AD biomarkers are important for defining predictive algorithms and risk estimates of progression to clinical symptoms. A very limited number of these subjects will be considered presymptomatic because of a genetic autosomal dominant mutation or because of a very high risk for imminent cognitive impairment due to a particular biomarker profile. All the other biomarker-positive individuals, much more numerous, should be considered as asymptomatic at-risk.
Future research should study cognitively normal persons in two main directions: i) observational longitudinal studies with long follow-up where lifestyle risk factors and biomarkers are simultaneously assessed to accurately estimate the independent weight of each on the incidence of cognitive impairment and dementia. ii) interventional clinical trials, to test the efficacy of drugs against Alzheimer pathology and other risk reduction strategies in reducing the incidence of cognitive impairment and assess the therapeutic risk/benefit profiles.
Panel 1- The 2024 IWG lexicon
We encourage the use of the following terms “at-risk for Alzheimer disease”, “presymptomatic Alzheimer disease” and “Alzheimer disease” according to the following definitions.
- Asymptomatic at-risk for AD:
- Refers to cognitively normal individuals at increased risk of developing cognitive impairment because of uncertain/undetermined risk associated with a given biomarker profile.
- With currently available data, the biomarker profile corresponds to brain amyloidosis either isolated or associated with tauopathy limited to the medial temporal regions or a positive phospho-tau fluid biomarker.
- The lifetime risk of progression to cognitive impairment is increased compared to biomarker-negative individuals but remains far from a deterministic rate for clinical progression.
- They should not be defined as having Alzheimer disease.
- Presymptomatic AD:
- Refers to cognitively normal subjects with a specific pattern of biomarkers associated with an almost deterministic and very high lifetime risk of progression.
- Examples of biomarker profiles associated with presymptomatic conditions:
- Highly penetrant autosomal dominant genetic mutations associated with a close to 100% lifetime risk of clinical AD: APP, PSEN1, PSEN2
- Persons affected with Down syndrome
- Sporadic AD pathology biomarker changes (+/− genetic background) associated with a very high lifetime risk of clinical AD such as amyloid PET(+) with tau PET(+) in neocortical regions24.
- Alzheimer disease:
- Refers to cognitively impaired individuals with:
- Specific clinical phenotypes: common (amnestic syndrome of the hippocampal type, logopenic aphasia, posterior cortical atrophy) or uncommon (cortico-basal syndrome, behavioral and dysexecutive variants)
- And a positivity of CSF or PET pathophysiological AD biomarkers4. Plasma biomarkers such as p-tau 217 may soon enter the routine clinical workup.
This includes the prodromal (mild cognitive impairment and no loss of function) and dementia (with loss of function) stages.
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