Abstract
Purpose:
Breast cancers with ESR1 mutations are resistant to antiestrogen therapy. In this study, we aimed to investigate the association of ESR1 mutations with resistance to CDK4/6 inhibitors (CDK4/6i) using real-world data analysis and experimental validation.
Patients and Methods:
A total of 3,958 patients with estrogen receptor-positive (ER+) metastatic breast cancer with DNA sequencing data were analyzed. Breast tumor DNA and circulating tumor (ct) DNA were sequenced using the Tempus xT tumor assay and Tempus xF liquid biopsy, respectively. Patients were stratified into either treated with CDK4/6i (tumor tissue: 1,070; ctDNA: 1,885) or CDK4/6i naïve (tumor tissue: 750; ctDNA: 253). Engineered MCF7 cells carrying ESR1 Y537S or D538G knock-in mutations were used to study antitumor efficacy of the CDK4/6i palbociclib in vitro and in vivo.
Results:
In both xF and xT assays, ESR1 mutations were the only somatic alterations significantly more frequent in patients who received CDK4/6i compared to those who did not. Knock-in of ESR1 Y537S or ESR1 D538G in MCF7 cells resulted in upregulation of cell cycle-related gene signatures upon treatment with CDK4/6i ± antiestrogen compared to cells with non-mutant ESR1. MCF7 xenografts harboring ESR1 Y537S and D538G mutations established in nude mice were resistant to palbociclib.
Conclusions:
We report herein real-world and preclinical evidence that ESR1 mutations, particularly Y537S and D538G, can drive resistance to CDK4/6 inhibitors.
Introduction
Breast cancer is one of the leading causes of cancer related deaths worldwide. Approximately 75% of breast cancers are comprised of the estrogen receptor-positive (ER+) subtype [1], which is heavily dependent on both ERα signaling and the cyclin D-CDK4/6-Rb-E2F axis [2]. Treatment of ER+ breast cancers with the combination of antiestrogens and CDK4/6 inhibitors (CDK4/6i) has provided substantial survival benefit to patients and is the current first-line standard of care in the metastatic setting [3–6]. However, virtually all advanced tumors eventually acquire resistance to this combination therapy.
Mutations in ESR1 (the gene encoding ERα) arise in approximately 20–40% of patients with recurrent ER+ breast cancer after adjuvant endocrine therapy. Most of these mutations occur in the ligand-binding domain (e.g., Y537S and D538G), resulting in estrogen-independent binding of ERα to coactivators and transcriptional activity. Consistent with this notion, ESR1 mutations are enriched in patients treated with long-term estrogen suppression with aromatase inhibitors (AI) and are associated with worse clinical outcomes [7, 8]. Despite studies suggesting that ESR1 mutations can drive resistance to antiestrogens, it is less clear whether the mutations also render ER+ breast cancer refractory to treatment with CDK4/6i.
In this study, we analyzed real-world DNA sequencing data from breast tumor biopsies and circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA). In both datasets, ESR1 mutations were significantly enriched in patients treated with CDK4/6i compared to those that were CDK4/6i naïve. Using genetically engineered cells and tumors, we further validated that ESR1 Y537S and D538G hotspot mutations can promote resistance to CDK4/6i ± antiestrogens both in vitro and in vivo. Taken together, this report sheds light on the role of ESR1 mutations in resistance to the current standard of care used in ER+ advanced breast cancer.
Materials and Methods
Study design
All patient demographic, clinical, and sequencing data were provided by Tempus AI, Inc. (www.tempus.com). This study was conducted on de-identified health information subject to an institutional review board (IRB) exempt determination (Advarra Pro00072742) and did not involve human subjects research. We retrospectively analyzed de-identified next generation sequencing (NGS) data of tumor tissue DNA (n=1,820) and ctDNA (n=2,138) from patients with ER+ metastatic breast cancer generated with the Tempus xT tumor assay (595–648 genes) or Tempus xF liquid biopsy assay (105–523 genes) between December 2017 and July 2023. For patients with multiple samples sequenced, the most recently collected sample was chosen for analysis and stratified by assay type (xT or xF). Patients were grouped into treated with CDK4/6i (xT: 1,070; xF: 1,885) or untreated (xT: 750; xF: 253), where treated is defined as earliest initiation of abemaciclib, palbociclib, or ribociclib prior to biopsy. It is possible that patients in the treated group were exposed to more than one CDK4/6i prior to sample collection. Patients in the untreated group were restricted to those who were biopsied within 30 days of metastatic diagnosis.
Cell lines and reagents
MCF7 parental, ESR1 Y537S, and ESR1 D538G cells were kindly provided by Dr. Ben Ho Park [9]. The cells were genotyped monthly using ddPCR in Dr. Park’s laboratory. We performed Sanger-seq to confirm the presence of the ESR1 Y537S and D538G knock-in mutations upon receiving the cell lines. We routinely tested the cells for mycoplasma using MycoAlert mycoplasma detection kit (Lonza, Cat. No. LT07–710) every 3 months. For all the described experiments, we used the cells within 10 passages after thawing. The cells were maintained in DMEM containing 10% FBS and 1x antibiotic-antimycotic (Invitrogen). Charcoal-stripped serum was purchased from Invitrogen. Fulvestrant and palbociclib were purchased from Tocris and MedChemExpress, respectively.
Dose response assays
Cells were seeded at a density of 1,000 cells/well in 96-well plates. Twenty-four hours after seeding, cells were treated with a dose range of palbociclib ± estrogen-free media or ± 1 nM fulvestrant in full media. Media and drugs were replenished on day 3 and cell viability was determined on day 6 using the CyQuant cell proliferation assay (Invitrogen).
RNA-sequencing
RNA extraction, library preparation, sequencing, and data analysis were conducted as described in our previous study [10]. The basal-like gene signatures used for the gene set variation analysis were described in previous studies [11, 12].
Xenograft studies
Animal studies were conducted according to a protocol approved by the UTSW Institutional Animal Care and Use Committee (IACUC protocol 2018–102359). Briefly, estrogen pellets (0.25 mg, 21-day release; Innovative Research of America) were implanted s.c. in the flank of ovariectomized female nude mice (Envigo, RRID: IMSR_ENV:HSD-069) one day before tumor cell inoculation. One million cells mixed in PBS:matrigel (1:1) were injected s.c. Mice with tumors measuring ≥200 mm3 were randomized to treatment with vehicle (0.5% methylcellulose) or palbociclib (50 mg/kg/day, via orogastric gavage). Tumors were serially measured and with calipers and volume in mm3 calculated using the formula: volume = width2 × length/2.
Immunohistochemistry (IHC)
Tumors were fixed in formalin and then embedded in paraffin. Five-μm tumor sections were used for IHC. Nuclear positivity of phosphorylated Rb (Cell Signaling, s8516, RRID: AB_11178658) and Ki67 (Agilent, IR62661-2, RRID: AB_2890068) was quantified by an expert breast pathologist blinded to treatment arm following the standard College of American Pathologists (CAP) breast tumor biomarkers scoring guidelines.
Data availability
Raw RNA-seq data generated in this study have been deposited in the Gene Expression Omnibus and are available under accession code GSE281302. Other raw data generated in this study are available upon reasonable request. The de-identified patient data utilized in this research were collected in a real-world healthcare setting and are subject to controlled access due to privacy and proprietary reasons. Public availability is restricted by ethics committee guidelines and/or informed consent. Where possible, derived data supporting the findings of this study have been included within the article and its Supplementary Figures/Tables.
Results
The genetic landscape of ER+ metastatic breast cancer
Patient demographics of the xF and xT cohorts are summarized in Table 1 and Table 2, respectively. The representativeness of study participants is summarized in Supplementary Table 1. Overall, 3,958 patients diagnosed with ER+/HER2-negative metastatic breast cancer were included in the analysis. The proportion of patients in the xF and xT cohorts was similar, with xF (n=2,138, 54%) being slightly higher than xT (n=1,820, 46%). In each cohort, patients were further stratified as treated or not with CDK4/6i. The majority of patients with prior CDK4/6i therapy in the xF (n=1,391, 74%) and xT (n=881, 82%) groups had received palbociclib. Mutation enrichment analysis identified TP53, PIK3CA, and ESR1 as the most frequent mutations in both xF and xT groups. There was no statistical difference in the frequency of PIK3CA mutations between CDK4/6i treated and CDK4/6i naïve patients in either the xF or xT groups, and no statistical difference in frequency of TP53 mutations between the treated and untreated groups within the xF cohort. In contrast, ESR1 was more frequently mutated in the treated vs. the untreated group in both xF (29.2% vs. 9.5%, q<0.001) and xT (32.1% vs. 4.8%, q<0.001) (Fig. 1A,B). Further analysis revealed a consistent enrichment of D538G, Y537S, and Y537N as the most frequent ESR1 mutations in the treated group vs. the untreated in both the xT and xF cohorts (Fig. 1C,D). In addition to ESR1, gene alterations in RB1 (5.6% vs. 1.6%, xF), FGFR1 (14.9% vs. 11.6%, xT), FGF3 (18.8% vs. 14.4%, xT), FGF4 (18.9% vs. 13.9%, xT), and CCND1 (19.7% vs. 15.6%, xT) were more frequent in the treated vs. the untreated group (Fig. 1A,B). Of note, FGF3, FGF4, and CCND1 are in the same 11q13 amplicon. Consistent with the TCGA database (Fig. 1E), the great majority of alterations in FGFR1, FGF3, FGF4, and CCND1 were copy number amplifications (Fig. 1F).
Table 1.
xF patient demographics
| Overall, N = 2,1381 | not treated with CDK4/6i, N = 2531 | treated with CDK4/6i, N = 1,8851 | p-value2 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age at Diagnosis | 57 (47, 65) | 59 (48, 66) | 57 (47, 65) | 0.2 |
| Unknown | 162 | 17 | 145 | |
| Gender | >0.9 | |||
| Female | 2,106 (99%) | 250 (99%) | 1,856 (98%) | |
| Male | 32 (1.5%) | 3 (1.2%) | 29 (1.5%) | |
| Race | >0.9 | |||
| White | 1,121 (76%) | 118 (78%) | 1,003 (76%) | |
| Black or African American | 159 (11%) | 14 (9.2%) | 145 (11%) | |
| Other Race | 126 (8.5%) | 14 (9.2%) | 112 (8.4%) | |
| Asian | 61 (4.1%) | 5 (3.3%) | 56 (4.2%) | |
| American Indian or Alaska Native | 10 (0.7%) | 1 (0.7%) | 9 (0.7%) | |
| Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander | 1 (<0.1%) | 0 (0%) | 1 (<0.1%) | |
| Unknown | 660 | 101 | 559 | |
| Ethnicity | 0.7 | |||
| Not Hispanic or Latino | 749 (84%) | 89 (86%) | 660 (84%) | |
| Hispanic or Latino | 140 (16%) | 15 (14%) | 125 (16%) | |
| Unknown | 1,249 | 149 | 1,100 | |
| Hormone Status | <0.001 | |||
| ER+, PR+, HER2- | 1,784 (83%) | 181 (72%) | 1,603 (85%) | |
| ER+, PR-, HER2- | 293 (14%) | 64 (25%) | 229 (12%) | |
| ER+, HER2- | 61 (2.9%) | 8 (3.2%) | 53 (2.8%) | |
| Months from Metastatic Disease to Sample Collection | 25 (8, 48) | 1 (0, 1) | 29 (14, 52) | <0.001 |
| Treated with abemaciclib | 494 (23%) | 0 (0%) | 494 (26%) | <0.001 |
| Treated with ribociclib | 291 (14%) | 0 (0%) | 291 (15%) | <0.001 |
| Treated with palbociclib | 1,391 (65%) | 0 (0%) | 1,391 (74%) | <0.001 |
Median (IQR); n (%)
Wilcoxon rank sum test; Fisher’s exact test; Pearson’s Chi-squared test
Table 2.
xT patient demographics
| Overall, N = 1,8201 | not treated with CDK4/6i, N = 7501 | treated with CDK4/6i, N = 1,0701 | p-value2 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age at Diagnosis | 56 (46, 64) | 58 (48, 67) | 55 (45, 63) | <0.001 |
| Unknown | 149 | 55 | 94 | |
| Gender | 0.7 | |||
| Female | 1,799 (99%) | 741 (99%) | 1,058 (99%) | |
| Male | 20 (1.1%) | 9 (1.2%) | 11 (1.0%) | |
| Unknown | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Race | 0.063 | |||
| White | 891 (79%) | 325 (75%) | 566 (80%) | |
| Black or African American | 121 (11%) | 57 (13%) | 64 (9.1%) | |
| Other Race | 70 (6.2%) | 27 (6.3%) | 43 (6.1%) | |
| Asian | 45 (4.0%) | 20 (4.6%) | 25 (3.6%) | |
| Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander | 5 (0.4%) | 0 (0%) | 5 (0.7%) | |
| American Indian or Alaska Native | 3 (0.3%) | 2 (0.5%) | 1 (0.1%) | |
| Unknown | 685 | 319 | 366 | |
| Ethnicity | 0.4 | |||
| Not Hispanic or Latino | 641 (90%) | 241 (92%) | 400 (89%) | |
| Hispanic or Latino | 69 (9.7%) | 22 (8.4%) | 47 (11%) | |
| Unknown | 1,110 | 487 | 623 | |
| Hormone Status | <0.001 | |||
| ER+, PR+, HER2- | 1,422 (78%) | 527 (70%) | 895 (84%) | |
| ER+, PR-, HER2- | 354 (19%) | 207 (28%) | 147 (14%) | |
| ER+, HER2- | 44 (2.4%) | 16 (2.1%) | 28 (2.6%) | |
| Months from Metastatic Disease to Sample Collection | 9 (0, 35) | 0 (0, 0) | 30 (15, 51) | <0.001 |
| Treated with abemaciclib | 213 (12%) | 0 (0%) | 213 (20%) | <0.001 |
| Treated with ribociclib | 125 (6.9%) | 0 (0%) | 125 (12%) | <0.001 |
| Treated with palbociclib | 881 (48%) | 0 (0%) | 881 (82%) | <0.001 |
Median (IQR); n (%)
Wilcoxon rank sum test; Pearson’s Chi-squared test; Fisher’s exact test
Figure 1. ESR1 mutations are enriched post treatment with CDK4/6i.

A-B) The ten most frequent genes with pathogenic/likely pathogenic (P/LP) somatic short variant or copy number alterations in xF (A) and xT (B). C-D) Percentage of the ten most frequent ESR1 mutations in xF (C) and xT (D). E) Frequencies of alterations in FGFR1, FGF3, FGF4, and CCND1 in the TCGA database. The tile plot was generated using cBioPortal (https://www.cbioportal.org/). F) Alteration types of FGFR1, FGF3, FGF4, and CCND1 in xF and xT.
To elucidate whether different genetic alterations are enriched as a function of which CDK4/6i received, we analyzed both xF and xT cohorts by stratifying patients based on the CDK4/6i they had received. For this analysis, we excluded patients who received none or more than one kind of CDK4/6i. In the xF cohort, of the genes with significantly different frequencies, ESR1 was most frequently altered in the palbociclib group (q=0.005), whereas BRCA2 was more frequently altered in the ribociclib group (q=0.005). Further analysis of individual ESR1 mutations showed that Y537S and D538G were more frequently altered in the palbociclib group (q=0.002 and q=0.047, respectively) compared to ribociclib and abemaciclib. In the xT cohort, alterations in ESR1 trended higher in the palbociclib group but this difference was not statistically significant. There were no statistically significant differences in frequency of Y537S or D538G alterations between different CDK4/6i-treated groups. In contrast to the xF cohort, the lack of statistical significance in the xT cohort is likely due to a smaller number of treated patients in this cohort (Supplementary Tables 2-5).
ESR1 hotspot mutations promote resistance to CDK4/6i
Recent studies suggest that ESR1 mutations are associated with resistance to antiestrogens in ER+ breast cancer [7], yet it remains unclear whether ESR1 mutations can also promote resistance to CDK4/6i. In a cell proliferation assay, ESR1 Y537S or D538G knock-in mutations in MCF7 cells resulted in a 2.7-fold increase in the IC50 of palbociclib as opposed to cells with wild-type (WT) ESR1. The increase of palbociclib IC50 was magnified up to 46.9- and 29.1-fold when cells were in estrogen-deprived media (mimicking patients treated with an AI) or treated with the ER degrader fulvestrant, respectively (Fig. 2A). Potential clonal effects were ruled out by testing two individual clones for each Y537S and D538G cells in the same experimental settings (Supplementary Fig. 1). Consistent with the results with palbociclib, both ESR1 Y537S and D538G also reduced sensitivity to ribociclib alone or in estrogen-deprived media, compared to WT (Supplementary Fig. 2).
Figure 2. ESR1 alterations promote resistance to palbociclib ± antiestrogens in vitro and in vivo.

A) Dose response curves of palbociclib. MCF7 cells carrying ESR1 wild-type (WT, black), Y537S (red) or D538G (green) were treated with a dose range (0–10 µM) of palbociclib (Palbo) ± estrogen deprivation (E2-) or 1 nM fulvestrant (Fulv). After 6 days of treatment, cell viability was measured by the CyQUANT assay (n=3). B) Tumor volume of MCF7 ESR1 WT (n=12), Y537S (n=8), and D538G (n=8) xenografts in ovariectomized female nude mice. The mice were treated with vehicle or 50 mg/kg palbociclib p.o. for 4 weeks. C) Comparison of the fold change in tumor volume at the end of palbociclib treatment of tumors described in (B). D-E) IHC of Ki67 (D) and pRBS807 (E). Representative images were shown on the left, and quantitative results of IHC were shown on the right. Data represent mean ± SD; Statistical analysis: One-way ANOVA with a Dunnett’s post-hoc analysis.
Next, we examined whether the ESR1 hotspot mutations promote resistance to CDK4/6i in vivo. For this purpose, we treated ovariectomized female nude mice bearing established MCF7 ESR1 WT, Y537S, or D538G xenografts with vehicle or palbociclib. Treatment of ESR1 WT xenografts with palbociclib arrested tumor growth throughout 30 days of the regimen. On the contrary, ESR1 D538G xenografts were completely resistant to palbociclib (Fig. 2B). Although palbociclib delayed tumor growth of ESR1 Y537S xenografts, the statistically significant increase in tumor volume upon treatment with palbociclib compared to ESR1 WT suggested that this mutation desensitizes MCF7 xenografts to therapeutic inhibition of CDK4/6 (Fig. 2B,C). Consistent with these results, IHC of the MCF7 xenografts revealed that ESR1 Y537S and D538G maintained higher levels of pRB and Ki67 compared to MCF7 ESR1 WT tumors upon treatment with palbociclib (Fig. 2D,E). Collectively, these data indicate that ESR1 Y537S and D538G can blunt the inhibitory effects of CDK4/6i on phosphorylation of RB and tumor growth.
To investigate the mechanisms underlying ESR1 mutations-mediated resistance to CDK4/6i, we performed RNA-seq analysis and found that, upon treatment with CDK4/6i ± estrogen-deprived media or fulvestrant, cells harboring ESR1 Y537S and D538G exhibited upregulation of E2F, G2M, and estrogen response Hallmark gene signatures compared to ESR1 WT cells (Fig. 3A). These results suggest that the ESR1 Y537S and D538G mutations enable continued expression of cell cycle-related genes even when CDK4/6 and ERα signaling are blocked. Of note, the RNA-seq analysis also revealed that ESR1 Y537S and D538G mutations upregulated basal-like gene signatures compared to WT cells (Fig. 3B). Consistent with previous studies, these results suggest that ESR1 Y537S and D538G mutations promote estrogen-independent cell growth and promote a luminal-to-basal subtype switch in ER+ breast cancer cells [11, 13, 14]. In line with this, the basal-like breast cancer subtype has been correlated with worse outcome to CDK4/6i clinically [15, 16], thus suggesting an additional epigenetic mechanism to explain how ESR1 mutations drive resistance to CDK4/6i.
Figure 3. ESR1 Y537 and D538G mutations are associated with upregulation of cell cycle-related and basal gene signatures.

A) RNA-seq based (ESR1-mutant vs. WT cells) gene set enrichment analysis of the Hallmark pathways. Total RNA was extracted after 48 h treatment with vehicle (DMSO) or 200 nM palbociclib ± estrogen deprivation or 1 nM fulvestrant (n=3). B) Gene set variation analysis (GSVA) of published basal gene signatures. RNA-seq data of vehicle-treated MCF7 ESR1 WT and mutant cells described in (B) were used for this analysis. NES: normalized enrichment score. Statistical analysis: One-way ANOVA with a Dunnett’s post-hoc analysis.
Discussion
In this study, we used real-world data to show that ESR1 mutations are enriched in ER+ breast cancer post treatment with CDK4/6i. The Tempus xT dataset used in this study has been partially reported by Rao X et al. [17]. We analyzed an updated xT dataset with more patient samples and with a complementary large liquid biopsy dataset not reported previously. Consistent with the study by Rao X et al., mutations in ESR1, particularly Y537S and D538G, were significantly enriched post treatment with CDK4/6i. In addition, we show cellular and gene expression studies to address the causal role of ESR1 Y537S and D538G in CDK4/6i resistance.
In contrast to our findings, Wardell SE et al. reported that a patient-derived xenografts (PDX) harboring ESR1 Y537S remained sensitive to palbociclib monotherapy [18]. Of note, the dose of palbociclib used by Wardell SE et al. (125 mg/kg/day) was 2.5-fold higher than that used in our study (50 mg/kg/day), which effectively arrested growth and suppressed RB phosphorylation and Ki67 in MCF7 xenografts carrying ESR1 WT but not ESR1 Y537S and D538G. Of note, a mouse equivalent dose of palbociclib given to human is 25.7 mg/kg after adjustment by body surface area [19]. Therefore, it is possible that the potentially supra-pharmacological doses of palbociclib used by Wardell SE et al. do not mirror those used in patients and can result in off-target effects, potentially explaining its antitumor action.
A few clinical studies have reported the correlation between ESR1 mutations and resistance to CDK4/6i. In the TREnd trial, ESR1 mutations were significantly correlated with worse prognosis in patients treated with palbociclib plus fulvestrant or an AI. When treated with palbociclib monotherapy, ESR1 mutations also trended with a worse prognosis (HR, 1.88; 95% CI, 0.47–7.56). Of note, an acquired ESR1 Y537N mutation was observed in a patient who progressed on palbociclib monotherapy after approximately 18 months of the treatment [20]. In another study, Park YH et al. showed that 33% of patients (7/21) who progressed on palbociclib plus an AI acquired ESR1 hotspot mutations [21]. In line with these findings, a recent retrospective study reported that in 5,910 patients with ER+ metastatic breast cancer, the prevalence of ESR1 mutations was 1.71-fold (95% CI, 1.11–2.81, p=0.0066) higher in those treated with first-line CDK4/6i plus an AI (35.8%) than those treated with first-line AI only (21.0%) [22]. In contrast, the MONARCH 3 trial reported a lower frequency of acquired ESR1 mutations in the abemaciclib plus AI arm (19.2%) vs. the placebo plus AI arm (30.4%) [23]. Notably, however, abemaciclib is also more active against other kinases (e.g., CDK1/2/7/9, GSK-3α/β, DYRK, etc.) [24], can be given continuously, and exhibits divergent toxicity profiles [25] compared to palbociclib and ribociclib.
A recent study by Wander SA et al. stratified a cohort into sensitive or resistant to CDK4/6i plus antiestrogen therapy and found that ESR1 mutations were more frequent in resistant (34.1%, 14/41) compared to sensitive tumors (16.7%, 3/18). Further subgroup analysis of the sensitive tumors discovered that ESR1 mutations were exclusive to patients who received palbociclib plus fulvestrant (60%, 3/5) vs. palbociclib plus AI (0%, 0/13) [26]. This result suggests that ER+ breast cancers with ESR1 mutations may still be sensitive to CDK4/6i plus fulvestrant or other selective ER degraders (SERDs). In line with this observation, analysis of PALOMA-3 [5] and MONARCH 2 [27] showed concordant results that fulvestrant plus CDK4/6i improved progression-free survival (PFS) when compared to fulvestrant alone, irrespective of ESR1 status.
In a pooled ctDNA analysis of the MONALEESA-2, -3, and -7 trials, the ribociclib arm provided similar PFS benefit in patients regardless of presence of ESR1 mutations. Although this analysis also included patients treated with ribociclib plus AI or tamoxifen (MONALEESA-2 and -7), the majority of evaluable patients with ESR1 mutations (62/92) were treated with ribociclib plus fulvestrant (MONALEESA-3) [28]. In addition, the PADA-1 trial, which enrolled patients with ER+ metastatic breast cancer harboring early identification of ESR1 mutations, revealed a better PFS in patients treated with fulvestrant plus palbociclib (11.9 months; 95% CI, 9.1–13.6) than with AI plus palbociclib (5.7 months; 95% CI, 3.9–7.5) [29]. Overall, these studies suggest that patients with ESR1 mutations may still benefit from an ERα degrader combined with a CDK4/6i.
Although we show that MCF7 cells harboring ESR1 Y537S and D538G are more resistant to palbociclib in the presence of fulvestrant compared to ESR1 WT, this preclinical finding is not concordant with the observation of the aforementioned clinical studies, which considered distinct ESR1 mutations as a whole. Of note, analysis of the PALOMA-3 trial suggests that ESR1 mutations are frequently subclonal with high levels of polyclonality, rendering ESR1 mutations only partially representative of the cancer overall [30]. Therefore, further investigation of individual ESR1 mutations is warranted, as their relative causality of a drug resistance phenotype may vary [7]. For example, analysis of the PALOMA-3 trial by O’Leary B et al., revealed both loss and newly acquired ESR1 mutations at progression compared to baseline. The clear enrichment of ESR1 Y537S mutation in patients treated fulvestrant ± palbociclib highlights that certain ESR1 mutations are advantageous under drug selection [31].
Collectively, strengths of this study include integrating real-world data and laboratory-based validation to elucidate a causal relationship between common ESR1 mutations and resistance to the standard treatment of ER+ breast cancer. These results, however, should be interpreted with caution. Only engineered MCF7 cells were used in our study. Confirmation using other ER+ breast cancer cells and xenografts with ESR1 knock-in mutations [32] should strengthen the evidence in support of our conclusions. MCF7 xenografts were used as a surrogate for metastatic lesions to evaluate activities of CDK4/6i in vivo. We recognize that these data may not necessarily inform clinical use of palbociclib and that there could be differences with abemaciclib and ribociclib. Additional in vivo studies to investigate the effects of ESR1 mutations on sensitivities to ribociclib and abemaciclib are warranted, as they may provide insights into the design and interpretation of future clinical studies.
In summary, this report provides real-world and preclinical evidence that supports ESR1 Y537S and D538G mutations as drivers of resistance to CDK4/6i. Future studies using additional in vitro and in vivo models are warranted to investigate the roles of individual ESR1 mutations, and to determine whether mutant ESR1-induced CDK4/6i resistance can be reversed by combined treatment with SERDs.
Supplementary Material
Translational relevance.
Combination treatment of CDK4/6i plus antiestrogen therapy is the current standard of care for patients with ER+ metastatic breast cancer. Mutations in ESR1 confer resistance to antiestrogen therapy in ER+ breast cancer. However, whether ESR1 mutations can directly promote CDK4/6i resistance remains unclear. We analyzed real-world data and identified ESR1 as the gene with the most significantly enriched mutations in patients with prior treatment with CDK4/6i. Using genetically engineered breast cancer cells tumors, we validated that ESR1 Y537S and D538G mutations can blunt the antitumor efficacy of CDK4/6i ± antiestrogens both in vitro and in vivo. These findings shed light on the role of ESR1 mutations in promoting resistance to CDK4/6i in ER+ breast cancer.
Acknowledgments
This work was supported by NCI P30 CA142543 (C.L. Arteaga) and R01 CA273246 (C.L. Arteaga and A.B. Hanker), BCRF DRC-20-001 (A.B. Hanker), and DOD BC 210406 (C.A. Lin). María Rosario Chica-Parrado received Mary Kay Ash Foundation International Postdoctoral Scholars in Cancer Research Fellowship.
Abbreviations list:
- AI
aromatase inhibitors
- CAP
College of American Pathologists
- CDK4/6i
CDK4/6 inhibitors
- CI
confidence interval
- ctDNA
circulating tumor DNA
- ER+
estrogen receptor-positive
- HR
hazard ratio
- IHC
Immunohistochemistry
- IRB
institutional review board
- NGS
next generation sequencing
- PDX
patient-derived xenografts
- SERDs
selective ER degraders
- WT
wild-type
Footnotes
Conflict of interest statement
C.L.A. receives or has received research grants from Pfizer and Lilly; and reports scientific advisory board remuneration from the Susan G. Komen Foundation. A.B.H. serves or has received in an advisory role to Trishula Therapeutics, Metavivor, and has received research grant support from Lilly. E.J., M.H., and C.C. are employees of Tempus AI, Inc. The remaining authors declare no conflicts of interest.
References
- 1.Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program (www.seer.cancer.gov) SEER*Stat Database: Incidence - SEER Research Data, 8 Registries, Nov 2023 Sub (1975–2021) - Linked To County Attributes - Time Dependent (1990–2022) Income/Rurality, 1969–2022 Counties, National Cancer Institute, DCCPS, Surveillance Research Program, released April 2024, based on the November 2023 submission. [Google Scholar]
- 2.Finn RS, Aleshin A, Slamon DJ: Targeting the cyclin-dependent kinases (CDK) 4/6 in estrogen receptor-positive breast cancers. Breast Cancer Res 2016, 18(1):17. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 3.Hortobagyi GN, Stemmer SM, Burris HA, Yap YS, Sonke GS, Hart L, Campone M, Petrakova K, Winer EP, Janni W et al. : Overall Survival with Ribociclib plus Letrozole in Advanced Breast Cancer. N Engl J Med 2022, 386(10):942–950. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 4.Slamon DJ, Neven P, Chia S, Fasching PA, De Laurentiis M, Im SA, Petrakova K, Bianchi GV, Esteva FJ, Martin M et al. : Overall Survival with Ribociclib plus Fulvestrant in Advanced Breast Cancer. N Engl J Med 2020, 382(6):514–524. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 5.Cristofanilli M, Rugo HS, Im SA, Slamon DJ, Harbeck N, Bondarenko I, Masuda N, Colleoni M, DeMichele A, Loi S et al. : Overall Survival with Palbociclib and Fulvestrant in Women with HR+/HER2- ABC: Updated Exploratory Analyses of PALOMA-3, a Double-blind, Phase III Randomized Study. Clin Cancer Res 2022, 28(16):3433–3442. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 6.Sledge GW Jr., Toi M, Neven P, Sohn J, Inoue K, Pivot X, Burdaeva O, Okera M, Masuda N, Kaufman PA et al. : The Effect of Abemaciclib Plus Fulvestrant on Overall Survival in Hormone Receptor-Positive, ERBB2-Negative Breast Cancer That Progressed on Endocrine Therapy-MONARCH 2: A Randomized Clinical Trial. JAMA Oncol 2020, 6(1):116–124. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 7.Grinshpun A, Chen V, Sandusky ZM, Fanning SW, Jeselsohn R: ESR1 activating mutations: From structure to clinical application. Biochim Biophys Acta Rev Cancer 2023, 1878(1):188830. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 8.Brett JO, Spring LM, Bardia A, Wander SA: ESR1 mutation as an emerging clinical biomarker in metastatic hormone receptor-positive breast cancer. Breast Cancer Res 2021, 23(1):85. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 9.Scott GK, Chu D, Kaur R, Malato J, Rothschild DE, Frazier K, Eppenberger-Castori S, Hann B, Park BH, Benz CC: ERpS294 is a biomarker of ligand or mutational ERα activation and a breast cancer target for CDK2 inhibition. Oncotarget 2016, 8(48):83432–83445. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 10.Lin CC, Chang TC, Wang Y, Guo L, Gao Y, Bikorimana E, Lemoff A, Fang YV, Zhang H, Zhang Y et al. : PRMT5 is an actionable therapeutic target in CDK4/6 inhibitor-resistant ER+/RB-deficient breast cancer. Nat Commun 2024, 15(1):2287. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 11.Li Z, McGinn O, Wu Y, Bahreini A, Priedigkeit NM, Ding K, Onkar S, Lampenfeld C, Sartorius CA, Miller L et al. : ESR1 mutant breast cancers show elevated basal cytokeratins and immune activation. Nat Commun 2022, 13(1):2011. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 12.Huper G and Marks JR: Isogenic normal basal and luminal mammary epithelial isolated by a novel method show a differential response to ionizing radiation. Cancer Res 2007, 67(7):2990–3001. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 13.Gu G, Tian L, Herzog SK, Rechoum Y, Gelsomino L, Gao M, Du L, Kim JA, Dustin D, Lo HC et al. : Hormonal modulation of ESR1 mutant metastasis. Oncogene 2021, 40(5):997–1011. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 14.Arnesen S, Blanchard Z, Williams MM, Berrett KC, Li Z, Oesterreich S, Richer JK, Gertz J: Estrogen Receptor Alpha Mutations in Breast Cancer Cells Cause Gene Expression Changes through Constant Activity and Secondary Effects. Cancer Res 2021, 81(3):539–551. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 15.Witkiewicz AK, Schultz E, Wang J, Hamilton D, Levine E, O'Connor T, Knudsen ES: Determinants of response to CDK4/6 inhibitors in the real-world setting. NPJ Precis Oncol 2023, 7(1):90. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 16.Prat A, Chaudhury A, Solovieff N, Pare L, Martinez D, Chic N, Martinez-Saez O, Braso-Maristany F, Lteif A, Taran T et al. : Correlative Biomarker Analysis of Intrinsic Subtypes and Efficacy Across the MONALEESA Phase III Studies. J Clin Oncol 2021, 39(13):1458–1467. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 17.Rao X, Chen Y, Beyrer J, Nash Smyth E, Morato Guimaraes C, Litchfield LM, Bowman L, Lawrence GW, Aggarwal A, Andre F: Clinical and Genomic Characteristics of Patients with Hormone Receptor-Positive, Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2-Negative Metastatic Breast Cancer Following Progression on Cyclin-Dependent Kinase 4 and 6 Inhibitors. Clin Cancer Res 2023, 29(17):3372–3383. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 18.Wardell SE, Ellis MJ, Alley HM, Eisele K, VanArsdale T, Dann SG, Arndt KT, Primeau T, Griffin E, Shao J et al. : Efficacy of SERD/SERM Hybrid-CDK4/6 Inhibitor Combinations in Models of Endocrine Therapy-Resistant Breast Cancer. Clin Cancer Res 2015, 21(22):5121–5130. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 19.Nair AB, Jacob S: A simple practice guide for dose conversion between animals and human. J Basic Clin Pharm 2016, 7(2):27–31. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 20.Migliaccio I, Romagnoli D, Galardi F, De Luca F, Biagioni C, Curigliano G, Criscitiello C, Minisini AM, Moretti E, Risi E et al. : Mutational Analysis of Circulating Tumor DNA in Patients With Estrogen Receptor-Positive/Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2-Negative Advanced Breast Cancer Receiving Palbociclib: Results From the TREnd Trial. JCO Precis Oncol 2024, 8:e2300285. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 21.Park YH, Im SA, Park K, Wen J, Lee KH, Choi YL, Lee WC, Min A, Bonato V, Park S et al. : Longitudinal multi-omics study of palbociclib resistance in HR-positive/HER2-negative metastatic breast cancer. Genome Med 2023, 15(1):55. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 22.Chaudhary N, Chibly AM, Collier A, Martinalbo J, Perez-Moreno P, Moore HM, Luhn P, Metcalfe C, Hafner M: CDK4/6i-treated HR+/HER2- breast cancer tumors show higher ESR1 mutation prevalence and more altered genomic landscape. NPJ Breast Cancer 2024, 10(1):15. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 23.Goetz MP, Hamilton EP, Campone M, Hurvitz SA, Cortes J, Johnston S, Llombart-Cussac A, Kaufman PA, Toi M, Jerusalem G et al. : Landscape of Baseline and Acquired Genomic Alterations in Circulating Tumor DNA with Abemaciclib Alone or with Endocrine Therapy in Advanced Breast Cancer. Clin Cancer Res 2024, 30(10):2233–2244. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 24.Hafner M, Mills CE, Subramanian K, Chen C, Chung M, Boswell SA, Everley RA, Liu C, Walmsley CS, Juric D et al. : Multiomics Profiling Establishes the Polypharmacology of FDA-Approved CDK4/6 Inhibitors and the Potential for Differential Clinical Activity. Cell Chem Biol 2019, 26(8):1067–1080 e1068. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 25.Onesti CE, Jerusalem G: CDK4/6 inhibitors in breast cancer: differences in toxicity profiles and impact on agent choice. A systematic review and meta-analysis. Expert Rev Anticancer Ther 2021, 21(3):283–298. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 26.Wander SA, Cohen O, Gong X, Johnson GN, Buendia-Buendia JE, Lloyd MR, Kim D, Luo F, Mao P, Helvie K et al. : The Genomic Landscape of Intrinsic and Acquired Resistance to Cyclin-Dependent Kinase 4/6 Inhibitors in Patients with Hormone Receptor-Positive Metastatic Breast Cancer. Cancer Discov 2020. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 27.Tolaney SM, Toi M, Neven P, Sohn J, Grischke EM, Llombart-Cussac A, Soliman H, Wang H, Wijayawardana S, Jansen VM et al. : Clinical Significance of PIK3CA and ESR1 Mutations in Circulating Tumor DNA: Analysis from the MONARCH 2 Study of Abemaciclib plus Fulvestrant. Clin Cancer Res 2022, 28(8):1500–1506. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 28.Andre F, Su F, Solovieff N, Hortobagyi G, Chia S, Neven P, Bardia A, Tripathy D, Lu YS, Lteif A et al. : Pooled ctDNA analysis of MONALEESA phase III advanced breast cancer trials. Ann Oncol 2023, 34(11):1003–1014. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 29.Bidard FC, Hardy-Bessard AC, Dalenc F, Bachelot T, Pierga JY, de la Motte Rouge T, Sabatier R, Dubot C, Frenel JS, Ferrero JM et al. : Switch to fulvestrant and palbociclib versus no switch in advanced breast cancer with rising ESR1 mutation during aromatase inhibitor and palbociclib therapy (PADA-1): a randomised, open-label, multicentre, phase 3 trial. Lancet Oncol 2022, 23(11):1367–1377. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 30.OĽeary B, Hrebien S, Morden JP, Beaney M, Fribbens C, Huang X, Liu Y, Bartlett CH, Koehler M, Cristofanilli M et al. : Early circulating tumor DNA dynamics and clonal selection with palbociclib and fulvestrant for breast cancer. Nat Commun 2018, 9(1):896. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 31.OĽeary B, Cutts RJ, Liu Y, Hrebien S, Huang X, Fenwick K, Andre F, Loibl S, Loi S, Garcia-Murillas I et al. : The Genetic Landscape and Clonal Evolution of Breast Cancer Resistance to Palbociclib plus Fulvestrant in the PALOMA-3 Trial. Cancer Discov 2018, 8(11):1390–1403. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 32.Bahreini A, Li Z, Wang P, Levine KM, Tasdemir N, Cao L, Weir HM, Puhalla SL, Davidson NE et al. : Mutation site and context dependent effects of ESR1 mutation in genome-edited breast cancer cell models. Breast Cancer Res 2017, 19(1):60. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
Associated Data
This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.
Supplementary Materials
Data Availability Statement
Raw RNA-seq data generated in this study have been deposited in the Gene Expression Omnibus and are available under accession code GSE281302. Other raw data generated in this study are available upon reasonable request. The de-identified patient data utilized in this research were collected in a real-world healthcare setting and are subject to controlled access due to privacy and proprietary reasons. Public availability is restricted by ethics committee guidelines and/or informed consent. Where possible, derived data supporting the findings of this study have been included within the article and its Supplementary Figures/Tables.
