Table 2.
Numerical summary of simulated intervention results
| Intervention | “Scale” HN food share | “Equity” HN food equity gap changea | “Innovation” HN food R&D changeb | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Time of Measurement | 2028 | Equilibrium | No FBc | 2028 | Equilibrium | No FB | 2028 | Equilibrium | No FB |
| Baseline | 0.378 | 0.378 | 0.378 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Producer interventions | |||||||||
| 1a: High-end innovation (Fig. 3) | 0.386 | 0.403 | 0.383 | 0.12 | 0.23 | 0.09 | 0.03 | 0.06 | 0.01 |
| 1b: Affordable innovation (Fig. 3) | 0.384 | 0.396 | 0.382 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | 0.01 | 0.03 | −0.01 |
| 1ab: 1a + 1b | 0.392 | 0.423 | 0.388 | 0.11 | 0.23 | 0.08 | 0.04 | 0.09 | 0.00 |
| Non-Producer, NFP, government interventions | |||||||||
| 2a1: Nutritious food education | 0.389 | 0.415 | 0.386 | −0.12 | −0.19 | −0.08 | 0.02 | 0.10 | 0.02 |
| 2a2: Nutritious food exposure d(Fig.4) | 0.384 | 0.397 | 0.382 | −0.07 | −0.10 | −0.05 | 0.02 | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| 2b1: Low-nutrition food taxes d | 0.387 | 0.409 | 0.385 | −0.05 | −0.07 | −0.03 | 0.02 | 0.08 | 0.02 |
| 2b2: Nutritious food subsidies d | 0.384 | 0.401 | 0.383 | −0.08 | −0.12 | −0.05 | 0.01 | 0.07 | 0.02 |
| 2c: Nutritious food accessibility Efforts | 0.386 | 0.422 | 0.381 | −0.10 | −0.24 | −0.03 | 0.01 | 0.12 | 0.01 |
| 2 d: Directed innovation | 0.404 | 0.432 | 0.389 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 0.57 | 0.15 | 0.03 |
| Convergent innovation interventions | |||||||||
| 3:d2a1 + 2c + 2 d (Fig.5) | 0.438 | 0.524 | 0.401 | −0.30 | −0.45 | −0.10 | 0.69 | 0.40 | 0.06 |
| 3a:d3 + 1a | 0.446 | 0.552 | 0.407 | −0.19 | −0.25 | −0.02 | 0.72 | 0.48 | 0.07 |
| 3b:d3 + 1b | 0.444 | 0.546 | 0.405 | −0.32 | −0.49 | −0.11 | 0.68 | 0.42 | 0.05 |
| 3ab:d3 + 1a + 1b | 0.452 | 0.576 | 0.412 | −0.21 | −0.29 | −0.03 | 0.70 | 0.50 | 0.06 |
| 3all:e 3 + 1a + 1b + (2a2 + 2b1 + 2b2) | 0.463 | 0.649 | 0.429 | −0.32 | −0.64 | −0.16 | 0.71 | 0.75 | 0.13 |
aRelative change in the difference of the HN food consumption share between high-SES and low-SES populations.
bFractional increase in average firm R&D investment in HN food.
c Columns in italics (“No FB”) report counterfactual “no feedback” outcomes. Their simulations are identical to those for “Equilibrium” except that the feedbacks involving product category exposure affecting Category Consideration and product category consumption affecting Systems & Institutions have been deactivated.
dIncludes also temporary, 5-year-lasting, 2a2 + 2b1 + 2b2 campaigns.
eIncludes permanent 2a2 + 2b1 + 2b2 campaigns.