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. 2025 May 20;51(1):213. doi: 10.1007/s00068-025-02882-y

Table 2.

Results of Cox regression models. Risk of mortality in terms of hazard ratios (HR) 5 years, 1 year and 30 days after hip surgery with 95% confidence interval.

Source: AOK data 2004–2019.

5-year mortality 1-year mortality 30-day mortality
Variable HR p LCI UCI HR p LCI UCI HR p LCI UCI
Sex Women (Ref. Men) 0.64 < 0.001 0.60 0.68 0.54 < 0.001 0.48 0.61 0.52 < 0.001 0.42 0.63
Age group 50–54 0.29 < 0.001 0.19 0.46 0.15 0.057 0.02 1.05 0.54 0.542 0.07 3.99
55–59 0.32 < 0.001 0.25 0.41 0.57 0.076 0.31 1.06 0.18 0.091 0.02 1.31
60–64 0.39 < 0.001 0.33 0.45 0.51 0.004 0.32 0.80 0.24 0.017 0.07 0.77
65–69 0.52 < 0.001 0.46 0.59 0.66 0.017 0.47 0.93 0.30 0.005 0.13 0.70
70–74 0.71 < 0.001 0.64 0.78 0.82 0.112 0.64 1.05 0.69 0.121 0.43 1.10
75–79 (Ref.) 1.00 1.00 1.00
80–84 1.23 < 0.001 1.14 1.34 1.21 0.038 1.01 1.46 1.02 0.921 0.73 1.42
85–89 1.57 < 0.001 1.44 1.72 1.54 < 0.001 1.29 1.85 1.52 0.010 1.10 2.08
90+ 2.11 < 0.001 1.92 2.32 2.30 < 0.001 1.92 2.75 2.56 < 0.001 1.88 3.50
Dementia Yes (Ref. No) 1.20 < 0.001 1.12 1.29 1.17 0.008 1.04 1.32 1.17 0.128 0.96 1.42
Parkinson’s disease Yes (Ref. No) 1.01 0.826 0.91 1.12 0.92 0.385 0.77 1.11 1.09 0.588 0.80 1.49
Heart failure Yes (Ref. No) 1.21 < 0.001 1.15 1.28 1.53 < 0.001 1.37 1.71 1.81 < 0.001 1.47 2.22
Stroke and/or MI Yes (Ref. No) 1.18 < 0.001 1.11 1.25 1.15 0.009 1.04 1.29 1.26 0.016 1.04 1.52
COPD Yes (Ref. No) 1.17 < 0.001 1.09 1.24 1.28 < 0.001 1.13 1.44 1.27 0.022 1.03 1.56
Alcohol abuse Yes (Ref. No) 1.26 0.007 1.07 1.49 1.10 0.582 0.78 1.57 0.86 0.709 0.39 1.91
Nicotine abuse Yes (Ref. No) 1.30 0.001 1.11 1.52 1.22 0.205 0.90 1.67 1.24 0.464 0.69 2.23
Rheumatism Yes (Ref. No) 0.97 0.518 0.88 1.06 0.93 0.482 0.77 1.13 0.80 0.223 0.56 1.14
Diabetes mellitus Yes (Ref. No) 1.08 0.005 1.02 1.14 1.09 0.103 0.98 1.20 1.17 0.080 0.98 1.40
Care need level 0 (Ref.) 1.00 1.00 1.00
1 1.48 < 0.001 1.36 1.60 1.73 < 0.001 1.48 2.02 1.69 < 0.001 1.30 2.20
2 1.84 < 0.001 1.68 2.01 2.14 < 0.001 1.82 2.52 1.67 < 0.001 1.27 2.21
3 2.48 < 0.001 2.17 2.84 2.83 < 0.001 2.29 3.48 1.27 0.257 0.84 1.91
Nursing home Yes (Ref. No) 1.04 0.308 0.96 1.12 0.93 0.229 0.83 1.05 0.81 0.058 0.66 1.01
Discharge diagnosis S72.0 (Ref.) 1.00 1.00 1.00
S72.1 1.03 0.353 0.97 1.09 1.06 0.286 0.95 1.17 1.04 0.645 0.87 1.25
M16 0.46 < 0.001 0.42 0.50 0.14 < 0.001 0.11 0.18 0.13 < 0.001 0.08 0.22
Date of week, surgery Sunday 0.88 0.024 0.79 0.98 0.84 0.089 0.69 1.03 0.82 0.286 0.58 1.18
Monday (Ref.) 1.00 1.00 1.00
Tuesday 1.03 0.566 0.94 1.12 1.01 0.885 0.85 1.21 1.06 0.707 0.78 1.45
Wednesday 0.97 0.520 0.89 1.06 0.97 0.751 0.81 1.16 1.09 0.567 0.80 1.49
Thursday 0.93 0.138 0.85 1.02 0.91 0.293 0.75 1.09 0.95 0.762 0.69 1.32
Friday 1.00 0.916 0.92 1.10 1.01 0.951 0.84 1.20 0.90 0.505 0.65 1.23
Saturday 0.90 0.062 0.81 1.01 0.89 0.263 0.73 1.09 0.91 0.576 0.64 1.28
Number of patients 10,310 10,310 10,310
Number of deaths 6130 1610 513

HR: Hazard ratio, UCI: upper confidence interval, LCI: lower confidence interval, Ref.: Reference group, MI: myocardial infection, COPD: chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, S72.0: femoral neck fracture, S72.1: pertrochanteric fracture, M16: coxarthrosis