Table 2.
Results of Cox regression models. Risk of mortality in terms of hazard ratios (HR) 5 years, 1 year and 30 days after hip surgery with 95% confidence interval.
Source: AOK data 2004–2019.
| 5-year mortality | 1-year mortality | 30-day mortality | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variable | HR | p | LCI | UCI | HR | p | LCI | UCI | HR | p | LCI | UCI | |||
| Sex | Women (Ref. Men) | 0.64 | < 0.001 | 0.60 | 0.68 | 0.54 | < 0.001 | 0.48 | 0.61 | 0.52 | < 0.001 | 0.42 | 0.63 | ||
| Age group | 50–54 | 0.29 | < 0.001 | 0.19 | 0.46 | 0.15 | 0.057 | 0.02 | 1.05 | 0.54 | 0.542 | 0.07 | 3.99 | ||
| 55–59 | 0.32 | < 0.001 | 0.25 | 0.41 | 0.57 | 0.076 | 0.31 | 1.06 | 0.18 | 0.091 | 0.02 | 1.31 | |||
| 60–64 | 0.39 | < 0.001 | 0.33 | 0.45 | 0.51 | 0.004 | 0.32 | 0.80 | 0.24 | 0.017 | 0.07 | 0.77 | |||
| 65–69 | 0.52 | < 0.001 | 0.46 | 0.59 | 0.66 | 0.017 | 0.47 | 0.93 | 0.30 | 0.005 | 0.13 | 0.70 | |||
| 70–74 | 0.71 | < 0.001 | 0.64 | 0.78 | 0.82 | 0.112 | 0.64 | 1.05 | 0.69 | 0.121 | 0.43 | 1.10 | |||
| 75–79 (Ref.) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||||||||||
| 80–84 | 1.23 | < 0.001 | 1.14 | 1.34 | 1.21 | 0.038 | 1.01 | 1.46 | 1.02 | 0.921 | 0.73 | 1.42 | |||
| 85–89 | 1.57 | < 0.001 | 1.44 | 1.72 | 1.54 | < 0.001 | 1.29 | 1.85 | 1.52 | 0.010 | 1.10 | 2.08 | |||
| 90+ | 2.11 | < 0.001 | 1.92 | 2.32 | 2.30 | < 0.001 | 1.92 | 2.75 | 2.56 | < 0.001 | 1.88 | 3.50 | |||
| Dementia | Yes (Ref. No) | 1.20 | < 0.001 | 1.12 | 1.29 | 1.17 | 0.008 | 1.04 | 1.32 | 1.17 | 0.128 | 0.96 | 1.42 | ||
| Parkinson’s disease | Yes (Ref. No) | 1.01 | 0.826 | 0.91 | 1.12 | 0.92 | 0.385 | 0.77 | 1.11 | 1.09 | 0.588 | 0.80 | 1.49 | ||
| Heart failure | Yes (Ref. No) | 1.21 | < 0.001 | 1.15 | 1.28 | 1.53 | < 0.001 | 1.37 | 1.71 | 1.81 | < 0.001 | 1.47 | 2.22 | ||
| Stroke and/or MI | Yes (Ref. No) | 1.18 | < 0.001 | 1.11 | 1.25 | 1.15 | 0.009 | 1.04 | 1.29 | 1.26 | 0.016 | 1.04 | 1.52 | ||
| COPD | Yes (Ref. No) | 1.17 | < 0.001 | 1.09 | 1.24 | 1.28 | < 0.001 | 1.13 | 1.44 | 1.27 | 0.022 | 1.03 | 1.56 | ||
| Alcohol abuse | Yes (Ref. No) | 1.26 | 0.007 | 1.07 | 1.49 | 1.10 | 0.582 | 0.78 | 1.57 | 0.86 | 0.709 | 0.39 | 1.91 | ||
| Nicotine abuse | Yes (Ref. No) | 1.30 | 0.001 | 1.11 | 1.52 | 1.22 | 0.205 | 0.90 | 1.67 | 1.24 | 0.464 | 0.69 | 2.23 | ||
| Rheumatism | Yes (Ref. No) | 0.97 | 0.518 | 0.88 | 1.06 | 0.93 | 0.482 | 0.77 | 1.13 | 0.80 | 0.223 | 0.56 | 1.14 | ||
| Diabetes mellitus | Yes (Ref. No) | 1.08 | 0.005 | 1.02 | 1.14 | 1.09 | 0.103 | 0.98 | 1.20 | 1.17 | 0.080 | 0.98 | 1.40 | ||
| Care need level | 0 (Ref.) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |||||||||||
| 1 | 1.48 | < 0.001 | 1.36 | 1.60 | 1.73 | < 0.001 | 1.48 | 2.02 | 1.69 | < 0.001 | 1.30 | 2.20 | |||
| 2 | 1.84 | < 0.001 | 1.68 | 2.01 | 2.14 | < 0.001 | 1.82 | 2.52 | 1.67 | < 0.001 | 1.27 | 2.21 | |||
| 3 | 2.48 | < 0.001 | 2.17 | 2.84 | 2.83 | < 0.001 | 2.29 | 3.48 | 1.27 | 0.257 | 0.84 | 1.91 | |||
| Nursing home | Yes (Ref. No) | 1.04 | 0.308 | 0.96 | 1.12 | 0.93 | 0.229 | 0.83 | 1.05 | 0.81 | 0.058 | 0.66 | 1.01 | ||
| Discharge diagnosis | S72.0 (Ref.) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |||||||||||
| S72.1 | 1.03 | 0.353 | 0.97 | 1.09 | 1.06 | 0.286 | 0.95 | 1.17 | 1.04 | 0.645 | 0.87 | 1.25 | |||
| M16 | 0.46 | < 0.001 | 0.42 | 0.50 | 0.14 | < 0.001 | 0.11 | 0.18 | 0.13 | < 0.001 | 0.08 | 0.22 | |||
| Date of week, surgery | Sunday | 0.88 | 0.024 | 0.79 | 0.98 | 0.84 | 0.089 | 0.69 | 1.03 | 0.82 | 0.286 | 0.58 | 1.18 | ||
| Monday (Ref.) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||||||||||||
| Tuesday | 1.03 | 0.566 | 0.94 | 1.12 | 1.01 | 0.885 | 0.85 | 1.21 | 1.06 | 0.707 | 0.78 | 1.45 | |||
| Wednesday | 0.97 | 0.520 | 0.89 | 1.06 | 0.97 | 0.751 | 0.81 | 1.16 | 1.09 | 0.567 | 0.80 | 1.49 | |||
| Thursday | 0.93 | 0.138 | 0.85 | 1.02 | 0.91 | 0.293 | 0.75 | 1.09 | 0.95 | 0.762 | 0.69 | 1.32 | |||
| Friday | 1.00 | 0.916 | 0.92 | 1.10 | 1.01 | 0.951 | 0.84 | 1.20 | 0.90 | 0.505 | 0.65 | 1.23 | |||
| Saturday | 0.90 | 0.062 | 0.81 | 1.01 | 0.89 | 0.263 | 0.73 | 1.09 | 0.91 | 0.576 | 0.64 | 1.28 | |||
| Number of patients | 10,310 | 10,310 | 10,310 | ||||||||||||
| Number of deaths | 6130 | 1610 | 513 | ||||||||||||
HR: Hazard ratio, UCI: upper confidence interval, LCI: lower confidence interval, Ref.: Reference group, MI: myocardial infection, COPD: chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, S72.0: femoral neck fracture, S72.1: pertrochanteric fracture, M16: coxarthrosis