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. 2025 Apr 23;134(6):1648–1660. doi: 10.1016/j.bja.2025.03.008

Table 2.

Palliative prognostic tools investigated in included studies. ASA, American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Grading Score. ∗General indicators of decline include overall deterioration, decreasing functional activity, increasing dependence, progressive weight loss. †Specific indicators of decline relate to deterioration directly owing to certain conditions such as advanced cancer, end-organ failure. or dementia. (From The Gold Standards Framework – Proactive Indicator Guidance.26)

Palliative prognostic tool Criteria Identifies Purpose
Surprise Question (SQ)22 ‘No’ response to ‘Would I be surprised if the patient dies in the next 12 months’? Illness phase Assess palliative care needs
Gold Standard Framework – Proactive Indicator Guidance (GSF-PIG)26 SQ ‘No’ response
General indicators of decline∗
Specific indicators of decline†
Illness phase and illness trajectory Assess palliative care needs
Supportive and Palliative Care Indicator Tool (SPICT)27 General indicators of decline∗
Specific indicators of decline†
Illness trajectory Assess palliative care needs
Palliative Index30 Four domains
  • 1.

    Active disease

  • 2.

    Tumour-related indication for surgery

  • 3.

    ASA physical status >3

  • 4.

    Creatinine >1.3 mg dl−1

Score 0–5
Two points for active disease
One point for each other criterion
Predict survival after surgery for patients with cancer (higher scores predict poorer survival)