Table 4.

Distribution of Performance and Predicted Outcomes in 1,000 Community-Dwelling 80-Year-Old Men

	Baseline		1-Year Projections†				4-Year Projections†
Summary Performance Score	n	n nondisabled	Percentage surviving*	n	Percentage mobility disabled‡	n	Percentage surviving*	n	Percentage mobility disabled‡	n
0	45	0	—				—
1	31	0	—				—
2	30	0	—				—
3	41	9	93.3	9	56.7	5	50.2	5	67.3	3
4	50	17	93.8	16	49.0	8	54.2	9	60.6	6
5	60	30	94.3	28	42.3	12	58.2	17	53.5	9
6	90	58	94.8	55	34.1	19	62.0	36	46.3	17
7	109	84	95.2	80	27.5	22	65.7	55	39.2	22
8	130	112	95.6	107	21.8	23	69.2	78	32.5	25
9	142	131	96.0	126	16.9	21	72.5	95	26.5	25
10	126	120	96.3	116	13.0	15	75.6	91	21.2	19
11	90	88	96.6	85	9.9	8	78.4	69	16.8	12
12	55	54	96.9	53	7.4	4	81.0	44	13.1	6
Total	1,000	705	95.8	675	20.4	137	70.9	500	28.8	144

^*Of those nondisabled at baseline.

^†All estimated n’s are rounded to nearest whole number.

^‡Of those surviving.