Skip to main content
Open Forum Infectious Diseases logoLink to Open Forum Infectious Diseases
. 2025 Jun 10;12(6):ofaf278. doi: 10.1093/ofid/ofaf278

Association of SARS-CoV-2 With Health-related Quality of Life 1 Year After Illness Using Latent Transition Analysis

Lauren E Wisk 1,2,1,, Michael Gottlieb 3,1,, Peizheng Chen 4, Huihui Yu 5, Kelli N O’Laughlin 6,7, Kari A Stephens 8, Graham Nichol 9, Juan Carlos C Montoy 10, Robert M Rodriguez 11, Michelle Santangelo 12, Kristyn Gatling 13, Erica S Spatz 14,15, Arjun K Venkatesh 16,17, Kristin L Rising 18,19, Mandy J Hill 20, Ryan Huebinger 21, Ahamed H Idris 22, Michael Willis 23, Efrat Kean 24,25, Samuel A McDonald 26,27, Joann G Elmore 28,2, Robert A Weinstein, for the INSPIRE Group29,30,2,4
PMCID: PMC12150399  PMID: 40496983

Abstract

Background

Long-term sequelae after SARS-CoV-2 infection may impact health-related quality-of-life (HRQoL), yet it is unknown how HRQoL changes during recovery. We compared patient-reported HRQoL among adults with COVID-19–like illness who tested SARS-CoV-2 positive (COVID+) with those who tested negative (COVID−).

Methods

Participants in this prospective, multicenter, longitudinal registry study were enrolled from December 2020 through August 2022 and completed 3-month follow-up assessments until 12 months after enrollment. Participants were adults (≥18 years) with acute symptoms suggestive of COVID-19 who received a Food and Drug Administration–approved SARS-CoV-2 test. Participants received questions from PROMIS-29 (subscales: physical function, anxiety, depression, fatigue, social participation, sleep disturbance, and pain interference) and PROMIS SF-8a (cognitive function). Latent transition analysis was used to identify meaningful patterns in HRQoL scores over time; 4 HRQoL categories were compared descriptively and using multivariable regression. Inverse probability weighting was used to adjust for covariate imbalance.

Results

There were 1096 (75%) COVID+ and 371 (25%) COVID−. Four distinct well-being classes emerged: optimal overall, poor mental, poor physical, and poor overall HRQoL. COVID+ participants were more likely to return to the optimal HRQoL class compared to COVID− participants. The most substantial transition from poor physical to optimal HRQoL occurred by 3 months, whereas movement from poor mental to optimal HRQoL occurred by 9 months.

Conclusions

In adults with COVID-19–like illness, COVID+ participants demonstrated meaningful recovery in their physical HRQoL by 3 months after infection, but mental HRQoL took longer to improve. Suboptimal HRQoL at 3 to 12 months after infection remained in approximately 20%.

Trial Registration

NCT04610515.

Keywords: COVID-19, health-related quality of life, prospective cohort study, SARS-CoV-2


Among adults with symptomatic illness, both COVID+ and COVID− participants reported improvements in HRQoL but recovery trajectories differ for physical versus mental HRQoL, with slower mental HRQoL recovery after illness. Persistently poor HRQoL was observed for those self-reporting long COVID.


Post-COVID conditions (often referred to as long COVID) include a heterogenous group of conditions not attributable to another cause that are present at least 3 months after SARS-CoV-2 infection [1–3]. Prior work has demonstrated prominent features of persistent fatigue and cognitive deficits, though reported symptoms are myriad [4–7].

While understanding the incidence and magnitude of discrete symptoms of long COVID and their individual trajectory is important, it is critical to better understand the longer term effect on health-related quality of life (HRQoL). Prior work demonstrated that people with persistent symptoms after COVID-19 had poor physical, mental, or social function at 3-month follow-up [7]. Such sequelae can have a profound impact on HRQoL, return to work, and other activities [8]. Well-established tools for measuring the impact of symptoms on patients' HRQoL include the Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System (PROMIS) instruments, which were developed and validated to evaluate patient-centric health domains like pain, fatigue, physical functioning, sleep, and emotional distress that can have a major impact on HRQoL [9, 10]. Specifically, evaluating the trajectory of HRQoL can provide broader insights into the mechanisms of recovery after infections than analysis of individual symptoms and may reveal longer term decrements in HRQoL.

The Innovative Support for Patients with SARS-CoV-2 Infections Registry (INSPIRE) was designed to prospectively assess long-term outcomes of adults with acute COVID-19 alongside contemporary controls comprising adults who had similar symptoms but tested negative for SARS-CoV-2 [11]. In this analysis, we describe the longitudinal changes in patient-reported outcomes of physical and mental HRQoL among symptomatic participants who tested positive or negative for COVID-19.

METHODS

Study Design and Data Source

INSPIRE was a prospective, multicenter, longitudinal study that enrolled individuals with acute symptoms (at least 1 of the following: fever >100.4 °F [38 °C]; feeling hot or feverish; chills; repeated shaking with chills; more tired than usual; muscle aches; joint pains; runny nose; sore throat; a new cough, or worsening of a chronic cough; shortness of breath; wheezing; pain or tightness in your chest; palpitations; nausea or vomiting; headache; hair loss; abdominal pain; diarrhea [>3 loose/looser than normal stools/24 hours]; decreased smell or change in smell; decreased taste or change in taste) [11] suggestive of COVID-19 in 8 sites across the United States. Recruitment occurred in person, by phone or email and through online advertisement. Participants were enrolled from December 2020 through August 2022, with follow-up through March 2023. A secure online platform (Hugo, Hugo Health LLC, Guilford, CT) facilitated the collation of consent-related materials, linkage to participants' electronic health records, and responses to self-administered surveys. This study was funded by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). This study was reviewed and approved by the Rush University, Washington University, University of California Los Angeles, University of California San Francisco, University of Texas Houston, University of Texas Southwestern, Yale University, and Thomas Jefferson University institutional review board (see 45 C.F.R. part 46.101(c), 25 C.F.R part 56), and all participants provided informed consent to participate. A detailed description of the study design was published [11]. This report follows the Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology guidelines for cohort studies [12].

Cohort Definition

This study included adults fluent in English or Spanish, with self-reported symptoms suggestive of acute SARS-CoV-2 infection and who were tested for SARS-CoV-2 with any US Food and Drug Administration–approved or authorized molecular or antigen-based assay during the 42 days before enrollment.

For the present analysis, participants were grouped based on their initial COVID-19 test result as COVID+ or COVID−. If more than 1 SARS-CoV-2 test was performed within 7 days of enrollment and results were discordant, we considered the positive test to be the true result. However, if a person's test positivity changed during the study (ie, after 7 days after enrollment), we retained them in their initial group.

To support the latent transition analysis, we included all participants who completed all assessments during the first 12 months of follow-up (conducted every 3 months after the baseline assessment); see flow diagram (Figure 1). Participants included in this analysis were enrolled from 7 December 2020 to 29 August 2022. To evaluate for potential nonresponse bias that may have been introduced by including only those with complete data across the first 5 survey waves, we evaluated baseline characteristics among our analytic sample to the remainder of the registry enrolled sample (ie, those lost to follow-up at any point in the first 12 months; Supplementary Table 1). Participants lost to follow-up were more likely to be non-White, of lower educational attainment, never married, and receive their COVID-19 test using at at-home kit but were less likely to have several conditions (including asthma, diabetes, hypertension, overweight/obesity) or be a current tobacco user.

Figure 1.

Alt text: A flow diagram that depicts a step-by-step process detailed how the final analytic sample was derived for the present analyses.

Participant flow diagram. aThe data collection ended on 28 February 2023. Specifically, the numbers of surveys censored by the end of study were: 0 for 3 months, 3 for 6 months, 1089 for 9 months, and 2269 for 12 months.

Cohort Characteristics

Participants self-reported sociodemographic data at baseline, including age, gender, ethnicity, race, educational level, marital status, income, health insurance, and employment. Participants also provided information on chronic conditions, location of their SARS-CoV-2 test, and COVID-19–like symptoms. The latter were assessed using questions derived from the CDC Person Under Investigation for SARS-CoV-2 survey [13]. Self-reported race and ethnicity data were included because SARS-CoV-2 infection, testing, and outcomes varied across racial and ethnic groups [14].

Outcomes

We defined outcomes as the classes identified using latent transition analysis (LTA); this method was selected as it allowed us to model the interrelations of individual PROMIS domains over time such that we could derive discrete classes of HRQoL that are consistently observed across follow-up. Latent classes were derived using LTA models incorporating the PROMIS T-scores of 8 domains from baseline to 12 months, with data points at 3-month intervals between a baseline survey and 4 follow-up surveys. Specifically, for 7 of the PROMIS-29 subscales (physical function, anxiety, depression, fatigue, social participation, sleep disturbance, and pain interference) and the PROMIS SF-CF 8a (cognitive function), we calculated the raw scores and used the crosswalk to get the PROMIS T-scores on a scale with a mean of 50 and a standard deviation of 10 among the US general population [9, 15]. We tested LTA models with 2 to 6 classes at each time point, examining their model fits (ie, which had the lowest Akaike Information Criteria and Bayesian Information Criteria and entropies greater than 0.8 across all time points).

Statistical Analysis

We compared sociodemographic and clinical characteristics of the COVID-19 groups (COVID+ vs COVID−) using chi-squared tests or Fisher's exact tests, as appropriate, for categorical variables and t-tests for continuous variables (Table 1). To address any significant differences between the COVID-19 groups in baseline characteristics, we employed inverse propensity score weighting (IPW); covariates were selected for IPW models if they were bivariately related (P < .05) to both COVID-19 status (Supplementary Table 2) and latent classes (Supplementary Table 3). We examined the standardized mean difference in characteristics between COVID-19 groups to ensure balance of measured potential confounders through IPW (Supplementary Figure 1). To examine the difference in the probability of latent classes by COVID-19 status at each timepoint, we employed generalized estimating equations (GEE) models with IPW and adjusted for the status of new positive SARS-CoV-2 test results reported by each timepoint; across all time points, participants who were COVID– at baseline had higher rates of subsequent positive COVID tests (Supplementary Table 2). To characterize shifts among the latent classes over time, we conducted GEE modeling with IPW and adjusted for the latent classes at a prior time; from these models, we calculated the first-order transition probability of moving from a given class at time period t to the optimal HRQoL class at time period t + 1 to identify when recovery (ie, movement into the optimal class) was most likely to occur, by COVID-19 status.

Table 1.

Sociodemographic and Clinical Characteristics of Symptomatic Adults Who Tested Positive (COVID+) vs Negative (COVID−) for SARS-CoV-2 at Enrollment, Weighteda

Characteristicsb Overall COVID+ COVID− P Valuec
N = 1467 N = 733 N = 734
Age (at enrollment) .882
 18–34 608 (41.4%) 305 (41.6%) 302 (41.2%)
 35–49 459 (31.3%) 228 (31.1%) 231 (31.5%)
 50–64 266 (18.1%) 138 (18.9%) 128 (17.4%)
 65+ 134 (9.1%) 62 (8.4%) 72 (9.9%)
Gender .428
 Female 1033 (70.4%) 503 (68.5%) 531 (72.4%)
 Male 414 (28.3%) 221 (30.1%) 194 (26.4%)
 Transgender/nonbinary/other 19 (1.3%) 10 (1.4%) 9 (1.2%)
Ethnicity .041
 No, not of Hispanic, Latin, or Spanish origin 1231 (84.7%) 633 (87.3%) 598 (82.2%)
 Yes, of Hispanic, Latin, or Spanish origin 222 (15.3%) 92 (12.7%) 129 (17.8%)
 Unknown 14 7 7
Race .906
 White 1021 (71.5%) 507 (70.5%) 514 (72.5%)
 Black or African American 116 (8.1%) 58 (8.1%) 58 (8.2%)
 Asian 163 (11.4%) 86 (12.0%) 77 (10.9%)
 Other/multiple 127 (8.9%) 68 (9.4%) 60 (8.4%)
 Unknown 39 14 25
Educational attainment .991
 Less than high school diploma 11 (0.7%) 6 (0.8%) 5 (0.7%)
 High school graduate or GED 100 (6.8%) 48 (6.6%) 52 (7.0%)
 Some college but did not complete degree 202 (13.7%) 106 (14.4%) 96 (13.1%)
 2-y college degree 123 (8.4%) 60 (8.1%) 63 (8.6%)
 4-y college degree 499 (34.0%) 247 (33.7%) 252 (34.4%)
 More than 4-y college degree 532 (36.3%) 266 (36.3%) 266 (36.2%)
Marital status .969
 Never married 461 (31.4%) 230 (31.3%) 231 (31.5%)
 Married/living with a partner 839 (57.2%) 422 (57.5%) 417 (56.9%)
 Divorced/widowed/separated 167 (11.4%) 82 (11.1%) 85 (11.6%)
Family income (prepandemic) .882
 Less than $10 000 94 (6.4%) 47 (6.4%) 47 (6.4%)
 $10 000–$35 000 178 (12.2%) 90 (12.2%) 89 (12.1%)
 $35 000 to less than $50 000 147 (10.0%) 79 (10.8%) 68 (9.3%)
 $50 000 to less than $75 000 234 (15.9%) 109 (14.8%) 125 (17.1%)
 $75 000 or more 814 (55.5%) 409 (55.8%) 405 (55.2%)
Where received COVID test .938
 At-home testing kit 85 (5.8%) 43 (5.9%) 42 (5.7%)
 Tent/drive-up testing site 810 (55.2%) 410 (55.9%) 400 (54.5%)
 Clinic including an urgent care clinic 270 (18.4%) 134 (18.3%) 136 (18.5%)
 Hospital 113 (7.7%) 59 (8.0%) 54 (7.3%)
 Emergency department 81 (5.5%) 35 (4.8%) 46 (6.3%)
 Other 108 (7.3%) 52 (7.1%) 56 (7.6%)
Health insurance .884
 Private and public 61 (4.2%) 28 (3.9%) 33 (4.4%)
 Private only 1055 (71.9%) 531 (72.5%) 524 (71.3%)
 Public only 309 (21.1%) 150 (20.5%) 159 (21.7%)
 None 42 (2.8%) 23 (3.2%) 18 (2.5%)
Including yourself, how many adults over the age of 65 years are living in your household? .871
 None 1212 (82.7%) 611 (83.3%) 601 (82.0%)
 One 156 (10.7%) 74 (10.1%) 82 (11.2%)
 More than 1 98 (6.7%) 48 (6.6%) 50 (6.8%)
Employed before the pandemic .323
 No 289 (19.7%) 134 (18.3%) 155 (21.1%)
 Yes 1178 (80.3%) 599 (81.7%) 579 (78.9%)
Was a non-health essential worker .888
 No 840 (71.3%) 429 (71.6%) 411 (71.0%)
 Yes 338 (28.7%) 170 (28.4%) 168 (29.0%)
 Unknown 289 134 155
Baseline (acute illness): sickness severity (0–10) 5.71 (2.60) 5.68 (2.50) 5.73 (2.71) .485
Asthma (moderate or severe) .881
 No 1259 (85.8%) 631 (86.0%) 629 (85.7%)
 Yes 208 (14.2%) 102 (14.0%) 105 (14.3%)
Heart conditions, such as coronary artery disease, heart failure, or cardiomyopathies .680
 No 1433 (97.7%) 715 (97.5%) 718 (97.9%)
 Yes 34 (2.3%) 18 (2.5%) 16 (2.1%)
Diabetes .729
 No 1388 (94.6%) 696 (94.9%) 692 (94.3%)
 Yes 79 (5.4%) 37 (5.1%) 42 (5.7%)
Hypertension or high blood pressure .537
 No 1277 (87.0%) 633 (86.4%) 644 (87.7%)
 Yes 190 (13.0%) 100 (13.6%) 90 (12.3%)
Overweight or obesity .665
 No 1043 (71.1%) 526 (71.8%) 517 (70.4%)
 Yes 424 (28.9%) 207 (28.2%) 217 (29.6%)
Smoking (currently smoking any type of tobacco, including smokeless tobacco) .485
 No 1394 (95.0%) 694 (94.6%) 701 (95.5%)
 Yes 73 (5.0%) 40 (5.4%) 33 (4.5%)

aWeighted by inverse propensity scores.

bWe provided n (column %) for categorical variables and mean (SD) for baseline (acute illness) sickness severity (the only continuous variable ranging from 0 to 10).

cChi-squared test with Rao and Scott's second-order correction; Wilcoxon rank-sum test for complex survey samples.

The LTA models were developed using Mplus version 8.9 [16] and the GEE models were developed using SAS version 9.4 (SAS, Inc., Cary NC). R version 4.3.3 (R Foundation, Vienna, Austria) and MS Excel (Microsoft, Redmond, WA) were adopted to generate tables and figures regarding participants' characteristics, latent outcomes, and model estimates. All tests were 2-sided with an alpha criterion of 0.05.

RESULTS

The study sample included 1096 (75%) COVID+ and 371 (25%) COVID− participants (Supplementary Table 2). Participants were predominantly female (68.5%), non-Hispanic (87.3%), White (70.5%), married or partnered (57.5%), and privately insured (72.5%). After the application of IPW, COVID+ participants were similar to COVID− participants except with respect to ethnicity (COVID+ were less likely to be Hispanic; Table 1).

The best-fit LTA revealed 4 classes that were consistently identified across all timepoints (baseline through 12-month follow-up; Figure 2, Supplementary Figure 2). Based on the PROMIS domain scores, we named the 4 latent classes as: Optimal HRQoL, Poor mental HRQoL, Poor physical HRQoL, and Poor overall HRQoL. The first class comprised optimal HRQoL scores, which had the “best” mean (± standard deviation) scores across all domains: 57.3 ± 7.1 for cognitive function, 55.2 ± 4.4 for physical function, 59.5 ± 8.0 for social participation, 43.9 ± 5.5 for anxiety, 42.5 ± 3.5 for depression, 44.9 ± 7.1 for fatigue, 46.2 ± 6.3 for sleep disturbance, and 43.4 ± 4.6 for pain interference (all baseline). Poor mental HRQoL was characterized by poor scores for anxiety, depression, cognitive function, and fatigue (57.3 ± 5.9, 53.6 ± 6.1, 45.2 ± 7.8, and 54.3 ± 5.5 at baseline, respectively). Poor physical HRQoL was characterized by poor scores for cognitive function, physical function, social participation, fatigue, sleep disturbance, and pain interferences (45.1 ± 9.2, 40.4 ± 6.4, 46.5 ± 9.5, 58.0 ± 6.0, 53.0 ± 6.6, and 53.5 ± 8.6 at baseline, respectively). Poor overall HRQoL had the “worst” mean scores across all domains: 36.6 ± 7.1 for cognitive function, 38.2 ± 7.3 for physical function, 40.6 ± 8.4 for social participation, 63.3 ± 6.5 for anxiety, 59.4 ± 6.6 for depression, 64.4 ± 6.2 for fatigue, 58.8 ± 7.1 for sleep disturbance, and 58.2 ± 9.3 for pain interference (all baseline).

Figure 2.

Alt text: Graph that depicts unweighted and unadjusted mean PROMIS scores (at baseline) on each domain (ie, cognitive function, physical function, social participation, anxiety, depression, fatigue, sleep disturbance, and pain interference) stratified by 4 latent class membership groups.

PROMIS domain scores at baseline, by latent class membership, among all participants. As latent transition analysis (LTA) was performed regardless of COVID status (ie, among all participants), results are shown inclusive of both the COVID+ and COVID− groups. Figure shows unweighted and unadjusted mean PROMIS scores (at baseline) on each domain included in the LTA, stratified by final class membership.

At baseline, participants (including COVID+ and COVID−) were balanced across the 4 classes, with 73% of participants falling into 1 of the 3 classes with poor HRQoL (Figure 3). Class shifting frequently occurred between baseline and 3-month follow-up, with 58% of participants falling into a class with poor HRQoL at 3 months. Class shifting was less frequent at subsequent time points, and the overall portion of participants in each class remained largely consistent between 3 and 12 months. A substantial number of participants remained in the poor overall HRQoL class through 12 months after illness. Identified latent classes were substantially different with respect to several sociodemographic and clinical characteristics (Supplementary Table 3). Of note, participants in the poor physical HRQoL and poor overall HRQoL classes had significantly higher symptom severity scores for their acute illness at baseline, higher prevalence of comorbid conditions, and more symptoms at baseline.

Figure 3.

Alt text: A bar graph that depicts unweighted and unadjusted prevalence (%) of final latent class membership at each time point (ie, baseline, 3-month follow-up, 6-month follow-up, 9-month follow-up, and 12-month follow-up). Movement between each class over time is shown.

Sankey plot of latent transition analysis (LTA) membership across follow-up, among all participants. As LTA was performed irrespective of COVID status (ie, among all participants), results are shown inclusive of both the COVID+ and COVID− groups. Figure shows unweighted and unadjusted prevalence of final class membership at each time point from baseline to 12 months of follow-up.

Among those in the poor overall HRQoL class, 42.4% reported that they had long COVID at the final follow-up survey compared to 24.2% among those in the poor physical HRQoL class, 17.8% in the poor mental HRQoL class, and 9.7% in the optimal HRQoL class (P < .001; Supplementary Table 3).

In adjusted models, the probability of being in the optimal HRQoL class increased over time in participants with and without COVID-19. Compared to the COVID− group, those in the COVID+ group had higher probability of being in the optimal HRQoL class and lower probability of being in the poor overall HRQoL class at baseline and all follow-up time points (Figure 4). In both COVID+ and COVID− groups, the probability of poor physical HRQoL decreased from baseline to 3 months and then remained relatively stable through 12 months. The probability of poor mental HRQoL, however, increased from baseline to 3 months and then gradually decreased from 3 through 12 months. Analysis of first-order transition probabilities (Supplementary Table 4) identified that recovery from baseline to 3 months (ie, moving to the optimal HRQoL class) was driven predominantly by improvements in physical HRQoL (eg, 50.8% of COVID+ individuals in the poor physical HRQoL class moved into the optimal HRQoL class between baseline and 3-month follow-up), whereas improvements in mental HRQoL were more pronounced between 6 and 9 months (eg, 20.6% of COVID+ individuals in the poor mental HRQoL class moved into the optimal HRQoL class between 6- and 9-month follow-up). The probability of recovering from poor overall well-being to optimal well-being was similar between COVID groups and generally low across time ranging between 1.4% and 5.2%.

Figure 4.

Alt text: Horizontal bar graphs that depict estimated predicted probability of health-related quality of life classes (ie, optimal, poor mental, poor physical, and poor overall) by COVID groups (+ and −) at each time point from baseline to 12 months of follow-up. Relative probability ratios (and 95% confidence intervals) of each class membership (relative to optimal well-being) comparing COVID groups (+ and −) at each time point from baseline to 12 months of follow-up; these probability ratios are shown in tabular and graphical form.

Forest plot demonstrating estimateda associations between COVID-19 status with latent transition analysis membership at each time point. aThe estimated probabilities and ratios were derived from a GEE model accounting for the status of new positive SARS-CoV-2 test results reported by each timepoint (ie, subsequent COVID+ testing that occurred after baseline). Estimates also applied inverse probability weighting to adjust for differences between the COVID+ and COVID− groups. bThe ratio of the relative probability of poor HRQoL versus optimal HRQoL classes between COVID groups at each time point. Taking poor mental HRQoL as an example, ((Ppoormental/Poptimal)COVID+(Ppoormental/Poptimal)COVID)t, where t denotes the 5 time points. HRQoL, health-related quality of life.

DISCUSSION

In this large, geographically diverse study of individuals with 12 months of follow-up after COVID-19-like illness, a substantial proportion of participants continued to report poor HRQoL, whether or not the inciting acute symptoms were due to SARS-CoV-2 or another illness. The majority of the recovery in physical HRQoL was observed within 3 months after acute illness, whereas recovery in mental well-being appeared to be more gradual, with significant improvements manifesting more profoundly between 6 and 9 months after infection. Importantly for patient prognostics, we found somewhat more pronounced recovery (ie, return to the optimal HRQoL) for those in the COVID+ group compared to the COVID− groups, after adjustment. Regardless, approximately 1 in 5 respondents remained in a poor overall HRQoL class with a high likelihood of self-reporting long COVID up to 12 months after initial infection.

As in prior work [7, 17, 18], we found similar reports of poor HRQoL after an acute illness for both individuals with a confirmed case of COVID-19 compared to those who tested COVID−, who also had poor baseline HRQoL. Poor HRQoL in the COVID– group may be attributable to heterogeneous conditions (or perhaps nonviral conditions related to work stress or general pandemic distress) and may also include those who had a false-negative COVID test or a subsequent SARS-CoV-2 infection [6] (which we previously demonstrated was more likely among our COVID− participants than our COVID+ participants). Thus, this comparison should be interpreted with caution given that the referent group (COVID−) likely includes individuals suffering from an unspecified illness(es) with varied expected recovery trajectories. We hypothesize that this biases our estimates toward the null. Still, several factors may explain the observed similarity between groups [19, 20]. First, prior medical research may have previously underestimated the prevalence of serious negative sequelae after acute illness, explaining why COVID+ and COVID− participants appear more similar after acute infection. Second, the study may be subject to selection bias, whereby only those COVID− participants presenting with more serious symptoms were enrolled and completed follow-up, leading to an overestimation of the HRQoL decrements seen in that cohort. Third, although we performed IPW to adjust for baseline differences between the cohorts that may confound findings, we did not have access to comprehensive medical histories that may also confound our comparison. For instance, preexisting conditions such as somatization may play a role in the observed well-being trajectories [21].

Recovery patterns based on different HRQoL domains (ie, physical vs mental) differed in important ways. Specifically, physical HRQoL (inclusive of poor scores for cognitive function, physical function, social participation, fatigue, sleep disturbance, and pain interferences) tended to show significant recovery as early as 3 months after infection, whereas mental HRQoL (inclusive of poor scores for anxiety, depression, cognitive function, and fatigue) exhibited a longer recovery window, with most of recovery to optimal HRQoL occurring between 6 and 9 months after acute illness. This aligns with prior reports that identify substantial change in the prevalence of discrete symptoms by 3 months after infection but stabilization thereafter [4, 6]. We are unaware of reports that outline mental HRQoL recovery after acute illness but our finding that these HRQoL domains have different recovery timelines supports the notion that treatment of mental health sequelae warrants special attention and may require longer periods of follow-up than previously identified using only reports of discrete symptoms to address outstanding patient concerns. Moreover, integrating routine HRQoL screening into post-COVID treatment encounters may be necessary to appropriately triage and provide mental health resources to individuals with lingering decrements in mental HRQoL after COVID.

Importantly, we identified a high prevalence and persistence of poor HRQoL up to 12 months in both the COVID+ and COVID− groups, suggesting a high societal burden. Across all patients, nearly one-fifth had poor overall HRQoL that remained consistent from 3 to 12 months. Nearly half of those in the poor overall HRQoL class self-reported long COVID thus indicating considerable potential overlap between those reporting impaired function and those with self-identified long COVID. Although it is challenging to separate the effects of the pandemic itself on these outcomes, the role of serious acute infections in inciting poor HRQoL warrants increased attention from the medical and public health sectors.

This analysis has several strengths, including multicenter recruitment of participants from diverse community, ambulatory, emergency, and inpatient settings; use of concurrent controls via recruiting symptomatic adults who tested negative for COVID-19; and prospective data collection using validated scales. Several limitations should also be noted. First, although this study aimed to recruit a diverse population across the United States, the requirement for access to a verifiable COVID-19 test, existing electronic health record system, and internet-enabled devices to administer study components may limit the generalizability of our sample. Furthermore, those with the most severe disease may have been unable/unwilling to participate or may have differentially dropped out across our mandatory 12-month follow-up window. Although we evaluated differences between those included versus excluded in our analytic sample, we may not have captured the full array of differences that would have contributed to an analytic sample with different class membership patterns over time. Second, it is unclear what heterogeneous acute condition symptomatic COVID− participants may have suffered from at the time of enrollment, making it difficult to hypothesize whether COVID− participants would be expected to have more or less severe patient-reported outcomes across time. Third, COVID-19 tests may yield false-negative or false-positive results [22, 23]; therefore, we cannot exclude the possibility that participants may have been misclassified (as either COVID+ or COVID−) based on their documented test result and that any such misclassification could attenuate differences in well-being observed between the 2 groups. Finally, the IPW approach was able to achieve balance between groups in measured covariates but we acknowledge that there may be imbalance among unmeasured factors that could have introduced residual confounding in our results.

CONCLUSION

We identified important patterns in HRQoL recovery up to 1 year after infection with SARS-CoV-2, including a different recovery timeline for physical (faster recovery) versus mental HRQoL (slower recovery); underscoring the importance of providing mental health resources to individuals experiencing prolonged declines in mental HRQoL after COVID. SARS-CoV-2 infection was not associated with increasingly worse PROMIS scores across time and, in fact, COVID+ participants reported greater movement toward the optimal HRQoL class than did COVID− participants over a 12-month follow-up. Moreover, a high proportion of participants reported poor HRQoL up to 1 year after illness, suggesting that current treatment models may not be adequate to address lingering symptoms and their effects on quality of life, or that there is a disconnect between reported symptoms and quality of life that warrants a more nuanced approach to addressing recovery among those with COVID-19.

Supplementary Material

ofaf278_Supplementary_Data

Contributor Information

Lauren E Wisk, Division of General Internal Medicine and Health Services Research, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California, USA; Department of Health Policy and Management, Fielding School of Public Health, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California, USA.

Michael Gottlieb, Department of Emergency Medicine, Rush University Medical Center, Chicago, Illinois, USA.

Peizheng Chen, Section of Cardiovascular Medicine, Center for Outcomes Research and Evaluation (CORE), Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.

Huihui Yu, Section of Cardiovascular Medicine, Center for Outcomes Research and Evaluation (CORE), Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.

Kelli N O’Laughlin, Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA; Department of Global Health, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA.

Kari A Stephens, Department of Family Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA.

Graham Nichol, Harborview Center for Prehospital Emergency Care, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA.

Juan Carlos C Montoy, Department of Emergency Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA.

Robert M Rodriguez, Department of Medicine, University of California Riverside School of Medicine, Riverside, California, USA.

Michelle Santangelo, Department of Emergency Medicine, Rush University Medical Center, Chicago, Illinois, USA.

Kristyn Gatling, Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases, Rush University Medical Center, Chicago, Illinois, USA.

Erica S Spatz, Section of Cardiovascular Medicine, Center for Outcomes Research and Evaluation (CORE), Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, USA; Section of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.

Arjun K Venkatesh, Section of Cardiovascular Medicine, Center for Outcomes Research and Evaluation (CORE), Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, USA; Department of Emergency Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.

Kristin L Rising, Department of Emergency Medicine, Thomas Jefferson University, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Center for Connected Care, Thomas Jefferson University, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA.

Mandy J Hill, Department of Emergency Medicine, McGovern Medical School, UT Health Houston, Houston, Texas, USA.

Ryan Huebinger, Department of Emergency Medicine, McGovern Medical School, UT Health Houston, Houston, Texas, USA.

Ahamed H Idris, Department of Emergency Medicine, UT Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, Texas, USA.

Michael Willis, Department of Neurology, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA.

Efrat Kean, Department of Emergency Medicine, Thomas Jefferson University, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Center for Connected Care, Thomas Jefferson University, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA.

Samuel A McDonald, Department of Emergency Medicine, UT Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, Texas, USA; Clinical Informatics Center, UT Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, Texas, USA.

Joann G Elmore, Division of General Internal Medicine and Health Services Research, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California, USA.

Robert A Weinstein, Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases, Rush University Medical Center, Chicago, Illinois, USA; Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Cook County Hospital, Chicago, Illinois, USA.

Supplementary Data

Supplementary materials are available at Open Forum Infectious Diseases online. Consisting of data provided by the authors to benefit the reader, the posted materials are not copyedited and are the sole responsibility of the authors, so questions or comments should be addressed to the corresponding author.

Notes

Acknowledgments. The study sponsor was not involved in the conduct of the study or collection, management, or analysis of data. H.Y. and the Yale Analytic Core had full access to all the data in the study and were responsible for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis. Partners from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC; (Sharon Saydah, MHS, PhD, and Ian D. Plumb, MBBS, MSc) assisted with study design and the preparation of this manuscript. We also wish to acknowledge Kate Diaz Roldan, MPH, for her assistance with the references. See Supplementary Acknowledgments for a list of INSPIRE group members.

Author Contributions. All author contributed to the conceptualization of the study. L.E.W., M.G., P.C., and H.Y. contributed to the methodologic approach and formal analysis. All authors contributed to the investigation, and subsequent review and editing. L.E.W. and M.G. take primary responsibility for the manuscript as a whole.

Disclaimer. The findings and conclusions in this report are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the official position of the CDC.

Financial support. This work was supported by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and the National Center of Immunization and Respiratory Diseases [contract number: 75D30120C08008 to R.A.W.]. Data are available upon reasonable request from the CDC.

All authors have submitted the ICMJE Form for Disclosure of Potential Conflicts of Interest. Conflicts that the editors consider relevant to the content of the manuscript have been disclosed.

References

  • 1. National Institute for Health and Care Excellence . COVID-19 rapid guideline: managing the long-term effects of COVID-19. 18 December 2020. Updated 25 January 2024. Available at: https://www.nice.org.uk/guidance/NG188. Accessed 27 July 2024. [PubMed]
  • 2. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention . Long COVID basics. Updated 3 February 2025. Available at: https://www.cdc.gov/covid/long-term-effects/. Accessed 27 July 2024.
  • 3. Soriano  JB, Murthy  S, Marshall  JC, Relan  P, Diaz  JV; WHO Clinical Case Definition Working Group on Post-COVID-19 Condition . A clinical case definition of post-COVID-19 condition by a Delphi consensus. Lancet Infect Dis  2022; 22:e102–7. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 4. Gottlieb  M, Spatz  ES, Yu  H, et al.  Long COVID clinical phenotypes up to 6 months after infection identified by latent class analysis of self-reported symptoms. Open Forum Infect Dis  2023; 10:ofad277. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 5. Gottlieb  M, Wang  RC, Yu  H, et al.  Severe fatigue and persistent symptoms at 3 months following severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infections during the pre-Delta, Delta, and Omicron time periods: a multicenter prospective cohort study. Clin Infect Dis  2023; 76:1930–41. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 6. Montoy  JCC, Ford  J, Yu  H, et al.  Prevalence of symptoms ≤12 months after acute illness, by COVID-19 testing status among adults—United States, December 2020–March 2023. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep  2023; 72:859–65. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 7. Wisk  LE, Gottlieb  MA, Spatz  ES, et al.  Association of initial SARS-CoV-2 test positivity with patient-reported well-being 3 months after a symptomatic illness. JAMA Netw Open  2022; 5:e2244486. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 8. Venkatesh  AK, Yu  H, Malicki  C, et al.  The association between prolonged SARS-CoV-2 symptoms and work outcomes. PLoS One  2024; 19:e0300947. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 9. Cella  D, Riley  W, Stone  A, et al.  The Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System (PROMIS) developed and tested its first wave of adult self-reported health outcome item banks: 2005–2008. J Clin Epidemiol  2010; 63:1179–94. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 10. Hays  RD, Spritzer  KL, Schalet  BD, Cella  D. PROMIS®-29 v2.0 profile physical and mental health summary scores. Qual Life Res  2018; 27:1885–91. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 11. O'Laughlin  KN, Thompson  M, Hota  B, et al.  Study protocol for the Innovative Support for Patients with SARS-COV-2 Infections Registry (INSPIRE): a longitudinal study of the medium and long-term sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection. PLoS One  2022; 17:e0264260. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 12. von Elm  E, Altman  DG, Egger  M, et al.  The Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) statement: guidelines for reporting observational studies. Ann Intern Med  2007; 147:573–7. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 13. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention . Symptoms of COVID-19. Updated 25 June 2024. Available at: https://www.cdc.gov/covid/signs-symptoms/. Accessed 5 August 2024.
  • 14. Magesh  S, John  D, Li  WT, et al.  Disparities in COVID-19 outcomes by race, ethnicity, and socioeconomic status: a systematic-review and meta-analysis. JAMA Netw Open  2021; 4:e2134147. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 15. HealthMeasures . PROMIS®. Updated 27 March 2023. Available at: https://www.healthmeasures.net/explore-measurement-systems/promis. Accessed 5 August 2024.
  • 16. Muthén  LK, Muthén  BO. Mplus User’s Guide. 8th ed. Los Angeles, CA: Muthén & Muthén, 1998–2017. [Google Scholar]
  • 17. Li  J, Wisnivesky  JP, Lin  JJ, Campbell  KN, Hu  L, Kale  MS. Examining the trajectory of health-related quality of life among coronavirus disease patients. J Gen Intern Med  2024; 39:1820–7. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 18. Unger  ER, Lin  JS, Wisk  LE, et al.  Myalgic encephalomyelitis/chronic fatigue syndrome after SARS-CoV-2 infection. JAMA Netw Open  2024; 7:e2423555. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 19. Choutka  J, Jansari  V, Hornig  M, Iwasaki  A. Unexplained post-acute infection syndromes. Nat Med  2022; 28:911–23. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 20. Holmes  GP, Kaplan  JE, Stewart  JA, Hunt  B, Pinsky  PF, Schonberger  LB. A cluster of patients with a chronic mononucleosis-like syndrome. Is Epstein-Barr virus the cause?  JAMA  1987; 257:2297–302. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 21. Smith  RC, Gardiner  JC, Lyles  JS, et al.  Minor acute illness: a preliminary research report on the “worried well.”  J Fam Pract  2002; 51:24–9. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 22. Ueda  M, Nordström  R, Matsubayashi  T. Suicide and mental health during the COVID-19 pandemic in Japan. J Public Health (Oxf)  2022; 44:541–8. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 23. Xie  Y, Xu  E, Al-Aly  Z. Risks of mental health outcomes in people with COVID-19: cohort study. BMJ  2022; 376:e068993. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]

Associated Data

This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

Supplementary Materials

ofaf278_Supplementary_Data

Articles from Open Forum Infectious Diseases are provided here courtesy of Oxford University Press

RESOURCES