Table 2.
Population Sizea |
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N0 | N1 | Pr(j⩾jo) | b | Pr(m⩽1) WhentF=26 | Pr(m⩽1) WhentF=77.2 |
150 | 600 | .72 | 104 (26, 184) | 0 | .95 |
150 | 3,000 | .73 | 113 (55, 188) | 0 | .95 |
150 | 6,000 | .75 | 111 (61, 187) | 0 | .95 |
600 | 600 | .66 | 110 (26, 186) | 0 | .81 |
600 | 3,000 | .64 | 116 (64, 199) | 0 | .75 |
600 | 6,000 | .65 | 118 (65, 197) | 0 | .74 |
3,000 | 600 | .59 | 111 (26, 190) | 0 | .40 |
3,000 | 3,000 | .34 | 143 (67, 188) | 0 | .10 |
3,000 | 6,000 | .31 | 147 (74, 192) | 0 | .05 |
Note.— Results for each combination of N0 and N1 are based on weighted averages of 10,000 replicates. Genetic parameters are x=.032, i=268, jo=163, pN=.205, and θ=.007.
N0 is the assumed population size in a.d. 70 (t=77.2), and N1 is the assumed size in a.d. 1648 (t=26.08).
Numbers in parentheses are the bounds of the 95% credible set based on the posterior distribution of t2.