Fig 3. Wolbachia atributes during the monitoring period in Rio de Janeiro.

(A) The trajectories of Wolbachia frequency (%) over time as evaluated by the model. Points represent observations used for the inference, whereas the lines and shaded areas indicate the mean values and credibility intervals, respectively, given by the model. (B) The basic adult recruiting rate (x-axis) as inferred from the statistical model on number of mosquitoes per day. This variable excludes the effects of external variables such as environmental variables. The areas (color blue and red) depict density distributions from the MCMC simulations. The boxplots distinguish the distributions inferred for the parameter estimation for Wolbachia-uninfected mosquitoes (NW) and Wolbachia-infected mosquitoes (W); (C) Impact of external variables - air temperature, change to spinosad (lagged by 4 months), land temperature (LST), NDVI, presence of other mosquitoes, rainfall - as inferred from the MCMC simulations. The colors indicate Wolbachia-infected and -uninfected Ae. aegypti mosquitoes. NDVI is the index of vegetation coverage. ‘OtherSpecies’ refer to the proportion of species collected at traps, other than Aedes aegypti mosquitoes. The effect is a multiplicative factor (no unit) and a zero value for the y-axis indicates no effect.