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. 2025 Jul 31;10(8):105540. doi: 10.1016/j.esmoop.2025.105540

Table 2.

Prognostic factor analysis for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) in the overall population

Variable Category Univariate Cox regression for PFS
Multivariate Cox regression for PFS
Univariate Cox regression for OS
Multivariate Cox regression for OS
HR (95% CI) P HR (95% CI) P HR (95% CI) P HR (95% CI) P
Age 1.00 (0.99-1.01) 0.756 1.01 (1.00-1.02) 0.007 1.01 (1.00-1.02) 0.003
Sex Female Reference Reference Reference
Male 0.86 (0.73-1.02) 0.086 0.95 (0.80-1.13) 0.561 0.99 (0.84-1.17) 0.939
ECOG performance status 0 Reference Reference Reference
1 1.12 (0.94-1.33) 0.198 1.19 (1.01-1.40) 0.038 1.06 (0.90-1.25) 0.503
Any viral hepatitis B No Reference Reference
Yes 0.88 (0.71-1.10) 0.269 0.90 (0.73-1.11) 0.336
Any viral hepatitis C No Reference Reference
Yes 1.01 (0.38-2.71) 0.980 1.23 (0.46-3.30) 0.677
Level of carbohydrate antigen 19-9 Normal Reference Reference Reference Reference
Elevated 1.46 (1.22-1.75) <0.001 1.50 (1.25-1.80) <0.001 1.71 (1.43-2.03) <0.001 1.66 (1.39-1.98) <0.001
Primary tumor location Intrahepatic Reference Reference Reference
Extrahepatic 1.01 (0.84-1.23) 0.889 1.08 (0.88-1.33) 0.469 1.13 (0.94-1.35) 0.197
Gall-bladder 1.35 (1.09-1.67) 0.006 1.41 (1.14-1.76) 0.002 1.02 (0.83-1.26) 0.839
Tumor histological type Adenocarcinoma Reference Reference Reference Reference
Adenosquamous carcinoma 2.34 (1.32-4.15) 0.004 2.08 (1.15-3.77) 0.016 2.03 (1.12-3.68) 0.020 2.54 (1.37-4.70) 0.003
Degree of differentiation Well Reference Reference Reference Reference
Moderately 1.52 (1.10-2.09) 0.011 1.48 (1.06-2.05) 0.020 1.17 (0.87-1.58) 0.289 1.06 (0.78-1.43) 0.716
Poorly or undifferentiated 1.94 (1.39-2.71) <0.001 1.69 (1.19-2.40) 0.003 1.34 (0.98-1.83) 0.068 1.10 (0.80-1.52) 0.554
Disease status Locally advanced Reference Reference Reference Reference
Initially metastatic 1.96 (1.46-2.64) <0.001 1.50 (1.09-2.07) 0.012 1.76 (1.36-2.28) <0.001 1.60 (1.21-2.12) 0.001
Recurrent after curative-intent surgery 1.58 (1.17-2.14) 0.003 1.48 (1.08-2.04) 0.014 1.25 (0.96-1.63) 0.099 1.21 (0.92-1.60) 0.178
Liver metastasis No Reference Reference Reference Reference
Yes 1.69 (1.43-2.00) <0.001 1.49 (1.24-1.78) <0.001 1.54 (1.31-1.81) <0.001 1.35 (1.14-1.61) <0.001
MSI status MSS Reference Reference Reference
MSI-H 1.62 (0.89-2.94) 0.116 0.45 (0.22-0.90) 0.024 0.44 (0.22-0.90) 0.024
First-line chemotherapy regimen GemCis with ICIs Reference Reference
GemCis with or without non-ICIs 1.11 (0.80-1.55) 0.538 1.30 (0.93-1.82) 0.120
MDM2-amp/TP53-WT status No Reference Reference Reference Reference
Yes 0.64 (0.43-0.96) 0.031 0.63 (0.42-0.94) 0.025 0.76 (0.52-1.10) 0.149 0.70 (0.48-1.02) 0.065

amp, amplification; CI, confidence interval; ECOG, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group; GemCis, gemcitabine plus cisplatin; HR, hazard ratio; ICI, immune checkpoint inhibitor; MSI, microsatellite instability; MSI-H, microsatellite instability-high; MSS, microsatellite stable; WT, wild-type.