Table 2. Influencing factors on the outbreak size of bacillary dysentery in China, 2008–2024.
| Variable | Outbreaks, n (%) | Univariate | Mutivariate | |||
| OR (95% CI) | P | aOR (95% CI) | P | |||
| Note: - indicates that the variable was not included in the multivariable model. Abbreviation: aOR=adjusted odds ratios; CI=confidence interval. | ||||||
| Year | ||||||
| 2008–2013 | 113 (64.2) | 1 | 1 | |||
| 2014–2019 | 56 (31.8) | 0.2 (0.02, 1.8) | 0.16 | 0.2 (0.01, 1.7) | 0.12 | |
| 2020–2024 | 7 (4.0) | 0.2 (0.02, 1.2) | 0.08 | 0.2 (0.01, 1.4) | 0.10 | |
| Area | ||||||
| Urban | 43 (24.4) | 1 | − | − | ||
| Rural | 133 (75.6) | 1.4 (0.7, 2.8) | 0.34 | − | − | |
| Setting | ||||||
| Other | 8 (4.5) | 1 | 1 | |||
| Kindergarden | 18 (10.2) | 4.5 (0.5, 44.4) | 0.20 | 2.1 (0.1, 37.1) | 0.61 | |
| Primary school | 63 (35.8) | 14.0 (1.6, 121.4) | 0.02 | 8.3 (0.6, 122.1) | 0.13 | |
| Middle/High school | 42 (23.9) | 8.5 (1.0, 75.2) | 0.06 | 4.9 (0.3, 71.0) | 0.24 | |
| Technical school/College | 12 (6.8) | 7.0 (0.7, 75.7) | 0.11 | 7.8 (0.4, 150.4) | 0.18 | |
| Village | 33 (18.8) | 3.0 (0.3, 28.1) | 0.33 | 2.9 (0.2, 45.4) | 0.44 | |
| Route of transmission | ||||||
| Unknown | 40 (22.7) | 1 | 1 | |||
| Water-borne | 84 (47.7) | 5.0 (2.2, 11.4) | <0.001 | 5.4 (1.9, 15.3) | 0.001 | |
| Food-borne | 42 (23.9) | 2.4 (1.0, 6.0) | 0.06 | 2.6 (0.9, 7.7) | 0.09 | |
| Contact-borne | 10 (5.7) | 1.1 (0.3, 5.2) | 0.88 | 1.8 (0.3, 11.4) | 0.54 | |
| Response time, days | ||||||
| ≤3 | 78 (44.3) | 1 | 1 | |||
| 4–7 | 56 (31.8) | 0.6 (0.3, 1.2) | 0.14 | 0.3 (0.1, 0.8) | 0.01 | |
| ≤8 | 42 (23.9) | 0.4 (0.2, 0.9) | 0.02 | 0.3 (0.1, 1.1) | 0.07 | |
| Duration, days | ||||||
| ≤3 | 33 (18.8) | 1 | 1 | |||
| 4–7 | 62 (35.2) | 2.1 (0.9, 5.0) | 0.09 | 2.9 (1.0, 8.5) | 0.05 | |
| ≤8 | 81 (46.0) | 1.5 (0.7, 3.4) | 0.33 | 3.8 (1.0, 13.8) | 0.04 | |
| Pathogen | ||||||
| Unclassified | 57 (32.4) | 1 | 1 | |||
| Shigella sonnei | 83 (47.2) | 4.2 (2.0, 8.5) | <0.001 | 4.3 (1.7, 10.9) | 0.002 | |
| Shigella flexneri | 33 (18.8) | 1.1 (0.5, 2.8) | 0.77 | 1.5 (0.5, 4.5) | 0.44 | |
| Shigella boydii/Mixed infection | 3 (1.7) | 4.0 (0.3, 47.0) | 0.27 | 6.8 (0.3, 138.4) | 0.21 | |