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. 2025 Aug 8;7(32):1041–1046. doi: 10.46234/ccdcw2025.177

Table 2. Influencing factors on the outbreak size of bacillary dysentery in China, 2008–2024.

Variable Outbreaks, n (%) Univariate Mutivariate
OR (95% CI) P aOR (95% CI) P
Note: - indicates that the variable was not included in the multivariable model.
Abbreviation: aOR=adjusted odds ratios; CI=confidence interval.
Year
2008–2013 113 (64.2) 1 1
2014–2019 56 (31.8) 0.2 (0.02, 1.8) 0.16 0.2 (0.01, 1.7) 0.12
2020–2024 7 (4.0) 0.2 (0.02, 1.2) 0.08 0.2 (0.01, 1.4) 0.10
Area
Urban 43 (24.4) 1 − −
Rural 133 (75.6) 1.4 (0.7, 2.8) 0.34 − −
Setting
Other 8 (4.5) 1 1
Kindergarden 18 (10.2) 4.5 (0.5, 44.4) 0.20 2.1 (0.1, 37.1) 0.61
Primary school 63 (35.8) 14.0 (1.6, 121.4) 0.02 8.3 (0.6, 122.1) 0.13
Middle/High school 42 (23.9) 8.5 (1.0, 75.2) 0.06 4.9 (0.3, 71.0) 0.24
Technical school/College 12 (6.8) 7.0 (0.7, 75.7) 0.11 7.8 (0.4, 150.4) 0.18
Village 33 (18.8) 3.0 (0.3, 28.1) 0.33 2.9 (0.2, 45.4) 0.44
Route of transmission
Unknown 40 (22.7) 1 1
Water-borne 84 (47.7) 5.0 (2.2, 11.4) <0.001 5.4 (1.9, 15.3) 0.001
Food-borne 42 (23.9) 2.4 (1.0, 6.0) 0.06 2.6 (0.9, 7.7) 0.09
Contact-borne 10 (5.7) 1.1 (0.3, 5.2) 0.88 1.8 (0.3, 11.4) 0.54
Response time, days
≤3 78 (44.3) 1 1
4–7 56 (31.8) 0.6 (0.3, 1.2) 0.14 0.3 (0.1, 0.8) 0.01
≤8 42 (23.9) 0.4 (0.2, 0.9) 0.02 0.3 (0.1, 1.1) 0.07
Duration, days
≤3 33 (18.8) 1 1
4–7 62 (35.2) 2.1 (0.9, 5.0) 0.09 2.9 (1.0, 8.5) 0.05
≤8 81 (46.0) 1.5 (0.7, 3.4) 0.33 3.8 (1.0, 13.8) 0.04
Pathogen
Unclassified 57 (32.4) 1 1
Shigella sonnei 83 (47.2) 4.2 (2.0, 8.5) <0.001 4.3 (1.7, 10.9) 0.002
Shigella flexneri 33 (18.8) 1.1 (0.5, 2.8) 0.77 1.5 (0.5, 4.5) 0.44
Shigella boydii/Mixed infection 3 (1.7) 4.0 (0.3, 47.0) 0.27 6.8 (0.3, 138.4) 0.21