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. 2025 May 31;312(3):803–812. doi: 10.1007/s00404-025-08057-9

Table 5.

Prediction of live birth, clinical pregnancy, and ongoing pregnancy by the initial level and rate of increase in serum β-hCG levels between patients after PGT and non-PGT

Variables Initial serum β-hCG levels, PGT group (n = 1698) Initial serum β-hCG levels, Non PGT group (n = 1830)
Clinical pregnancy Ongoing pregnancy Live birth Clinical pregnancy Ongoing pregnancy Live birth
Threshold value (IU/L) 71.5 101.50 122.5 100.5 121.5 130.5
Sensitivity (%) 89.3 80.0 70.1 81.5 75.5 71.7
Specificity (%) 72.5 60.6 60.1 76.0 61.0 61.6
PPV (%) 96.7 82.2 84.7 96.5 63.1 82.2
NPV 42.5 29.1 38.9 33.5 72.8 46.9
AUC 0.870 0.761 0,724 70.1 0.741 0,726
p-value < 0.001 < 0.001 < 0.001 < 0.001 < 0.001 < 0.001
Increase rate of β-hCGlevels (fold)
PGT group (n = 1698)
Increase rate of β-hCGlevels (fold)
Non PGT group (n = 1830)
Threshold value (Fold) 1.98 2.47 2.33 2.11 2.5 2.31
Sensitivity (%) 90.6 58.3 73.5 83.6 52.0 73.6
Specificity (%) 74.3 45.1 59.9 72.5 47.9 52.9
PPV (%) 97.0 70.0 85.4 96.1 65.0 79.4
NPV (%) 46.3 98.0 41.4 35.1 98.6 44.9
AUC 0.869 0.535 0.705 0.831 0.542 0.662
p-value < 0.001 < 0.001 < 0.001 < 0.001 < 0.001 < 0.001

Initial β-HCG levels were measured on day 9 post-blastocyst transfer