Table 3.

The results of negative binomial GLMs fitted to the peak abundance of worker bees of the major Bombus species

	Coeff	SE	z value	P value
(a) B. hypocrita AIC = 206.4 (217.9)
Intercept	3.940	0.162	24.38	< 0.0001***
ΔMid-summer temp	−0.617	0.196	−3.15	< 0.0017**
Previous mismatch	−0.036	0.017	−2.16	0.031*
(b) B. beaticola AIC = 221.8 (227.5)
Intercept (Kuro site)	4.337	0.245	17.70	< 0.0001***
ΔSnowmelt time	0.016	0.018	0.88	0.38
ΔEarly summer temp	0.296	0.098	3.02	0.0026**
ΔMid-summer temp	−0.401	0.142	−2.83	0.0047**
Previous mismatch	0.035	0.014	2.44	0.015*
Aka site	−0.789	0.278	−2.84	0.0045**
ΔSnowmelt × Aka	−0.077	0.028	−2.75	0.0060**
(c) B. yezoensis AIC = 214.9 (221.8)
Intercept (Kuro site)	4.639	0.313	14.83	< 0.000 ***
ΔSnowmelt time	−0.022	0.011	−2.02	0.043*
Previous mismatch	0.041	0.020	2.03	0.043*
Aka site	−1.061	0.327	−3.24	0.0012**
Previous mismatch × Aka	−0.054	0.026	−2.08	0.038*
(d) B. hypnorum AIC = 146.5 (155.7)
Intercept (Kuro site)	2.162	0.123	17.54	< 0.0001***
ΔMid-summer temp	−0.398	0.181	−2.20	0.028*
Aka site	0.739	0.184	4.01	< 0.0001***