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. 2025 Aug 23;15:31029. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-16750-7

Table 3.

Hazard ratios for CVD risk based on regular PA, stratified by steatotic liver disease group.

SLD group Physical activity N Event Follow-up
duration
Incidence rates Composite Subgroup
                                             Adjusted                                             Adjusted
Composite CVD event (myocardial infarction or ischemic stroke or cardiovascular mortality)
 No steatosis Irregular 551,331 35,961 3,114,269.7 11.55 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.)
Regular 180,649 9394 1,036,603.8 9.06 0.78 (0.77, 0.80) 0.82 (0.80, 0.84) 0.78 (0.77, 0.80) 0.82 (0.80, 0.84)
 MASLD Irregular 787,971 47,510 4,472,721.9 10.62 0.92 (0.91, 0.93) 1.16 (1.14, 1.18) 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.)
Regular 198,830 10,844 1,136,534.0 9.54 0.83 (0.81, 0.84) 1.01 (0.98, 1.03) 0.90 (0.88, 0.92) 0.87 (0.85, 0.89)
 MetALD Irregular 95,149 4559 542,349.4 8.41 0.73 (0.71, 0.75) 1.17 (1.13, 1.21) 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.)
Regular 24,280 1081 139,387.9 7.76 0.67 (0.63, 0.71) 1.00 (0.94, 1.06) 0.92 (0.86, 0.99) 0.85 (0.80, 0.91)
 ALD Irregular 65,844 4258 368,725.5 11.55 1.00 (0.97, 1.03) 1.33 (1.28, 1.38) 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.)
Regular 17,256 1000 97,692.0 10.24 0.89 (0.83, 0.94) 1.12 (1.05, 1.20) 0.89 (0.83, 0.95) 0.85 (0.79, 0.91)
  p-value < 0.001 < 0.001 – -
  p for interaction – – < 0.001 0.005
Myocardial infarction
 No steatosis Irregular 551,331 15,423 3,154,108.5 4.89 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.)
Regular 180,649 4186 1,047,198.7 4.00 0.82 (0.79, 0.85) 0.84 (0.81, 0.87) 0.82 (0.79, 0.85) 0.84 (0.81, 0.87)
 MASLD Irregular 787,971 21,731 4,527,950.5 4.80 0.98 (0.96, 1.00) 1.16 (1.13, 1.19) 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.)
Regular 198,830 5000 1,149,083.9 4.35 0.89 (0.86, 0.92) 1.03 (0.99, 1.06) 0.91 (0.88, 0.93) 0.89 (0.86, 0.91)
 MetALD Irregular 95,149 2058 547,788.5 3.76 0.77 (0.74, 0.81) 1.21 (1.15, 1.28) 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.)
Regular 24,280 465 140,741.9 3.30 0.68 (0.62, 0.74) 1.01 (0.91, 1.11) 0.88 (0.80, 0.97) 0.83 (0.75, 0.92)
 ALD Irregular 65,844 1830 373,671.4 4.90 1.00 (0.96, 1.05) 1.32 (1.24, 1.39) 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.)
Regular 17,256 429 98,947.8 4.34 0.89 (0.81, 0.98) 1.12 (1.01, 1.24) 0.88 (0.80, 0.98) 0.85 (0.77, 0.95)
  p-value < 0.001 < 0.001 – -
  p for interaction – – < 0.001 0.161
Ischemic stroke
 No steatosis Irregular 551,331 18,374 3,146,590.7 5.84 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.)
Regular 180,649 4816 1,045,556.3 4.61 0.79 (0.76, 0.81) 0.83 (0.81, 0.86) 0.79 (0.76, 0.81) 0.83 (0.81, 0.86)
 MASLD Irregular 787,971 23,992 4,522,191.9 5.31 0.91 (0.89, 0.93) 1.18 (1.15, 1.20) 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.)
Regular 198,830 5508 1,148,171.8 4.80 0.82 (0.80, 0.85) 1.03 (0.99, 1.06) 0.90 (0.88, 0.93) 0.87 (0.85, 0.90)
 MetALD Irregular 95,149 2355 547,080.2 4.30 0.74 (0.71, 0.77) 1.16 (1.11, 1.22) 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.)
Regular 24,280 595 140,389.0 4.24 0.73 (0.67, 0.79) 1.05 (0.96, 1.14) 0.98 (0.90, 1.08) 0.90 (0.82, 0.99)
 ALD Irregular 65,844 2180 372,849.1 5.85 1.00 (0.96, 1.05) 1.29 (1.23, 1.36) 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.)
Regular 17,256 528 98,670.2 5.35 0.92 (0.84, 1.00) 1.13 (1.03, 1.24) 0.91 (0.83, 1.01) 0.87 (0.79, 0.96)
  p-value < 0.001 < 0.001 - –
  p for interaction – – < 0.001 0.103
Cardiovascular mortality
 No steatosis Irregular 551,331 6587 3,189,572.6 2.07 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.)
Regular 180,649 1378 1,056,926.6 1.30 0.63 (0.60, 0.67) 0.72 (0.68, 0.76) 0.63 (0.60, 0.67) 0.72 (0.68, 0.76)
 MASLD Irregular 787,971 6758 4,581,578.5 1.48 0.72 (0.69, 0.74) 1.16 (1.11, 1.21) 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.)
Regular 198,830 1359 1,161,620.3 1.17 0.57 (0.54, 0.60) 0.89 (0.84, 0.95) 0.79 (0.75, 0.84) 0.77 (0.73, 0.82)
 MetALD Irregular 95,149 560 552,945.9 1.01 0.49 (0.45, 0.54) 1.22 (1.11, 1.35) 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.)
Regular 24,280 116 141,821.9 0.82 0.40 (0.33, 0.48) 0.87 (0.72, 1.05) 0.81 (0.66, 0.98) 0.71 (0.58, 0.87)
 ALD Irregular 65,844 633 378,103.8 1.67 0.81 (0.75, 0.88) 1.55 (1.41, 1.70) 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.)
Regular 17,256 128 100,010.7 1.28 0.62 (0.52, 0.74) 1.10 (0.92, 1.32) 0.76 (0.63, 0.92) 0.72 (0.59, 0.86)
  p-value < 0.001 < 0.001 – -
  p for interaction – – < 0.001 0.387

The results were obtained using Cox proportional hazards analysis and presented as HR with 95% CI. The follow-up duration is presented as person-years.

Incidence rates are presented per 1000 person-years.

Adjusted model: adjusted for age, sex, income, regular physical activity, CCI score, fasting glucose level, DM duration, insulin use, OHA, CKD, BMI, alcohol consumption, HTN, and dyslipidemia.

ALD, alcohol-related liver disease; BMI, body mass index; CCI, Charlson Comorbidity Index; CI, confidence interval; CKD, chronic kidney disease; CVD, cardiovascular disease; DM, diabetes mellitus; HR, hazard ratio; HTN, hypertension; MASLD, metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease; MetALD, metabolic dysfunction and alcohol-related steatotic liver disease; OHA, oral hypoglycemic agent; PA, physical activity; SLD, steatotic liver disease.