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. 2025 Aug 23;15:31029. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-16750-7

Table 4.

Hazard ratios for CVD risk based on regular PA and smoking status, stratified by steatotic liver disease group.

SLD group Group N Event Follow-up duration Incidence rates Composite Subgroup
                                              Adjusted                                              Adjusted
Composite CVD event (myocardial infarction or ischemic stroke or cardiovascular mortality)
 No steatosis Group 1 155,140 7735 893,072.6 8.66 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.)
Group 2 455,780 29,090 2,583,072.4 11.26 1.30 (1.27, 1.34) 1.23 (1.20, 1.26) 1.30 (1.27, 1.34) 1.23 (1.20, 1.26)
Group 3 25,509 1659 143,531.2 11.56 1.34 (1.27, 1.41) 1.71 (1.63, 1.81) 1.34 (1.27, 1.41) 1.71 (1.63, 1.81)
Group 4 95,551 6871 531,197.3 12.93 1.50 (1.45, 1.55) 1.99 (1.92, 2.05) 1.50 (1.45, 1.55) 1.99 (1.92, 2.05)
 MASLD Group 1 154,380 8286 884,086.8 9.37 1.08 (1.05, 1.12) 1.24 (1.20, 1.28) 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.)
Group 2 581,741 35,508 3,307,137.7 10.74 1.24 (1.21, 1.27) 1.45 (1.41, 1.48) 1.15 (1.12, 1.17) 1.17 (1.14, 1.20)
Group 3 44,450 2558 252,447.2 10.13 1.17 (1.12, 1.23) 2.01 (1.92, 2.10) 1.08 (1.04, 1.13) 1.62 (1.55, 1.70)
Group 4 206,230 12,002 1,165,584.3 10.30 1.19 (1.16, 1.23) 2.22 (2.15, 2.29) 1.10 (1.07, 1.13) 1.79 (1.74, 1.85)
 MetALD Group 1 14,686 624 84,786.6 7.36 0.85 (0.79, 0.92) 1.24 (1.14, 1.35) 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.)
Group 2 47,063 2,130 269,857.6 7.89 0.91 (0.87, 0.96) 1.47 (1.40, 1.55) 1.07 (0.98, 1.17) 1.19 (1.09, 1.30)
Group 3 9594 457 54,601.4 8.37 0.97 (0.88, 1.07) 1.92 (1.75, 2.12) 1.14 (1.01, 1.29) 1.55 (1.37, 1.75)
Group 4 48,086 2,429 272,491.8 8.91 1.03 (0.99, 1.08) 2.25 (2.15, 2.37) 1.21 (1.11, 1.33) 1.82 (1.66, 1.98)
 ALD Group 1 11,016 595 62,832.2 9.47 1.09 (1.01, 1.19) 1.35 (1.24, 1.47) 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.)
Group 2 35,905 2204 202,926.6 10.86 1.26 (1.20, 1.32) 1.61 (1.54, 1.70) 1.15 (1.05, 1.26) 1.19 (1.09, 1.31)
Group 3 6240 405 34,859.8 11.62 1.35 (1.22, 1.49) 2.29 (2.07, 2.54) 1.23 (1.08, 1.40) 1.70 (1.50, 1.93)
Group 4 29,939 2054 165,798.9 12.39 1.44 (1.37, 1.51) 2.67 (2.53, 2.82) 1.31 (1.20, 1.44) 1.97 (1.80, 2.16)
  p-value < 0.001 < 0.001 – –
  p for interaction – – < 0.001 0.002
Myocardial infarction
 No steatosis Group 1 155,140 3,467 901,764.2 3.84 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.)
Group 2 455,780 12,427 2,614,917.2 4.75 1.24 (1.19, 1.29) 1.19 (1.15, 1.24) 1.24 (1.19, 1.29) 1.19 (1.15, 1.24)
Group 3 25,509 719 145,434.5 4.94 1.29 (1.19, 1.40) 1.60 (1.48, 1.73) 1.29 (1.19, 1.40) 1.60 (1.48, 1.73)
Group 4 95,551 2996 539,191.4 5.56 1.45 (1.38, 1.52) 1.86 (1.77, 1.95) 1.45 (1.38, 1.52) 1.86 (1.77, 1.95)
 MASLD Group 1 154,380 3781 893,727.7 4.23 1.10 (1.05, 1.15) 1.22 (1.16, 1.28) 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.)
Group 2 581,741 15,889 3,348,649.6 4.74 1.24 (1.19, 1.28) 1.39 (1.34, 1.44) 1.12 (1.08, 1.16) 1.14 (1.10, 1.18)
Group 3 44,450 1219 255,356.2 4.77 1.25 (1.17, 1.33) 1.93 (1.80, 2.06) 1.13 (1.06, 1.21) 1.58 (1.48, 1.69)
Group 4 206,230 5842 1,179,300.9 4.95 1.29 (1.24, 1.35) 2.13 (2.03, 2.22) 1.18 (1.13, 1.22) 1.75 (1.67, 1.82)
 MetALD Group 1 14,686 251 85,594.6 2.93 0.77 (0.67, 0.87) 1.16 (1.02, 1.32) 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.)
Group 2 47,063 957 272,415.2 3.51 0.92 (0.85, 0.98) 1.51 (1.40, 1.63) 1.20 (1.04, 1.37) 1.30 (1.13, 1.50)
Group 3 9594 214 55,147.4 3.88 1.01 (0.88, 1.16) 1.96 (1.70, 2.26) 1.32 (1.10, 1.59) 1.69 (1.41, 2.03)
Group 4 48,086 1101 275,373.2 4.00 1.05 (0.98, 1.12) 2.17 (2.01, 2.34) 1.36 (1.19, 1.56) 1.87 (1.63, 2.15)
 ALD Group 1 11,016 249 63,569.6 3.92 1.02 (0.90, 1.16) 1.28 (1.13, 1.46) 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.)
Group 2 35,905 925 205,597.0 4.50 1.17 (1.09, 1.26) 1.52 (1.41, 1.64) 1.15 (1.00, 1.32) 1.19 (1.03, 1.36)
Group 3 6240 180 35,378.3 5.09 1.33 (1.14, 1.54) 2.21 (1.90, 2.58) 1.30 (1.08, 1.58) 1.72 (1.42, 2.09)
Group 4 29,939 905 168,074.4 5.38 1.41 (1.31, 1.51) 2.53 (2.34, 2.75) 1.38 (1.20, 1.59) 1.98 (1.72, 2.27)
  p-value < 0.001 < 0.001 – –
  p for interaction – – < 0.001 0.237
Ischemic stroke
 No steatosis Group 1 155,140 3961 900,436.8 4.40 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.)
Group 2 455,780 14,812 2,608,910.0 5.68 1.29 (1.25, 1.34) 1.21 (1.17, 1.25) 1.29 (1.25, 1.34) 1.21 (1.17, 1.25)
Group 3 25,509 855 145,119.6 5.89 1.34 (1.25, 1.45) 1.74 (1.61, 1.87) 1.34 (1.25, 1.45) 1.74 (1.61, 1.87)
Group 4 95,551 3562 537,680.7 6.62 1.51 (1.45, 1.58) 2.02 (1.93, 2.11) 1.51 (1.45, 1.58) 2.02 (1.93, 2.11)
 MASLD Group 1 154,380 4265 892,801.3 4.78 1.09 (1.04, 1.14) 1.25 (1.20, 1.31) 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.)
Group 2 581,741 18,240 3,342,670.3 5.46 1.24 (1.20, 1.29) 1.46 (1.40, 1.51) 1.14 (1.11, 1.18) 1.16 (1.13, 1.20)
Group 3 44,450 1243 255,370.5 4.87 1.11 (1.04, 1.18) 1.97 (1.84, 2.10) 1.02 (0.96, 1.09) 1.57 (1.47, 1.67)
Group 4 206,230 5752 1,179,521.7 4.88 1.11 (1.07, 1.16) 2.16 (2.07, 2.25) 1.02 (0.98, 1.07) 1.72 (1.66, 1.79)
 MetALD Group 1 14,686 358 85,283.8 4.20 0.96 (0.86, 1.06) 1.33 (1.19, 1.48) 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.)
Group 2 47,063 1107 272,043.8 4.07 0.93 (0.87, 0.99) 1.43 (1.33, 1.53) 0.97 (0.86, 1.09) 1.08 (0.96, 1.21)
Group 3 9594 237 55,105.2 4.30 0.98 (0.86, 1.12) 1.90 (1.66, 2.17) 1.03 (0.87, 1.21) 1.43 (1.22, 1.69)
Group 4 48,086 1248 275,036.5 4.54 1.04 (0.97, 1.10) 2.22 (2.07, 2.38) 1.08 (0.96, 1.22) 1.67 (1.49, 1.88)
 ALD Group 1 11,016 321 63,423.3 5.06 1.15 (1.03, 1.29) 1.37 (1.22, 1.54) 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.)
Group 2 35,905 1167 204,917.1 5.69 1.30 (1.21, 1.38) 1.60 (1.50, 1.72) 1.13 (1.00, 1.27) 1.17 (1.04, 1.33)
Group 3 6240 207 35,246.9 5.87 1.34 (1.16, 1.54) 2.21 (1.92, 2.55) 1.16 (0.98, 1.39) 1.62 (1.36, 1.93)
Group 4 29,939 1013 167,932.0 6.03 1.38 (1.29, 1.48) 2.47 (2.29, 2.66) 1.20 (1.06, 1.36) 1.80 (1.59, 2.05)
  p-value < 0.001 < 0.001 – –
  p for interaction – – < 0.001 < 0.001
Cardiovascular mortality
 No steatosis Group 1 155,140 1108 909,786.7 1.22 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.)
Group 2 455,780 5442 2,643,271.6 2.06 1.69 (1.59, 1.81) 1.45 (1.36, 1.55) 1.69 (1.59, 1.81) 1.45 (1.36, 1.55)
Group 3 25,509 270 147,139.9 1.83 1.52 (1.33, 1.73) 2.21 (1.93, 2.52) 1.52 (1.33, 1.73) 2.21 (1.93, 2.52)
Group 4 95,551 1145 546,301.0 2.10 1.74 (1.60, 1.89) 2.57 (2.37, 2.80) 1.74 (1.60, 1.89) 2.57 (2.37, 2.80)
 MASLD Group 1 154,380 1034 903,132.6 1.14 0.94 (0.87, 1.03) 1.25 (1.14, 1.36) 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.)
Group 2 581,741 5228 3,387,271.2 1.54 1.27 (1.19, 1.36) 1.68 (1.57, 1.80) 1.35 (1.26, 1.44) 1.35 (1.26, 1.44)
Group 3 44,450 325 258,487.7 1.26 1.04 (0.92, 1.18) 2.59 (2.28, 2.94) 1.10 (0.97, 1.25) 2.08 (1.83, 2.36)
Group 4 206,230 1530 1,194,307.3 1.28 1.06 (0.98, 1.15) 3.01 (2.77, 3.26) 1.13 (1.04, 1.22) 2.42 (2.23, 2.62)
 MetALD Group 1 14,686 67 86,132.5 0.78 0.64 (0.50, 0.82) 1.23 (0.95, 1.58) 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.)
Group 2 47,063 266 274,785.2 0.97 0.80 (0.70, 0.91) 1.75 (1.51, 2.02) 1.25 (0.95, 1.63) 1.42 (1.09, 1.86)
Group 3 9594 49 55,689.4 0.88 0.73 (0.55, 0.97) 2.35 (1.75, 3.14) 1.14 (0.79, 1.64) 1.91 (1.32, 2.76)
Group 4 48,086 294 278,160.7 1.06 0.88 (0.77, 1.00) 3.29 (2.86, 3.78) 1.37 (1.05, 1.78) 2.68 (2.05, 3.49)
 ALD Group 1 11,016 77 64,206.5 1.20 0.99 (0.78, 1.24) 1.52 (1.21, 1.93) 1 (Ref.) 1 (Ref.)
Group 2 35,905 335 207,775.8 1.61 1.33 (1.17, 1.50) 2.13 (1.88, 2.43) 1.35 (1.05, 1.72) 1.40 (1.09, 1.79)
Group 3 6240 51 35,804.2 1.42 1.18 (0.89, 1.56) 3.13 (2.36, 4.17) 1.19 (0.84, 1.70) 2.06 (1.44, 2.93)
Group 4 29,939 298 170,328.0 1.75 1.45 (1.28, 1.65) 4.36 (3.79, 5.01) 1.47 (1.14, 1.89) 2.86 (2.22, 3.68)
  p-value < 0.001 < 0.001 – –
  p for interaction – – < 0.001 0.639

The results were obtained using Cox proportional hazards analysis and presented as HR with 95% CI. The follow-up duration is presented as person-years.

Incidence rates are presented per 1000 person-years.

Group 1: never smoker or former smoker with regular PA; Group 2: never smoker or former smoker without regular PA; Group 3: current smoker with regular PA; Group 4: current smoker without regular PA.

Adjusted model: adjusted for age, sex, income, regular physical activity, CCI score, fasting glucose level, DM duration, insulin use, OHA, CKD, BMI, alcohol consumption, HTN, and dyslipidemia.

ALD, alcohol-related liver disease; BMI, body mass index; CCI, Charlson Comorbidity Index; CI, confidence interval; CKD, chronic kidney disease; CVD, cardiovascular disease; DM, diabetes mellitus; HR, hazard ratio; HTN, hypertension; MASLD, metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease; MetALD, metabolic dysfunction and alcohol-related steatotic liver disease; OHA, oral hypoglycemic agent; PA, physical activity; SLD, steatotic liver disease.