Table 2.
Changes in average monthly TB hospital caseload between 1st and 5th outbreaks of COVID-19
| Average monthly hospital TB caseload | Outbreak period | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall period | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | |
| Mean (95% CI) | ||||||
| Observed (actual) | 2677.2 (2537.8, 2816.6) | 3012.7 (2320.6, 3704.8) | 3123.5 (2516.4, 3730.6) | 2800.0 (2609.9, 2990.2) | 2422.1 (2131.3, 2712.9) | 2376.0 (2230.7, 2521.3) |
| Counterfactual |
3071.2 (2793.7, 3348.8) |
3100.2 (2920.6, 3279.9) |
3080.5 (2835.3, 3325.7) |
3073.3 (2803.3, 3343.3) |
3062.9 (2757.3, 3368.5) |
3047.5 (2688.3, 3406.7) |
| Percent difference* |
−12.83 (−9.16, −15.89) |
−2.83 (−20.55, 12.95) |
1.40 (−11.25, 12.17) |
−8.89 (−6.90, −10.56) |
−20.92 (−19.46, −22.70) |
−22.03 (−17.02, −25.99) |
*Percent difference, ((Observed – Counterfactual)/Counterfactual) × 100; TB, Tuberculosis; CI, Confidence interval; The bold values, Statistically significant