Table 3.
Estimates of the logistic regression models (associations between PM2.5, NO2, BC, and stroke) and potential impact fractions (PIFs) for the different air pollution reduction scenarios
| Stroke baseline prevalence 1.33% 95% CI [1.14;1.51] |
PM2.5 | NO2 | BC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
OR [95% CI] (for 1 IQR increase) |
1.69 [1.06;2.69] | 1.35 [0.91;1.99] | 1.17 [0.99;1.39] | |
| WHO guideline threshold |
RD (%) [95% CI] |
−0.88 [−1.35;−0.41] | −0.33 [−0.71;0.04] | |
|
PIF (%) [95% CI] |
67.08 [19.77;86.12] | 25.21 [−4.06;54.48] | ||
| −20% |
RD (%) [95% CI] |
−0.39 [−0.68;−0.10] | −0.13 0.30;0.03] | −0.11 [−0.22;0.01] |
|
PIF (%) [95% CI] |
29.10 [5.70;48.52] | 9.63 [−4.02;22.3] | 7.60 [−1.87;15.25] | |
| −40% |
RD (%) [95% CI] |
−0.67 [−1.10;−0.22] | −0.26 [−0.56;0.05] | −0.20 [−0.41;0.01] |
|
PIF (%) [95% CI] |
48.07 [9.42;73.29] | 18.44 [−7.29;39.22] | 14.15 [−3.88;27.56] | |
| −60% |
RD (%) [95% CI] |
−0.86 [−1.35;−0.36] | −0.36 [−0.56;0.05] | −0.29 [−0.58;0.01] |
|
PIF (%) [95% CI] |
61.47 [14.78;85.69] | 25.38 [−11.6;52.36] | 20 [−5.98;37.7] | |
| −80% |
RD (%) [95% CI] |
−0.99 [−1.52;−0.45] | −0.46 [−0.98;0.06] | −0.34 [−0.75;0.01] |
|
PIF (%) [95% CI] |
69.70 [16.59;92.11] | 31.24 [−18.04;61.7] | 22.76 [−13.5;45.96] | |
RD, risk difference, PIF, potential impact fraction, WHO, World Health Organization, CI, confidence interval, IQR, interquartile range