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. 2025 Sep 2;25:209. doi: 10.1186/s12874-025-02661-8

Table 3.

Estimates of the logistic regression models (associations between PM2.5, NO2, BC, and stroke) and potential impact fractions (PIFs) for the different air pollution reduction scenarios

Stroke baseline prevalence
1.33%
95% CI [1.14;1.51]
PM2.5 NO2 BC

OR

[95% CI]

(for 1 IQR increase)

1.69 [1.06;2.69] 1.35 [0.91;1.99] 1.17 [0.99;1.39]
WHO guideline threshold

RD (%)

[95% CI]

−0.88 [−1.35;−0.41] −0.33 [−0.71;0.04]

PIF (%)

[95% CI]

67.08 [19.77;86.12] 25.21 [−4.06;54.48]
−20%

RD (%)

[95% CI]

−0.39 [−0.68;−0.10] −0.13 0.30;0.03] −0.11 [−0.22;0.01]

PIF (%)

[95% CI]

29.10 [5.70;48.52] 9.63 [−4.02;22.3] 7.60 [−1.87;15.25]
−40%

RD (%)

[95% CI]

−0.67 [−1.10;−0.22] −0.26 [−0.56;0.05] −0.20 [−0.41;0.01]

PIF (%)

[95% CI]

48.07 [9.42;73.29] 18.44 [−7.29;39.22] 14.15 [−3.88;27.56]
−60%

RD (%)

[95% CI]

−0.86 [−1.35;−0.36] −0.36 [−0.56;0.05] −0.29 [−0.58;0.01]

PIF (%)

[95% CI]

61.47 [14.78;85.69] 25.38 [−11.6;52.36] 20 [−5.98;37.7]
−80%

RD (%)

[95% CI]

−0.99 [−1.52;−0.45] −0.46 [−0.98;0.06] −0.34 [−0.75;0.01]

PIF (%)

[95% CI]

69.70 [16.59;92.11] 31.24 [−18.04;61.7] 22.76 [−13.5;45.96]

RD, risk difference, PIF, potential impact fraction, WHO, World Health Organization, CI, confidence interval, IQR, interquartile range