Table 4.
Model performance measures.
Prediction model | R2 | Optimism-corrected R2 | AUC (95% CI) | Optimism-corrected AUC | Calibration slope b | Calibration intercept | Brier score | CHCH test P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Moderate-to-severe APSP | ||||||||
Full model | 0.27 | 0.25 | 0.764 (0.739–0.789) | 0.753 | 0.95 | −0.006 | 0.20 | 0.58 |
Reduced model | 0.26 | 0.25 | 0.762 (0.737–0.787) | 0.754 | 0.96 | −0.006 | 0.20 | 0.51 |
Severe APSP | ||||||||
Full model | 0.18 | 0.15 | 0.748 (0.709–0.787) | 0.724 | 0.89 | −0.18 | 0.10 | 0.57 |
Reduced model | 0.18 | 0.15 | 0.743 (0.705–0.782) | 0.724 | 0.91 | −0.15 | 0.10 | 0.68 |
AUROC, area under the receiver operating curve; CHCH, le Cessie–van Houwelingen–Copas Hosmer; CI, confidence interval; R2, Nagelkerke's pseudo-R2.