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. 2025 Aug 27;12(2):e003534. doi: 10.1136/openhrt-2025-003534

Table 2. Univariable and multivariable Cox regression analysis for the composite endpoint of all-cause mortality and aortic valve replacement.

Univariable analysis Multivariable analysis
Variable HR (95% CI) P value HR (95% CI) P value
Age, per 5 years* 1.22 (1.15 to 1.30) <0.001 1.26 (1.18 to 1.34) <0.001
Sex, female 1.19 (0.96 to 1.48) 0.12
Turner syndrome 1.04 (0.56 to 1.95) 0.90
History of hypertension* 2.01 (1.59 to 2.54) <0.001
History of coarctation 1.07 (0.77 to 1.50) 0.68
NYHA≥2* 2.09 (1.19 to 3.68) 0.01
Prior AV intervention* 0.78 (0.68 to 0.90) <0.001
SBP, per 5 mm Hg 1.02 (0.97 to 1.07) 0.36
DBP, per 5 mm Hg* 1.09 (1.01 to 1.17) 0.03
AV peak velocity, m/s* 2.88 (2.21 to 3.76) <0.001 3.17 (2.29 to 4.39) <0.001
AR, moderate 0.89 (0.60 to 1.33) 0.56
Impaired LV systolic function 1.43 (0.84 to 2.44) 0.19
LVEDD, mm* 0.96 (0.94 to 0.99) 0.006
LVESD, mm 0.98 (0.96 to 1.00) 0.047
LV concentric geometry* 2.75 (1.91 to 3.96) <0.001 1.64 (1.04 to 2.58) 0.03
Non-sinus rhythm* 2.15 (1.27 to 3.67) 0.005 3.12 (1.62 to 6.02) 0.002
Heart rate, bpm 1.01 (1.00 to 1.02) 0.19
PR-interval, ms * 1.01 (1.00 to 1.02) 0.01 1.00 (1.00 to 1.01) 0.07
QRS duration, ms 1.00 (1.00 to 1.01) 0.32
*

Included in full model for backward selection in multivariable analysis.

AV, aortic valve; AR, aortic regurgitation; DBP, diastolic blood pressure; LV, left ventricle; LVEDD, left ventricular end-diastolic dimension; LVESD, left ventricular end-systolic dimension; NYHA, New York Heart Association; SBP, systolic blood pressure.