Table 1.
Overall infertility measure over time in men with epilepsy or bipolar disorder exposed and unexposed to valproate
| Outcome | Outcome assessment period after index | Cohort | Patient count before matching | Patient count after matching | Patients excluded because they had the outcome prior to follow-up | Remaining patient denominator analysed | Patients with outcome | Risk | Hazard ratio (95% CI) | Log-Rank p-value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Composite outcome: -male infertilitya -testicular hypofunctionb or atrophyc -low sperm concentration, motility, vitality, normal forms, or semen volumed | Lifetime | Epilepsy or bipolar disorder exposed to valproate | 91,917 | 78,971 | 617 | 78,354 | 942 | 1.2% | 0.932 (0.849–1.024) | 0.142 |
| Epilepsy or bipolar disorder not exposed to valproate | 535,803 | 78,971 | 675 | 78,296 | 838 | 1.1% | ||||
| 30 days | Epilepsy or bipolar disorder exposed to valproate | 90,571 | 77,826 | 621 | 77,205 | 30 | 0.0% | 0.741 (0.461–1.189) | 0.213 | |
| Epilepsy or bipolar disorder not exposed to valproate | 524,095 | 77,826 | 638 | 77,188 | 40 | 0.1% | ||||
| 60 days | Epilepsy not exposed to valproate | 89,759 | 77,099 | 600 | 76,499 | 48 | 0.1% | 0.703 (0.485–1.018) | 0.061 | |
| Bipolar disorder exposed to valproate | 514,623 | 77,099 | 619 | 76,480 | 67 | 0.1% | ||||
| 90 days | Bipolar disorder not exposed to valproate | 88,702 | 76,278 | 583 | 75,695 | 73 | 0.1% | 0.848 (0.620– 1.160) | 0.302 | |
| Epilepsy or bipolar disorder exposed to valproate | 513,666 | 76,278 | 653 | 75,625 | 84 | 0.1% | ||||
| 180 days | Epilepsy or bipolar disorder not exposed to valproate | 88,687 | 75,985 | 590 | 75,395 | 131 | 0.2% | 0.951 (0.747– 1.210) | 0.681 | |
| Epilepsy exposed to valproate | 514,702 | 75,985 | 638 | 75,347 | 133 | 0.2% | ||||
| 360 days | Epilepsy not exposed to valproate | 84,068 | 71,327 | 511 | 70,816 | 191 | 0.3% | 0.910 (0.746, 1.110) | 0.353 | |
| Bipolar disorder exposed to valproate | 496,609 | 71,327 | 518 | 70,809 | 199 | 0.3% | ||||
| 2 years | Bipolar disorder not exposed to valproate | 83,222 | 70,346 | 532 | 70,346 | 333 | 0.5% | 0.919 (0.790–1.069) | 0.272 | |
| Epilepsy or bipolar disorder exposed to valproate | 478,058 | 70,328 | 550 | 70,328 | 338 | 0.5% | ||||
| 5 years | Epilepsy or bipolar disorder not exposed to valproate | 87,720 | 75,233 | 583 | 74,650 | 633 | 0.8% | 0.949 (0.848– 1.061) | 0.358 | |
| Epilepsy exposed to valproate | 503,955 | 75,233 | 600 | 74,633 | 596 | 0.8% | ||||
| 10 years | Epilepsy not exposed to valproate | 82,046 | 70,425 | 527 | 69,898 | 747 | 1.1% | 0.942 (0.849– 1.045) | 0.261 | |
| Bipolar disorder exposed to valproate | 469,361 | 70,425 | 570 | 69,855 | 677 | 1.0% |
a Male infertility (as defined by the World Health Organisation (WHO) through the International Classification of Diseases 10th Revision Clinical Modification (ICD-10-CM) code N46—which includes N46.0 (Azoospermia), N46.1 (Oligospermia), N46.8 (Other male infertility—capturing where male infertility has been identified but the cause does not fit into any of the other specified (coded) aetiological categories), N46.9 (Male infertility, unspecified—capturing where male infertility that has been identified but the cause is unclear)55, and 606 (Infertility, male—which is the ICD-9-CM code equivalent of N46, allowing healthcare systems using older coding to still be represented).
b Testicular hypofunction (ICD-10-CM code E29.1)—which includes defective biosynthesis of testicular androgen, 5-delta-reductase deficiency (with male pseudohermaphroditism), and testicular hypogonadism.
c Testicular atrophy (ICD-10-CM code N50.0)—a code which clinicians have the discretion to use when finding evidence of a pathological reduction in size of the testicles, e.g., using an orchidometer or ultrasound).
d Low sperm concentration (< 16 × 106/ml semen semen), low sperm motility ( < 42% total motility), low sperm vitality ( < 54% viable), low normal forms ( < 4% of sperm have a normal morphology), or low semen volume ( < 1.4 mL). CI = Confidence interval.
N.B: Statistics = Survival analysis using Cox-proportional hazard models with 95% CIs and two-sided Log-Rank p-values with a 0.05 level of significance. Slight variation in overall patient count denominators over time reflects the fact that each analysis was conducted as an independent query on a live, dynamic dataset, where patient inclusion can vary slightly due to real-time clinical updates, such as newly recorded diagnoses, additional data accrual, or changes in data completeness across healthcare network sites. Overall trends and conclusions have not been impacted.