Fig. 3.

Age-dependent reproduction estimates (breeding probability, A–F; breeding success probability, G–L) from a multievent model for three different migration strategies of Greater flamingos. The curves of breeding and breeding success probabilities associated with the three migratory strategies are presented on panel A–C and G–I, respectively. The posterior distributions of the following parameters are provided: breeding probability at the onset of senescence (D), age at the onset of senescence (i.e., the age at which breeding probability was maximal and decreased afterward) (E), age at which 90% individuals stopped breeding (F), breeding success probability at first reproduction (J), breeding success probability at the onset of senescence (i.e., values provided on panel E) (K), and breeding success probability late in life (i.e., age at which 90% individuals stopped breeding; values provided on panel F) (L).