Table 3.
Status Quo Markov Models of Tobacco Use Behavior among US Young Adults Aged 18–24 from Baseline Projected over 10 Years
| Non-current users | Cigarette users | Dual users | E-cigarette users | Former users | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| |||||
| Base case model | |||||
| Baseline | 79% | 15% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| 1 year | 74% | 18% | 1% | 1% | 6% |
| 5 years | 55% | 28% | 1% | 1% | 15% |
| 10 years | 38% | 37% | 1% | 2% | 22% |
| Adjusted base case model | |||||
| Baseline | 79% | 15% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| 1 year | 74% | 13% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
| 5 years | 58% | 18% | 1% | 1% | 22% |
| 10 years | 48% | 21% | 1% | 1% | 29% |
Note.
% = prevalence