Table 5.
Estimates of the β-parameters (credible intervals) in alternative models.
| Model | β0 | β1 | β2 | β3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayesian models | ||||
| Alternate model 1 | –0.0025 (–0.0067 to 0.0018) | –0.0055 (–0.0106 to –0.0005) | 0.0049 (–0.0001 to 0.0098) | –0.0016 (–0.0059 to 0.0025) |
| Alternate model 2 | 0.0013 (–0.0032 to 0.0057) | 0.0004 (–0.0045 to 0.0054) | 0.0061 (0.0013 to 0.0108) | 0.0016 (–0.0028 to 0.0057) |
| Classical Poisson GAMs | ||||
| Durham County | –0.0036 (–0.0149 to 0.0077) | 0.0024 (–0.0102 to 0.0149) | 0.0124 (1.5 ×10−6 to 0.0248) | –0.0100 (–0.0210 to 0.0009) |
| Guilford County | 0.0009 (–0.0084 to 0.0102) | –0.0073 (–0.0178 to 0.0033) | 0.0018 (–8.5 × 10−3 to 0.0122) | –0.0020 (–0.0110 to 0.0069) |
| Wake County | –0.0032 (–0.0117 to 0.0054) | –0.0058 (–0.0152 to 0.0037) | 0.0061 (–3.1 × 10−3 to 0.0153) | 0.0050 (–0.0032 to 0.0132) |