Bayesian models |
Alternate model 1 |
–0.0025 (–0.0067 to 0.0018) |
–0.0055 (–0.0106 to –0.0005) |
0.0049 (–0.0001 to 0.0098) |
–0.0016 (–0.0059 to 0.0025) |
Alternate model 2 |
0.0013 (–0.0032 to 0.0057) |
0.0004 (–0.0045 to 0.0054) |
0.0061 (0.0013 to 0.0108) |
0.0016 (–0.0028 to 0.0057) |
Classical Poisson GAMs |
Durham County |
–0.0036 (–0.0149 to 0.0077) |
0.0024 (–0.0102 to 0.0149) |
0.0124 (1.5 ×10−6 to 0.0248) |
–0.0100 (–0.0210 to 0.0009) |
Guilford County |
0.0009 (–0.0084 to 0.0102) |
–0.0073 (–0.0178 to 0.0033) |
0.0018 (–8.5 × 10−3 to 0.0122) |
–0.0020 (–0.0110 to 0.0069) |
Wake County |
–0.0032 (–0.0117 to 0.0054) |
–0.0058 (–0.0152 to 0.0037) |
0.0061 (–3.1 × 10−3 to 0.0153) |
0.0050 (–0.0032 to 0.0132) |