TABLE 2.

Parameter estimates and 95% CrIs for random changepoint ZIBB model used in the simulation study.

Component	Parameter	Simulated value	Posterior mean	95% CrI
Binary	${\alpha }_0$	0.59	0.36	[−0.12, 0.98]
	${\alpha }_1$	0.86	0.92	[0.67, 1.21]
	${\alpha }_2$	0.45	0.67	[0.04, 1.26]
	${\alpha }_3$	−0.35	−0.33	[−0.69, −0.02]
	${\alpha }_{41}$	−1.15	−1.13	[−1.61, −0.65]
	${\alpha }_{42}$	−0.54	−0.68	[−1.07, −0.27]
BB	${\beta }_0$	−0.94	−0.85	[−1.24, −0.48]
	${\beta }_1$	0.59	0.55	[0.38, 0.73]
	${\beta }_2$	0.89	0.81	[0.42, 1.20]
	${\beta }_3$	0.43	0.47	[0.25, 0.68]
	${\beta }_{41}$	0.68	0.60	[0.18, 0.99]
	${\beta }_{42}$	−0.66	−0.39	[−0.67, −0.05]
	$\rho$	0.25	0.28	[0.23, 0.32]
Changepoints	${\kappa }_1$	8.00	8.08	[7.46, 8.72]
	${\kappa }_2$	7.00	6.84	[6.12, 7.60]
	${\kappa }_1-{\kappa }_2$	1.00	1.24	[0.25, 2.20]
Random	${\mathbf{\Sigma }}_{11}$	0.50	1.19	[0.46, 2.28]
Effect	${\mathbf{\Sigma }}_{22}$	0.35	0.57	[0.34, 0.89]
	${\mathbf{\Sigma }}_{33}$	0.35	0.45	[0.12, 1.23]
	${\mathbf{\Sigma }}_{44}$	0.50	0.26	[0.08, 0.55]
	${\mathbf{\Sigma }}_{55}$	0.50	0.47	[0.31, 0.61]
	${\mathbf{\Sigma }}_{66}$	0.35	0.31	[0.10, 0.88]
	${\mathbf{\Sigma }}_{12}$	0.05	0.02	[−0.17, 0.18]
	${\mathbf{\Sigma }}_{13}$	0.05	0.01	[−0.12, 0.15]
	${\mathbf{\Sigma }}_{23}$	0.05	−0.01	[−0.15, 0.10]
	${\mathbf{\Sigma }}_{14}$	0.05	−0.01	[−0.21, 0.13]
	${\mathbf{\Sigma }}_{24}$	0.05	0.03	[−0.08, 0.16]
	${\mathbf{\Sigma }}_{34}$	0.05	0.01	[−0.09, 0.12]
	${\mathbf{\Sigma }}_{15}$	0.05	−0.00	[−0.21, 0.20]
	${\mathbf{\Sigma }}_{25}$	0.05	0.06	[−0.05, 0.16]
	${\mathbf{\Sigma }}_{35}$	0.05	−0.03	[−0.18, 0.12]
	${\mathbf{\Sigma }}_{45}$	0.15	0.02	[−0.09, 0.12]
	${\mathbf{\Sigma }}_{16}$	0.05	−0.05	[−0.12, 0.26]
	${\mathbf{\Sigma }}_{26}$	0.05	0.03	[−0.12, 0.25]
	${\mathbf{\Sigma }}_{36}$	0.05	0.01	[−0.13, 0.14]
	${\mathbf{\Sigma }}_{46}$	0.05	0.03	[−0.05, 0.21]
	${\mathbf{\Sigma }}_{56}$	0.05	−0.02	[−0.19, 0.14]