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JAMA Network logoLink to JAMA Network
. 2026 Jan 12;186(3):311–320. doi: 10.1001/jamainternmed.2025.7286

High-Dose vs Standard-Dose Influenza Vaccine in Older Adults With Diabetes

A Secondary Analysis of the DANFLU-2 Randomized Clinical Trial

Anne Bjerg Nielsen 1,2, Niklas Dyrby Johansen 1,2, Daniel Modin 1,2, Matthew M Loiacono 3,4, Rebecca C Harris 5, Marine Dufournet 6, Carsten Schade Larsen 7,8, Lykke Larsen 9, Lothar Wiese 10, Michael Dalager-Pedersen 11,12, Brian L Claggett 13, Kira Hyldekær Janstrup 1,2, Katja Vu Bartholdy 1,2, Katrine Feldballe Bernholm 1,2, Julie Inge-Marie Helene Borchsenius 1,2, Filip Søskov Davidovski 1,2, Lise Witten Davodian 1,2, Maria Dons 1,2, Lisa Steen Duus 1,2, Caroline Espersen 1,2, Frederik Holme Fussing 1,2, Anne Marie Reimer Jensen 1,2, Nino Emanuel Landler 1,2, Adam Cadovius Femerling Langhoff 1,2, Mats Christian Højbjerg Lassen 1,2, Camilla Ikast Ottosen 1,2, Morten Sengeløv 1,2, Kristoffer Grundtvig Skaarup 1,2, Manan Pareek 1,2, Dirk Müller-Wieland 14, Scott D Solomon 13, Martin J Landray 15, Gunnar H Gislason 1,16,17, Lars Køber 16,18, Pradeesh Sivapalan 16,19, Cyril Jean-Marie Martel 20, Jens Ulrik Stæhr Jensen 16,19, Tor Biering-Sørensen 1,2,18,21,
PMCID: PMC12797130  PMID: 41525066

Key Points

Question

Does the high-dose inactivated influenza vaccine (HD-IIV) provide superior protection against severe respiratory and cardiovascular outcomes in older adults compared with the standard-dose inactivated influenza vaccine (SD-IIV), and does relative vaccine effectiveness differ among older adults with and without diabetes?

Findings

In this prespecified secondary analysis of the DANFLU-2 randomized clinical trial of 332 438 older adults, including 43 881 with diabetes, HD-IIV was associated with reduced cardiorespiratory, cardiovascular, heart failure, influenza, and laboratory-confirmed hospitalizations compared with SD-IIV, irrespective of diabetes status.

Meaning

The trial results suggest that HD-IIV may offer incremental protection compared with SD-IIV against cardiovascular and influenza-related outcomes in individuals with and without diabetes, although these findings are exploratory and must be interpreted in this context.

Abstract

Importance

Influenza infection poses a substantial risk of severe complications, particularly in older adults and high-risk populations, such as individuals with diabetes. The high-dose inactivated influenza vaccine (HD-IIV) has demonstrated superior efficacy against influenza infection compared with the standard-dose inactivated influenza vaccine (SD-IIV) among adults 65 years or older. However, there is limited evidence on its effectiveness in preventing severe respiratory and cardiovascular outcomes in individuals with diabetes.

Objective

To investigate the relative vaccine effectiveness (rVE) of HD-IIV vs SD-IIV against severe respiratory and cardiovascular outcomes according to diabetes status and across diabetes subgroups.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This was a prespecified secondary analysis of DANFLU-2, a pragmatic, open-label, individually randomized clinical trial conducted in Denmark during the 2022/2023 to 2024/2025 influenza seasons. Adults 65 years or older were eligible for inclusion regardless of comorbidities. Data were obtained from nationwide health registries and analyzed from June to October 2025.

Interventions

Participants were randomly allocated 1:1 to receive HD-IIV or SD-IIV.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Outcomes included respiratory and cardiovascular hospitalizations. The potential effect modification by diabetes status and across diabetes subgroups was tested.

Results

Among 332 438 participants (mean [SD] age, 73.7 [5.8] years; 161 538 female individuals [48.6%]), 43 881 (13.2%) had diabetes. Overall, HD-IIV compared with SD-IIV was associated with reduced cardiorespiratory hospitalization, cardiovascular hospitalization, and influenza hospitalization. Effect estimates were similar for participants with and without diabetes for cardiorespiratory hospitalization (diabetes: rVE, 7.4%; 95% CI, −2.5% to 16.3%; no diabetes: rVE, 5.3%; 95% CI, 0.4%-10.0%; interaction P = .69), cardiovascular hospitalization (diabetes: rVE, 12.0%; 95% CI, −0.9% to 23.3%; no diabetes: rVE, 6.0%; 95% CI, −0.4% to 12.0%; interaction P = .38), and influenza hospitalization (diabetes: rVE, 41.6%; 95% CI, 5.0%-64.7%, vs no diabetes: rVE, 44.3%; 95% CI, 25.3%-58.7%; interaction P = .87). Duration of diabetes appeared to modify the effect of HD-IIV vs SD-IIV for cardiorespiratory hospitalization, with suggested benefit of HD-IIV in participants with diabetes duration longer than 5 years (rVE, 20.4%; 95% CI, 5.3%-33.1%), but not in those with shorter duration (rVE, −0.4%; 95% CI, −13.8% to 11.5%; interaction P = .03).

Conclusions and Relevance

The trial results suggest that, among adults 65 years or older, HD-IIV provided consistent benefit for cardiorespiratory, cardiovascular, and influenza hospitalizations compared with SD-IIV, regardless of diabetes status.

Trial Registration

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT05517174


This secondary analysis of a randomized clinical trial examines relative vaccine effectiveness of high-dose vs standard-dose inactivated influenza vaccines against severe respiratory and cardiovascular outcomes according to diabetes status and across diabetes subgroups.

Introduction

Influenza infection causes substantial global morbidity and mortality, particularly burdening older adults and individuals with chronic conditions, such as diabetes, who face elevated risk of severe influenza-related complications.1,2,3 While seasonal influenza vaccination remains the primary preventive measure against influenza and associated adverse outcomes, the standard-dose inactivated influenza vaccine (SD-IIV) may elicit suboptimal immune responses and insufficient protection, particularly for susceptible populations, such as older adults and individuals with diabetes.4,5,6 Given the substantial burden of influenza in these vulnerable populations, optimizing vaccination strategies is crucial.

The high-dose inactivated influenza vaccine (HD-IIV), which contains 4 times the antigen content of SD-IIV, was developed to better protect older adults.4 The relative efficacy of HD-IIV compared with SD-IIV against laboratory-confirmed influenza has been demonstrated in older adults,7 and its use is currently preferentially recommended compared with SD-IIV for adults 65 years or older in the US.8 However, there is limited evidence from individually randomized trials on the relative vaccine effectiveness (rVE) of HD-IIV compared with SD-IIV against severe clinical outcomes in individuals with diabetes. Therefore, this prespecified secondary analysis of the DANFLU-2 randomized clinical trial aimed to evaluate the rVE of HD-IIV vs SD-IIV against severe respiratory and cardiovascular outcomes according to diabetes status and across key diabetes subgroups in adults 65 years or older.

Methods

Trial Design

This was a prespecified secondary analysis of DANFLU-2, a pragmatic, registry-based, open-label, active-controlled, individually randomized clinical trial conducted in Denmark during the 2022/2023, 2023/2024, and 2024/2025 influenza seasons. The trial design and primary results have previously been published.9,10 The trial used nationwide Danish administrative health registries to obtain baseline, end point, and safety data. Only 1 study visit was required for randomization and vaccination.

DANFLU-2 was approved as a low-intervention clinical trial (EU CT 2022-500657-17-00) by the Medical Research Ethics Committees in Denmark and the Danish Medicines Agency and was approved by the data authority in the Capital Region of Denmark. All participants provided informed consent. The trial protocol and statistical analysis plan are available in Supplement 1. This report followed the Consolidated Standards of Reporting Trials (CONSORT) reporting guidelines.

Participants

Adults 65 years or older were eligible for inclusion, regardless of comorbidities. No formal exclusion criteria were specified. In each season, up to 1 000 000 Danish citizens 65 years or older were invited through electronic invitations delivered via the Danish governmental electronic letter system (Digital Post).11 After scheduling the trial visit, participants could provide informed consent online or in person at the trial visit.

Group Allocation and Interventions

Participants were randomly allocated in 1:1 to receive HD-IIV or SD-IIV. Randomization was performed during the trial visit through a tablet application linked to a centralized randomization algorithm. Participants re-enrolling in subsequent seasons underwent rerandomization and were treated as unique observations.12 Treatment allocation was open label for participants and study staff.

In each season, participants received a single intramuscular injection of quadrivalent HD-IIV (Fluzone High-Dose Quadrivalent/Efluelda/Efluelda Tetra; Sanofi) or quadrivalent SD-IIV (VaxigripTetra; Sanofi). HD-IIV contains 60 μg of hemagglutinin antigen for each strain, whereas SD-IIV contains 15 μg for each. The trial allowed for coadministration with other seasonal vaccines as per local recommendations and guidelines.

Data Collection and Baseline Information

Minimal data were collected at the trial visit, comprising identifying information, consent, and information on randomization and vaccine administration. All other data were obtained primarily from the nationwide administrative health registries, which contain data from all inpatient and outpatient hospital contacts within the universal Danish public health system.13 Baseline characteristics and end points were identified using prespecified definitions.9

Baseline diabetes was defined as at least 1 inpatient or outpatient hospital encounter registered in the Danish National Patient Registry with an International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision (ICD-10) code for diabetes (E10-E14) as the primary or secondary discharge diagnosis within 10 years before randomization, or at least 1 laboratory measurement of glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) of 6.5% (48 mmol/mol) or greater (to convert to the total proportion of hemoglobin, multiply by 0.01) within 5 years before randomization. Baseline HbA1c levels were reported as the most recent measured HbA1c level within 5 years of randomization. As HbA1c was measured as part of usual care in primary care or hospitals, it was not systematically available for all participants. Baseline definitions for diabetes subgroups are described in the eMethods in Supplement 2.

End Points

In each season, follow-up extended from 14 days after vaccination through May 31 of the following year. The primary end point of DANFLU-2 was hospitalization for influenza or pneumonia, for which the results, including by diabetes status, have been reported.10 This analysis evaluated the following prespecified severe cardiovascular and respiratory end points: (1) hospitalization for any cardiorespiratory disease, (2) hospitalization for any cardiovascular disease, (3) hospitalization for any respiratory disease, (4) hospitalization for influenza, (5) laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalization, (6) hospitalization for heart failure, (7) hospitalization for myocardial infarction, (8) hospitalization for stroke, (9) major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), defined as a composite of myocardial infarction, stroke, heart failure hospitalization, or cardiovascular death, and (10) cardiovascular death. The prespecified end points were evaluated according to diabetes status and across diabetes subgroups. Hospitalization-based events with an associated COVID-19 ICD-10 discharge diagnosis code (B34.2, B97.2) were not considered end points. In addition to the prespecified end points, nonprespecified end points of incident diabetes and incident diabetes–related complications were evaluated, with definitions provided in the eMethods in Supplement 2.

Statistical Analysis

For each end point, absolute risks were calculated separately for participants with and without diabetes. Risk ratios comparing these 2 groups were estimated using log-binomial regression models and presented with 95% CIs.

rVE was calculated as 1 minus the relative risk of the end point and presented as a percentage, with P values calculated using binomial tests and 95% CIs determined using the Clopper-Pearson method.14 To test for effect modification by diabetes status, rVE was calculated for each stratum, and interaction P values were calculated using the Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel test for homogeneity.

The number needed to vaccinate (NNV) was estimated as the reciprocal of the absolute risk difference between SD-IIV and HD-IIV for end points, with an overall benefit of HD-IIV. All comparisons of HD-IIV vs SD-IIV were performed according to the intention-to-treat principle and were limited to the first occurrence of each end point. A sensitivity analysis was performed to account for within-participant correlation among participants enrolled in more than 1 season. A description of statistical analyses within diabetes subgroups is available in the eMethods in Supplement 2.

P values of <.05 were considered statistically significant; no adjustments were made for multiple comparisons. Statistical analyses were performed using SAS, version 9.4 (SAS Institute); Stata MP, version 19.5 (StataCorp); and R, version 4.3.3 (R Foundation for Statistical Computing).

Results

Participants

Among a total of 332 438 included participants, 166 218 (50.0%) were randomly assigned to receive HD-IIV and 166 220 (50.0%) to SD-IIV. A total of 43 881 participants (13.2%) had diabetes at baseline, of whom 21 929 (50.0%) were randomly assigned to receive HD-IIV and 21 952 (50.0%) to SD-IIV. A study flow diagram is available in eFigure 1 in Supplement 2. Among participants with diabetes, the mean (SD) age was 74.1 (5.9) years, 16 379 (37.3%) were female, and the median HbA1c level was 6.5% (IQR, 6.2%-7.0%). Of the participants with diabetes, 41 889 (95%) were identified by HbA1c levels, 19 528 (45%) by ICD-10 codes, and 17 546 (40%) met both criteria. Among participants registered with an ICD-10 code for diabetes, 2052 (11%) were classified as having type 1 diabetes and 15 233 (78%) as having type 2 diabetes. Baseline comorbidities were more prevalent among participants with diabetes than in those without (Table 1). The median diabetes duration was 4.6 years (IQR, 2.9-6.2), and a diabetes-related complication was present in 7562 participants with diabetes (17%). Baseline characteristics were balanced across randomization groups in participants with diabetes (eTable 1 in Supplement 2).

Table 1. Baseline Characteristics According to Diabetes Status.

Characteristic Participants, No. (%)a
Overall (N = 332 438) With diabetesb (n = 43 881) Without diabetesb (n = 288 548)
Age, mean (SD), y 73.7 (5.8) 74.1 (5.9) 73.6 (5.8)
Sex
Female 161 538 (48.6) 16 379 (37.3) 145 153 (50.3)
Male 170 900 (51.4) 27 502 (62.7) 143 395 (49.7)
Presence of at least 1 chronic disease 177 769 (53.5) 43 881 (100.0) 133 888 (46.4)
Chronic cardiovascular disease 91 026 (27.4) 17 326 (39.5) 73 700 (25.5)
Ischemic heart disease 31 112 (9.4) 7473 (17.0) 23 639 (8.2)
Myocardial infarction 9405 (2.8) 2110 (4.8) 7295 (2.5)
Atrial fibrillation 34 085 (10.3) 6578 (15.0) 27 507 (9.5)
Heart failure 10 410 (3.1) 2914 (6.6) 7496 (2.6)
Cerebrovascular disease 16 381 (4.9) 3102 (7.1) 13 279 (4.6)
Peripheral vascular disease 2979 (0.9) 938 (2.1) 2041 (0.7)
Chronic lung disease 27 152 (8.2) 4860 (11.1) 22 292 (7.7)
Chronic obstructive lung disease 13 488 (4.1) 2844 (6.5) 10 644 (3.7)
Chronic kidney disease 46 788 (14.1) 16 234 (37.0) 30 554 (10.6)
Immunodeficiency 14 315 (4.3) 2382 (5.4) 11 933 (4.1)
Cancer 45 918 (13.8) 6869 (15.7) 39 049 (13.5)
Coadministration with COVID-19 vaccine 204 723 (61.6) 27 440 (62.5) 177 283 (61.4)
HbA1c level, median (IQR), %c 5.6 (5.4-5.9) 6.5 (6.2-7.0) 5.6 (5.4-5.8)

Abbreviation: HbA1c, glycated hemoglobin.

SI conversion factor: to convert HbA1c to the proportion of total hemoglobin, multiply by 0.01 (to convert to mmol/mol, multiply by 10.93 and subtract 23.5).

a

Baseline characteristics were sourced from nationwide administrative health registries using prespecified definitions. Nine individuals (8 in season 2, 1 in season 3) of the total 332 438 randomized withdrew consent after randomization and did not contribute any other baseline data than age and sex.

b

All P values for the comparison of participants with and without diabetes were <.001.

c

HbA1c level was missing for 25 858 participants (7.8%) (24 [0.1%] with diabetes and 25 825 [9.0%] without diabetes).

End Points by Diabetes Status

The risk of experiencing the evaluated cardiovascular and respiratory end points was generally higher for participants with diabetes than for those without, with relative risks ranging from 1.34 (95% CI, 1.13-1.59) for stroke hospitalizations to 3.26 (95% CI, 2.69-3.94) for heart failure hospitalizations (Figure 1).

Figure 1. Risks of End Points by Diabetes Status.

Figure 1.

Risks of evaluated end points according to baseline diabetes status. Risk ratios with 95% CIs that compared participants with and without diabetes were estimated using a log-binomial regression. MACE indicates major adverse cardiovascular events.

During follow-up, a total of 1903 participants (4.3%) with diabetes and 8543 participants (3.0%) without diabetes were tested for influenza. Among those tested, 170 participants (8.9%) with diabetes and 840 (9.8%) without diabetes had a positive test result (P = .23).

The rVE of HD-IIV vs SD-IIV against all examined end points was consistent regardless of diabetes status (Table 2). There was no evidence of effect modification by diabetes status on the overall lower incidence of hospitalization for any cardiorespiratory disease in the HD-IIV group compared with the SD-IIV group (diabetes: rVE, 7.4%; 95% CI, −2.5% to 16.3%; no diabetes: rVE, 5.3%; 95% CI, 0.4%-10.0%; interaction P = .69).15 Similar consistent findings were observed for the overall lower incidence of hospitalization for any cardiovascular disease (diabetes: rVE, 12.0%; 95% CI, −0.9% to 23.3%; no diabetes: rVE, 6.0%; 95% CI, −0.4% to 12.0%; interaction P = .38), while no difference in hospitalization for any respiratory disease was observed, which was consistent by diabetes status (diabetes: rVE, 1.7%; 95% CI, −13.7% to 15.0%; no diabetes: rVE, 4.3%; 95% CI, −3.4% to 11.3%; interaction P = .75).

Table 2. Relative Vaccine Effectiveness of HD-IIV vs SD-IIV Against Prespecified End Points According to Diabetes Status.

End pointa/diabetes status Events, No. (%) Relative vaccine effectiveness, % (95% CI) P value for interaction
HD-IIV SD-IIV
Hospitalization for any cardiorespiratory disease
All participants 3735 (2.3) 3962 (2.4) 5.7 (1.4 to 9.9) .69
Diabetes 744 (3.4) 804 (3.7) 7.4 (−2.5 to 16.3)
No diabetes 2991 (2.1) 3158 (2.2) 5.3 (0.4 to 10.0)
Hospitalization for any cardiovascular disease
All participants 2156 (1.3) 2323 (1.4) 7.2 (1.5 to 12.5) .38
Diabetes 399 (1.8) 454 (2.1) 12.0 (−0.9 to 23.3)
No diabetes 1757 (1.2) 1869 (1.3) 6.0 (−0.4 to 12.0)
Hospitalization for any respiratory disease
All participants 1677 (1.0) 1742 (1.0) 3.7 (−3.0 to 10.0) .75
Diabetes 373 (1.7) 380 (1.7) 1.7 (−13.7 to 15.0)
No diabetes 1304 (0.9) 1362 (0.9) 4.3 (−3.4 to 11.3)
Hospitalization for influenza
All participants 101 (0.1) 179 (0.1) 43.6 (27.6 to 56.2) .87
Diabetes 28 (0.1) 48 (0.2) 41.6 (5.0 to 64.7)
No diabetes 73 (0.1) 131 (0.1) 44.3 (25.3 to 58.7)
Laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalization
All participants 177 (0.1) 276 (0.2) 35.9 (22.3 to 47.2) .55
Diabetes 46 (0.2) 65 (0.3) 29.2 (−4.9 to 52.5)
No diabetes 131 (0.1) 211 (0.2) 37.9 (22.4 to 50.5)
Hospitalization for heart failure
All participants 214 (0.1) 266 (0.2) 19.5 (3.3 to 33.1) .98
Diabetes 71 (0.3) 88 (0.4) 19.2 (−11.7 to 41.8)
No diabetes 143 (0.1) 178 (0.1) 19.7 (−0.7 to 36.0)
Hospitalization for myocardial infarction
All participants 265 (0.2) 265 (0.2) 0.0 (−19.0 to 16.0) .66
Diabetes 57 (0.3) 53 (0.2) −7.7 (−59.5 to 27.2)
No diabetes 208 (0.1) 212 (0.2) 1.9 (−19.3 to 19.4)
Hospitalization for stroke
All participants 458 (0.3) 485 (0.3) 5.6 (−7.5 to 17.1) .82
Diabetes 79 (0.4) 81 (0.4) 2.4 (−34.8 to 29.3)
No diabetes 379 (0.3) 404 (0.3) 6.2 (−8.2 to 18.7)
MACE
All participants 1158 (0.7) 1224 (0.7) 5.4 (−2.6 to 12.8) .55
Diabetes 266 (1.2) 269 (1.2) 1.0 (−17.7 to 16.8)
No diabetes 892 (0.6) 955 (0.7) 6.6 (−2.4 to 14.9)
Cardiovascular death
All participants 291 (0.2) 279 (0.2) −4.3 (−23.4 to 11.8) .06
Diabetes 90 (0.4) 67 (0.3) −34.5 (−87.3 to 3.1)
No diabetes 201 (0.1) 212 (0.2) 5.2 (−15.5 to 22.2)

Abbreviations: HD-IIV, high-dose inactivated influenza vaccine; MACE, major adverse cardiovascular events; SD-IIV, standard-dose inactivated influenza vaccine.

a

End points occurring between 14 days after vaccination and May 31 the following year were defined as eligible for analysis. End points were ascertained using data from nationwide administrative health registries using prespecified definitions.

Of the examined individual components of hospitalization for any cardiovascular disease, hospitalization for heart failure was lower with HD-IIV compared with SD-IIV in the overall population, with no evidence of effect modification by diabetes status (diabetes: rVE, 19.2%; 95% CI, −11.7% to 41.8%; no diabetes: rVE, 19.7%; 95% CI, −0.7% to 36.0%; interaction P = .98).

HD-IIV compared with SD-IIV was also consistently associated with reduced hospitalization for influenza (diabetes: rVE, 41.6%; 95% CI, 5.0%-64.7%; no diabetes: rVE, 44.3%; 95% CI, 25.3%-58.7%; interaction P = .87) and laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalization (diabetes: rVE, 29.2%; 95% CI, −4.9% to 52.5%; no diabetes: rVE, 37.9%; 95% CI, 22.4%-50.5%; interaction P = .55), irrespective of diabetes status. Analyses that accounted for within-participant correlation among those enrolled in more than 1 season yielded similar results (eTable 2 in Supplement 2).

Across outcomes favoring HD-IIV, NNVs were generally lower among individuals with diabetes. For cardiorespiratory hospitalization, the NNV was 371 for individuals with diabetes and 861 for those without diabetes. For cardiovascular hospitalization, the NNV was 402 for individuals with diabetes and 1284 for those without. For heart failure hospitalization, the NNV was 1297 for individuals with diabetes and 4119 for those without. For influenza hospitalization, the NNV was 1099 for individuals with diabetes and 2487 for those without. For laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalization, the NNV was 1158 for individuals with diabetes and 1803 for those without.

rVE According to Diabetes Subgroups

The rVE of HD-IIV vs SD-IIV was evaluated across diabetes subgroups, as stratified by diabetes duration (less than or more than 5 years), median HbA1c level, the presence of a diabetes-related complication, and diabetes type. Diabetes duration appeared to modify the effect of HD-IIV vs SD-IIV against hospitalization for any cardiorespiratory disease, with lower incidence observed among participants with diabetes duration longer than 5 years (rVE, 20.4%; 95% CI, 5.3%-33.1%), but not in those with shorter duration (rVE, −0.4%; 95% CI, −13.8% to 11.5%; interaction P = .03) (Figure 2). Similar suggested effect modification by diabetes duration was observed for hospitalization for heart failure (duration >5 years: rVE, 51.3%; 95% CI, 13.7%-73.4%; ≤5 years: rVE, −6.3%; 95% CI, −60.4% to 29.4%; interaction P = .02), hospitalization for stroke (duration >5 years: rVE, 42.0%; 95% CI, −7.1% to 69.4%; ≤5 years: rVE, −22.2%; 95% CI, −81.3% to 17.3%; interaction P = .03), and MACE (duration >5 years: rVE, 27.8%; 95% CI, 3.5%-46.3%; ≤5 years: rVE, −19.0%; 95% CI, −48.4% to 4.5%; interaction P = .005) (Figure 3). The presence of a diabetes-related complication at baseline seemed to modify the effect for heart failure hospitalization, in which HD-IIV vs SD-IIV was associated with reduced heart failure hospitalization in participants with a diabetes-related complication (rVE, 53.6%; 95% CI, 11.7%-76.6%) but not in those without (rVE, −0.3%; 95% CI, −48.0% to 32.0%; interaction P = .03). A similar suggested treatment heterogeneity was observed for the presence of a diabetes-related complication against MACE (individuals with a complication: rVE, 24.1%; 95% CI, −5.1% to 45.3%; individuals without a complication: rVE, −10.4%; 95% CI, −35.9% to 10.3%; interaction P = .047) and between strata of HbA1c for hospitalization for stroke (rVE, 28.1%; 95% CI, −12.6% to 54.5% in individuals with HbA1c >6.5%; rVE, −39.2%; 95% CI, −128.5% to 14.3% in individuals with HbA1c ≤6.5%; interaction P = .04) (Figure 3). Treatment effects were consistent across these diabetes subgroups for the remaining examined end points (interaction P ≥ .05) (Figure 2 and Figure 3). In addition, treatment effects were consistent by diabetes type for all end points (interaction P ≥ .05).

Figure 2. Relative Vaccine Effectiveness Across Subgroups of Participants With Diabetes.

Figure 2.

Diabetes subgroup analyses by diabetes duration, glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c; to convert HbA1c to the proportion of total hemoglobin, multiply by 0.01 [to convert to mmol/mol, multiply by 10.93 and subtract 23.5]), and the presence of a diabetes-related complication at baseline against hospitalizations for any cardiorespiratory disease, any cardiovascular disease, any respiratory disease, influenza, and laboratory-confirmed influenza. Relative vaccine effectiveness was calculated as 1 minus the relative risk. Interaction P values were estimated using the Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel test for homogeneity. HD-IIV indicates high-dose inactivated influenza vaccine; rVE, relative vaccine effectiveness; SD-IIV, standard-dose inactivated influenza vaccine.

Figure 3. Relative Vaccine Effectiveness Against Specific Cardiovascular End Points Across Subgroups of Participants With Diabetes.

Figure 3.

Diabetes subgroup analyses by diabetes duration, glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c; to convert HbA1c to the proportion of total hemoglobin, multiply by 0.01 [to convert to mmol/mol, multiply by 10.93 and subtract 23.5]), and the presence of a diabetes-related complication at baseline against hospitalization for heart failure, myocardial infarction, and stroke, as well as major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and cardiovascular death. Relative vaccine effectiveness was calculated as 1 minus the relative risk. Interaction P values were estimated using the Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel test for homogeneity. HD-IIV indicates high-dose inactivated influenza vaccine; rVE, relative vaccine effectiveness; SD-IIV, standard-dose inactivated influenza vaccine.

The consistency of the rVE of HD-IIV vs SD-IIV was also evaluated across the continuous spectrum of diabetes duration and HbA1c. Treatment heterogeneities were suggested for continuous diabetes duration against MACE (interaction P = .046), and for continuous HbA1c against hospitalization for any cardiovascular disease (interaction P = .04), hospitalization for myocardial infarction (interaction P = .007), hospitalization for stroke (interaction P = .04), and MACE (interaction P = .02). In these cases, longer duration and higher HbA1c levels were associated with higher rVE (eFigure 2 in Supplement 2 ). No further suggested effect modification by continuous diabetes duration or HbA1c was observed (interaction P ≥ .05).

Exploratory Diabetes-Related End Points

There was no difference in incident diabetes between HD-IIV and SD-IIV (66 of 144 287 participants [0.05%] in the HD-IIV group vs 69 of 144 261 participants [0.05%] in the SD-IIV group; rVE, 4.4%; 95% CI, −36.0% to 32.8%; P = .80). Incident diabetes-related complications in the overall population were numerically lower in the HD-IIV group but did not reach statistical significance (147 of 162 417 participants [0.1%] in the HD-IIV group vs 181 of 162 450 participants [0.1%] in the SD-IIV group; rVE, 18.8%; 95% CI, −1.5% to 35.1%; P = .07). No evidence of effect modification by baseline diabetes was observed (diabetes: HD-IIV, 0.7% vs SD-IIV, 0.9%; rVE, 17.7%; 95% CI, −4.1% to 35.0%, vs no diabetes: HD-IIV, 0.01% vs SD-IIV, 0.01%; rVE, 27.8%; 95% CI, −55.9% to 67.5%; interaction P = .73).

Discussion

In this prespecified secondary subgroup analysis of the large-scale, pragmatic, randomized clinical DANFLU-2 trial, HD-IIV compared with SD-IIV was associated with reductions in hospitalization for any cardiorespiratory disease, any cardiovascular disease, heart failure, influenza, and laboratory-confirmed influenza, with consistent treatment effects in individuals with and without diabetes. Across these outcomes that favored HD-IIV, NNVs were generally lower among individuals with diabetes compared with those without diabetes, reflecting their higher baseline risk and suggesting greater absolute benefit for these end points in this population. To our knowledge, DANFLU-2 is the largest individually randomized influenza vaccine trial conducted to date, with 332 438 randomized participants, including 43 881 with diabetes, thus constituting the largest randomized sample of individuals with diabetes in an influenza vaccine trial.

Annual influenza vaccination has been widely recommended by major public health authorities and medical associations, particularly for individuals with chronic conditions, such as diabetes, as they are more susceptible to complications, including cardiovascular complications.3,16 In this analysis, we observed higher end point rates in participants with diabetes compared with those without, underlining the importance of optimizing preventive strategies for this high-risk population. Although a higher proportion of participants with diabetes were tested for influenza than those without, test positivity among those tested was similar between groups, likely reflecting more frequent health care contacts and closer clinical monitoring of this population. Among individuals with diabetes, the consistent benefits of HD-IIV vs SD-IIV against hospitalizations for cardiorespiratory disease, cardiovascular disease, and heart failure support the case for using influenza vaccination not only to prevent influenza infection but also to reduce related cardiovascular events. Further, our findings suggest that HD-IIV may offer superior protection against these severe outcomes in this vulnerable population through a single annual intervention that imposes no additional burden on the individual compared with SD-IIV.

Analyses of participants with diabetes suggested treatment heterogeneity across diabetes characteristics, such that HD-IIV vs SD-IIV was associated with reduced risk of heart failure hospitalization only among participants with a diabetes-related complication. Similarly, there was a signal of greater benefit of HD-IIV vs SD-IIV against MACE, cardiorespiratory, heart failure, and stroke hospitalizations in participants with diabetes duration longer than 5 years, with attenuated effects in those with shorter duration. When diabetes duration was treated as a continuous variable, suggested effect modification was observed for MACE, whereas no evidence of effect modification was observed for cardiorespiratory, heart failure, or stroke hospitalizations. Treatment heterogeneity was also suggested for continuous and dichotomized HbA1c in relation to hospitalization for stroke, with seemingly greater benefit at higher compared with lower HbA1c levels, despite no overall benefit for this end point. A similar pattern of suggested greater benefit at higher continuous HbA1c levels was observed for MACE, cardiovascular, and myocardial infarction hospitalizations. Participants with a diabetes-related complication also appeared to derive greater protection against MACE compared with those without. Although exploratory and requiring confirmation in future research, these findings could imply that for certain end points, the protective benefits of HD-IIV compared with SD-IIV may be more prominent in individuals with more advanced diabetes. This could reflect a potentially more pronounced suboptimal immune response to SD-IIV among individuals with greater disease burden, in addition to the increased susceptibility to influenza-related complications associated with longer disease duration and comorbidity burden.6,17,18 Although body mass index data were not available, obesity is likely common in this population and may be more prevalent among participants with greater disease burden, potentially contributing to suboptimal responses to SD-IIV and the greater relative benefit of HD-IIV.19

While several previous studies have suggested the benefits of seasonal influenza vaccination compared with no vaccination in individuals with diabetes,20,21 the DANFLU-1 exploratory post hoc analysis (1162 of 12 477 [9.3%] with diabetes) is the only previous study to report data on the rVE of HD-IIV vs SD-IIV specifically in this population.22 Conducted as a pilot trial to assess the feasibility of large-scale vaccine trials in real-world settings, DANFLU-1 found that HD-IIV vs SD-IIV was associated with a lower risk of a composite of all-cause death or hospitalization for pneumonia or influenza, as well as reduced rates of all-cause hospitalizations, regardless of diabetes status.22 Additionally, no effect of HD-IIV vs SD-IIV was observed on incident diabetes or change in HbA1c levels. Similar to the present study, participants with diabetes had a greater burden of comorbidities and higher event rates than participants without diabetes. The DANFLU-1 post hoc analysis and this prespecified analysis of DANFLU-2 found no evidence of effect modification by diabetes status for the clinical outcomes investigated, although the specific end points assessed differed between the studies. However, as neither DANFLU-1 nor this subgroup analysis was adequately powered to draw definitive conclusions for this population, further investigation is warranted.

Limitations

This study had several limitations. First, DANFLU-2 was not specifically powered for subgroup analyses; therefore, the study’s findings were exploratory and should be considered hypothesis generating. Furthermore, our findings must be interpreted in the context of the trial’s neutral primary end point of hospitalization for influenza or pneumonia. While this diabetes subgroup analysis was prespecified in the protocol (Supplement 1), the exploratory diabetes-related end points and analyses across diabetes subgroups by disease duration, HbA1c levels, diabetes-related complications, and diabetes type were not prespecified and were based on relatively few events for some end points. Diabetes duration was defined based on the first recorded indication of diabetes within 10 years of randomization using ICD-10 codes or the first elevated HbA1c measurement within 5 years of randomization. Thus, some participants may have received their diagnoses earlier than these time windows, which could lead to an underestimation of diabetes duration. Additionally, reliance on ICD-10 codes limited the assessment of diabetes type and the presence of diabetes-related complications to only 39% and 45% of the diabetes population, respectively.

Treatment allocation was open label. However, risk of bias was considered low, as trial investigators were not involved in subsequent treatment of participants, and end points were severe clinical events that were objectively assessed using passively collected data from the Danish nationwide health registries using prespecified definitions.

Data collected from the registries may include imprecise data but should be balanced between the randomization groups. HbA1c levels were not systematically available, and no systematic influenza or immunogenicity testing was performed due to the pragmatic nature of this trial. However, we had access to all tests conducted as part of routine clinical practice. The trial did not have access to follow-up laboratory data, such as follow-up HbA1c levels, or to the Danish prescription registries, which limited the ability to include data on filled prescriptions in baseline or end point definitions. Thus, treatment patterns, including use of glucose-independent cardiorenal protective and weight-lowering agents, such as glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists and sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors, and the balance between groups could not be determined.

Conclusions

In this prespecified secondary subgroup analysis of the DANFLU-2 randomized clinical trial, our findings suggest that the effects of HD-IIV vs SD-IIV against severe respiratory and cardiovascular outcomes remain consistent regardless of diabetes status. HD-IIV vs SD-IIV was associated with reduced cardiorespiratory hospitalization, cardiovascular hospitalization, heart failure hospitalization, influenza hospitalization, and laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalization, irrespective of diabetes. These findings, while exploratory, underscore the importance of influenza vaccination and suggest potential benefit of HD-IIV compared with SD-IIV in individuals with diabetes.

Supplement 1.

Trial protocol

Supplement 2.

eMethods. Baseline Information, Endpoints, and Statistical Analysis

eFigure 1. Study Flow Diagram

eFigure 2. Relative Vaccine Effectiveness by Continuous Diabetes Characteristics in Participants with Diabetes

eTable 1. Baseline Characteristics of Participants with Diabetes According to Treatment Assignment

eTable 2. Sensitivity Analysis Accounting for Within-Participant Correlation in Participants Enrolled in >1 Season According to Diabetes Status

Supplement 3.

Data sharing statement

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Associated Data

This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

Supplementary Materials

Supplement 1.

Trial protocol

Supplement 2.

eMethods. Baseline Information, Endpoints, and Statistical Analysis

eFigure 1. Study Flow Diagram

eFigure 2. Relative Vaccine Effectiveness by Continuous Diabetes Characteristics in Participants with Diabetes

eTable 1. Baseline Characteristics of Participants with Diabetes According to Treatment Assignment

eTable 2. Sensitivity Analysis Accounting for Within-Participant Correlation in Participants Enrolled in >1 Season According to Diabetes Status

Supplement 3.

Data sharing statement


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