Table 2.

Transition probabilities.

From	To	Probability	One-way sensitivity rangea	Distribution parmetersb	Source
Transition Probabilities for PPT group
Mild (2-cycle)	Mild	0.731	± 0.081	Dirchlet (20.995, 7.686, 0.022)	Park et al. (2)
	Moderate	0.268	± 0.081
	Severe	0.001	± 0.01
Moderate	Mild (1-cycle)	0.472	± 0.195	Dirchlet (2.614, 1.618, 1.034)
	Moderate	0.334	± 0.195
	Severe	0.194	± 0.157
Severe	Mild (1-cycle)	0.612	± 0.079	Dirchlet (22.413, 11.299, 3.048)
	Moderate	0.321	± 0.078
	Severe	0.067	± 0.037
Transition probabilities for PT group
Mild (2-cycle)	Mild	0.731	± 0.081	Dirchlet (20.995, 7.686, 0.022)	Park et al. (2)
	Moderate	0.268	± 0.081
	Severe	0.001	± 0.01
Moderate	Mild (1-cycle)	0.052	± 0.121	Dirchlet (0.125, 3.198, 0.954)
	Moderate	0.765	± 0.186
	Severe	0.183	± 0.155
Severe	Mild (1-cycle)	0.209	± 0.071	Dirchlet (6.572, 20.097, 13.346)
	Moderate	0.569	± 0.082
	Severe	0.222	± 0.053

^aThese items are applied 95% CI of SE for one-way sensitivity range.

^bDirichlet distribution (alpha) values.