Skip to main content
. 2026 Jan 21;25:53. doi: 10.1186/s12933-025-03070-3

Table 2.

Association between insulin resistance-related indices and risk of cardiovascular disease in individuals with metabolic syndrome

Exposure Total CVD CHD Stroke
Cases/
incidence rate
HR (95% CI) Cases/
incidence rate
HR (95% CI) Cases/
incidence rate
HR (95% CI)
Model 1 Model 2 Model 1 Model 2 Model 1 Model 2
TyG index
Each 1-SD increase 1.02 (1.01–1.03) 0.97 (0.95–0.98) 1.07 (1.05–1.09) 0.97 (0.94–0.99) 1.04 (1.01–1.07) 1.00 (0.96–1.04)
Quartile 1 6144/17.83 Reference Reference 3441/9.60 Reference Reference 988/2.65 Reference Reference
Quartile 2 5610/16.06 0.90 (0.86–0.93) 0.91 (0.87–0.94) 3235/8.95 0.93 (0.89–0.98) 0.91 (0.87–0.96) 911/2.43 0.93 (0.85–1.02) 0.93 (0.85–1.02)
Quartile 3 5858/16.86 0.92 (0.89–0.95) 0.90 (0.87–0.94) 3504/9.76 0.99 (0.94–1.04) 0.92 (0.87–0.97) 934/2.49 0.94 (0.86–1.03) 0.92 (0.84–1.02)
Quartile 4 6482/18.94 1.02 (0.98–1.05) 0.92 (0.88–0.97) 4139/11.69 1.14 (1.09–1.19) 0.94 (0.88–0.99) 1040/2.79 1.05 (0.96–1.15) 0.97 (0.87–1.09)
TyG-BMI index
Each 1-SD increase 1.17 (1.16–1.19) 1.14 (1.13–1.16) 1.12 (1.10–1.14) 1.06 (1.04–1.08) 1.07 (1.03–1.10) 1.02 (0.98–1.05)
Quartile 1 5608/16.13 Reference Reference 3357/9.37 Reference Reference 1005/2.70 Reference Reference
Quartile 2 5779/16.63 1.06 (1.02–1.10) 1.06 (1.02–1.10) 3448/9.59 1.03 (0.98–1.08) 1.02 (0.97–1.07) 986/2.63 1.03 (0.94–1.12) 1.02 (0.93–1.11)
Quartile 3 5962/17.20 1.15 (1.11–1.19) 1.14 (1.10–1.18) 3578/9.98 1.11 (1.06–1.16) 1.07 (1.02–1.12) 904/2.41 1.00 (0.91–1.09) 0.96 (0.88–1.05)
Quartile 4 6745/19.73 1.44 (1.39–1.49) 1.35 (1.30–1.40) 3936/11.04 1.30 (1.24–1.36) 1.16 (1.10–1.22) 978/2.62 1.17 (1.07–1.28) 1.05 (0.95–1.16)
TyG-WC index
Each 1-SD increase 1.19 (1.17–1.20) 1.16 (1.14–1.18) 1.13 (1.11–1.15) 1.07 (1.05–1.09) 1.08 (1.04–1.12) 1.03 (0.99–1.07)
Quartile 1 4788/13.48 Reference Reference 2799/7.67 Reference Reference 899/2.39 Reference Reference
Quartile 2 5558/15.88 1.11 (1.07–1.16) 1.11 (1.07–1.16) 3310/9.17 1.09 (1.03–1.14) 1.06 (1.01–1.12) 924/2.46 1.00 (0.91–1.10) 0.99 (0.90–1.09)
Quartile 3 6237/18.13 1.21 (1.16–1.26) 1.21 (1.16–1.26) 3741/10.48 1.14 (1.08–1.20) 1.10 (1.04–1.16) 941/2.52 1.00 (0.90–1.10) 0.97 (0.88–1.07)
Quartile 4 7511/22.46 1.49 (1.43–1.55) 1.42 (1.36–1.48) 4469/12.76 1.33 (1.26–1.40) 1.18 (1.12–1.25) 1109/3.00 1.19 (1.08–1.31) 1.09 (0.98–1.21)
TyG-WHtR index
Each 1-SD increase 1.16 (1.15–1.18) 1.13 (1.11–1.15) 1.14 (1.12–1.16) 1.08 (1.06–1.10) 1.09 (1.06–1.13) 1.04 (1.01–1.08)
Quartile 1 5139/14.58 Reference Reference 2978/8.20 Reference Reference 894/2.38 Reference Reference
Quartile 2 5605/16.05 1.06 (1.02–1.10) 1.07 (1.03–1.11) 3349/9.29 1.08 (1.02–1.13) 1.07 (1.02–1.13) 910/2.42 1.00 (0.92–1.10) 1.00 (0.91–1.10)
Quartile 3 6048/17.49 1.13 (1.08–1.17) 1.12 (1.08–1.17) 3654/10.22 1.14 (1.08–1.19) 1.10 (1.05–1.16) 950/2.54 1.03 (0.94–1.13) 1.01 (0.92–1.11)
Quartile 4 7302/21.73 1.40 (1.35–1.45) 1.32 (1.27–1.37) 4338/12.35 1.35 (1.28–1.41) 1.19 (1.13–1.25) 1119/3.02 1.22 (1.12–1.34) 1.11 (1.01–1.23)

Incidence rates are presented as per 1000 person-years

Model 1 were adjusted for age, sex, ethnicity, employed status, Townsend deprivation index, educational level, family income, smoking status, alcohol drinking, sleep duration, physical activity, and healthy diet score

Model 2 were adjusted for age, sex, ethnicity, employed status, Townsend deprivation index, educational level, family income, smoking status, alcohol drinking, sleep duration, physical activity, healthy diet score, systolic/diastolic blood pressure, glycated hemoglobin, high density lipoprotein cholesterol, low density lipoprotein cholesterol, total cholesterol, self-reported history of hypertension and diabetes, and use of antihypertensive, antihyperglycemic, lipid-lowering medications

CVD cardiovascular disease, CHD coronary heart disease, SD standard deviation, HR hazard ratio, CI confidence interval, TyG triglycerides-glucose index, BMI body mass index, WC waist circumference, WHtR waist-to-height ratio