Timely triage is crucial in suspected acute myocardial infarction (AMI) (1). Although electrocardiography (ECG) enables early identification of ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) or its equivalents and can facilitate immediate invasive management, the conventional STEMI criteria lack sensitivity in detecting acute coronary occlusion (ACO) (1, 2). Around every fifth to every third patient with confirmed non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) has ACO which is missed by conventional STEMI criteria, resulting in the danger of delayed invasive management (3). Artificial intelligence (AI)-based analysis of a 12-lead ECG may improve early detection of ACO, potentially minimizing diagnostic delays (4, 5). The present study investigated machine learning-based AI ECG model predictions for detection of ACO in an unselected chest pain unit (CPU) cohort in the context of management according to the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) guidelines.
Material and methods
All consecutive chest pain patients with available ECG who presented to a CPU over a 32-month period were eligible for this retrospective registry analysis. The study was approved by the ethics committee of the University of Cologne (23-1280-retro).
For each patient, a single 12-lead ECG was analyzed retrospectively, provided it was available in both manually and machine-readable formats. The ECGs were analyzed in two ways:
By a trained physician applying standard age-, sex- and lead-adjusted STEMI criteria (1)
By a previously developed automated deep learning AI model trained to detect ischemic patterns beyond the conventional STEMI criteria
The AI model’s functionality, development, and internal validation with respect to occlusion myocardial infarctions have been described (5). In brief, the AI model relies on a deep neuronal network architecture. Stepwise analysis comprises lead-specific feature extraction and subsequent classification of these features.
In contrast to the previous analysis (5), active ACO was the investigated outcome in this external validation. The outcome was externally adjudicated by an independent physician (H.P.M.) who was blinded to the AI model’s prediction. He followed a holistic approach, considering angiographic findings, biomarker kinetics, and echocardiographic reports. Patients ruled out according to the 0/1 h high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) ESC algorithm were automatically defined as ACO-negative.
The model gives the probability of ACO on a continuous numerical range from 0.00 to 1.00, with a threshold of 0.50 for positive results previously calibrated for unselected chest pain patients (5). The diagnostic accuracy of the AI model prediction was assessed by means of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. The diagnostic performance was compared with STEMI criteria. For further analysis of system-related delays, patients with ACO were categorized (ACO with ST-segment elevation [STE-ACO]), ACO without ST-segment elevation [NSTE-ACO]). The ECG-to-balloon time was used to quantify system-related delays.
Results
Overall, 4104 patients were eligible. Of these, 19 were excluded due to non-readable ECGs. The mean age was 54.5 (± 19.0) years, and 62.8% were male. In the CPU, 73% were assigned to the rule-out group on the basis of the 0/1 h hs-cTnT ESC algorithm, 20% were referred for coronary angiography, and 7% were potential rule-in patients, but were managed non-invasively in an individualized treatment strategy. Overall, 85.3% had a non-ischemic cause of chest pain and 14.7% had acute coronary syndrome. The prevalence of ACO was 2.5% (n = 104).
The AI ECG model identified 73 of 104 ACO cases, compared with 30 by the STEMI criteria. ROC analysis showed an area under the curve of 0.958 for the AI model versus 0.589 for the STEMI criteria. In the rule-out group (n = 2999), the AI ECG model showed fewer false positives (0.7% vs. 5%) and fewer potentially avoidable angiographies (20 vs. 150) than the STEMI criteria. A relevant system-related delay was found for NSTE-ACO: the median ECG-to-balloon interval was 3 : 33 h (interquartile range [IQR] 5 : 44) in NSTE-ACO and 1 : 51 h (IQR 2 : 31) in STE-ACO. Only 28% of NSTE-ACO were revascularized within 2 h after ECG recording (Figure). The in-hospital mortality rate for the whole cohort was 0.7%. Among ACO patients, in-hospital mortality was 8.1% for NSTE-ACO and 10% for STE-ACO.
Figure. Box plot diagram of ECG-to-balloon interval stratified by STE-ACO and NSTE-ACO.

The diagram shows a higher ECG-to-balloon interval in NSTE-ACO patients. Only 28% of NSTE-ACO patients underwent revascularization within 2 h of ECG recording, indicating delayed management in 72%.
ECG, Electrocardiogram; ACO, acute coronary occlusion; NSTE-ACO, acute coronary occlusion without ST-segment elevation; STE-ACO, acute coronary occlusion with ST-segment elevation
Table. Diagnostic metrics.
| Accuracy | Sensitivity | Specificity | PPV | NPV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI model [95% CI] | 0.978 [0.973; 0.982] | 0.702 [0.612; 0.788] | 0.985 [0.981; 0.989] | 0.553 [0.468; 0.64] | 0.992 [0.989; 0.995] |
| STEMI criteria [95% CI] | 0.92 [0.912; 0.928] | 0.288 [0.203; 0.376] | 0.937 [0.929; 0.944] | 0.106 [0.072; 0.142] | 0.981 [0.976; 0.985] |
AI, Artificial intelligence; STEM,: ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction; PPV, positive predictive value; NPV, negative predictive value; 95% CI, 95% confidence interval.
Discussion
The analysis shows that AI-assisted ECG interpretation detects subtle ischemic changes beyond the STEMI criteria, thus improving the accuracy of timely ACO recognition. The AI model analyzes ischemic changes beyond the J-point (as in the STEMI criteria), incorporating subtle ST elevations, ST depressions, and T-wave alterations.
Limitations of the analysis are the retrospective study design, potential misclassification in the rule-out group due to inherent limitations in the 0/1 h hs-cTnT ESC algorithm (1), and the non-standardized, holistic definition of ACO. With respect to ACO definition, it is relevant that prior studies considering only coronary flow parameters often misclassified chronic occlusions or stenoses (5). In contrast, the current holistic definition of ACO more selectively identifies patients requiring immediate invasive treatment.
Conclusions
This study shows that AI-assisted detection of active ACO from a single ECG outperforms conventional STEMI criteria in an all-comer CPU cohort, enabling faster triage of patients with NSTE-ACO to immediate invasive treatment.
Acknowledgments
We would like to thank Harvey Pendell Meyer for independent and blinded adjudication of the outcome acute coronary occlusion. We are grateful to Powerful Medical, (Bratislava, Slovakia) for cost-free scientific use of the PM Cardio App and the CE-certified PMcardio AI platform. We thank all treating physicians from the chest pain unit at University Hospital Cologne.
Footnotes
Data sharing: The original data will be shared in anonymized form upon reasonable request to the corresponding author.
Conflict of interest statement: The authors declare that no conflict of interest exists.
References (abbreviated)
- 1. Byrne RA, et al. Eur Heart J. 2023;44:3720–826. doi: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehad191. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 2. de Alencar Neto JN, et al. Int J Cardiol. 2024;402:131889. doi: 10.1016/j.ijcard.2024.131889. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 3. Khan AR, et al. Eur Heart J. 2017;38:3082–9. doi: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehx418. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 4. Al-Zaiti SS, et al. Nat Med. 2023;29:1804–13. doi: 10.1038/s41591-023-02396-3. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 5. Herman R, et al. Eur Heart J Digit Health. 2024;5:123–33. doi: 10.1093/ehjdh/ztad074. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
