Table 4.
GRADE assessment of certainty of evidence for primary outcomes
| Outcome | No. of studies (patients) | Risk of bias | Inconsistency | Indirectness | Imprecision | Publication bias | Overall certainty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stroke or systemic embolism | 4 RCTs (n = 202) | Serious¹ | Not serious | Not serious | Very serious² | Undetected | ⊕○○○ VERY LOW |
| Major bleeding | 4 RCTs (n = 202) | Serious¹ | Not serious | Not serious | Very serious² | Undetected | ⊕○○○ VERY LOW |
Explanations:
¹All trials were open-label with high/unclear risk of performance and detection bias
²Downgraded two levels due to: (a) extremely wide confidence intervals spanning both appreciable benefit and harm, and (b) optimal information size not met (total sample < 300, events < 10)