Table 3. Results of the preliminary estimate of the poverty model (ARDL) in Iraq.

Variable	Coefficient	Std. error	t-statistic	Prob.
Y(-1)	1.2675	0.1064	11.9071	0.0000
Y(-2)	-0.4146	0.1624	-2.5521	0.0134
Y(-3)	0.0000	0.1617	-0.0002	0.9999
Y(-4)	-0.3430	0.1667	-2.0573	0.0442
Y(-5)	0.5010	0.1634	3.0666	0.0033
Y(-6)	-0.1797	0.0994	-1.8072	0.0759
X1	-0.1159	0.0461	-2.5161	0.0147
X1(-1)	0.1179	0.0404	2.9178	0.0050
X2	0.0687	0.0350	1.9641	0.0543
X3	-0.9072	0.2195	-4.1323	0.0001
X3(-1)	0.9979	0.2184	4.5688	0.0000
X4	-0.0134	0.0079	-1.7048	0.0936
C	-0.0194	0.0081	-2.4053	0.0194
R-squared	0.9493	Mean dependent var		0.0140
Adjusted R-squared	0.9388	S.D. dependent var		0.1567
S.E. of regression	0.0387	Akaike info criterion		-3.5000
Sum squared resid	0.0870	Schwarz criterion		-3.0857
Log likelihood	137.2502	Hannan-Quinn criter.		-3.3353
F-statistic	90.5589	Durbin-Watson stat		2.0633
Prob(F-statistic)	0.0000

Source: Prepared by the researchers based on the outputs of the statistical program (Eviews10).