Table 5. Results of estimation of short- and long-term and error correction parameters of the ARDL model for poverty in Iraq.

Short-term parameters and error correction parameter
Variable	Coefficient	Std. error	t-statistic	Prob
D(Y(-1))	0.4362	0.1001	4.3565	0.0001
D(Y(-2))	0.0216	0.0976	0.2216	0.8254
D(Y(-3))	0.0216	0.0974	0.2217	0.8253
D(Y(-4))	-0.3214	0.1031	-3.1169	0.0028
D(Y(-5))	0.1797	0.0994	1.8072	0.0759
D(X1)	0.1159	0.0461	2.5161	0.0147
D(X2)	0.0687	0.0350	1.9641	0.0543
D(X3)	0.9072	0.2195	4.1323	0.0001
D(X4)	-0.0134	0.0079	-1.7048	0.0936
CointEq(-1)	-0.1687	0.0397	-4.2527	0.0001

Cointeq = Y - (0.0114X1 + 0.4072X2 + 0.5376X3-0.0794X4-0.1150)
Long-term parameters (Long Run Coefficients)
Variable	Coefficient	Std. error	t-statistic	Prob.
X1	0.0114	0.1614	0.0706	0.0044
X2	0.4072	0.2224	1.8310	0.0022
X3	0.5376	0.3112	1.7277	0.0094
X4	-0.0794	0.0440	-1.8059	0.0061
C	-0.1150	0.0488	-2.3593	0.0017

Source: Prepared by the researchers based on the outputs of (Eviews10).