Table 3. Risk assessment indicators of importation likelihood, consequences, and corresponding scores.
| Assessment indicators | Factors | Classification | Risk score |
| Abbreviation: CNY=Chinese Yuan; R0=basic reproductive number. * data represent total monthly seats capacity for inbound routes to China; † monthly data; cumulative cases and cumulative case fatality rate (%) of Nipah virus infection were from the year of 1999–2026. | |||
| Importation likelihood | Cumulative cases |
≤49 | 2 |
| 50–499 | 4 | ||
| 500–999 | 6 | ||
| 1,000–4,999 | 8 | ||
| ≥5,000 | 10 | ||
| Monthly inbound aviation capacity (seats)*† | ≤49 | 2 | |
| 50–299 | 4 | ||
| 300–799 | 6 | ||
| 800–1,499 | 8 | ||
| ≥1,500 | 10 | ||
| Monthly importation value of animals and animal products (Million CNY)† | ≤49 | 2 | |
| 50–499 | 4 | ||
| 500–1,999 | 6 | ||
| 2,000–4,999 | 8 | ||
| ≥5,000 | 10 | ||
| Terrestrial proximity to China | Non-adjacent and ocean-isolated | 2 | |
| Non-bordering but proximal | 4 | ||
| Bordering with natural barriers | 6 | ||
| Bordering with land ports of entry | 8 | ||
| Bordering with extensive, porous boundaries | 10 | ||
| The time lag between the latest outbreak of Nipah virus infection and 2026 by country (years) |
≤1 | 10 | |
| 2–3 | 8 | ||
| 4–5 | 6 | ||
| 6–9 | 4 | ||
| ≥10 | 2 | ||
| Importation consequences | R0 | ≤0.5 | 2 |
| 0.6–0.9 | 4 | ||
| 1–1.4 | 6 | ||
| 1.5–2.4 | 8 | ||
| ≥2.5 | 10 | ||
| Cumulative case fatality rate (%) | ≤9 | 2 | |
| 10–39 | 4 | ||
| 40–59 | 6 | ||
| 60–79 | 8 | ||
| ≥80 | 10 | ||