Table 6.
Evaluation criteria for the proposed smart decision framework in financial planning and investment optimization.
| Criterion | Description | Impact on decision | Nature |
|---|---|---|---|
: Expected return (ER) |
Represents the anticipated annual return of an investment portfolio, estimated using historical trends, economic indicators, and forecasting models. It reflects the potential growth of invested capital under prevailing market conditions. | Higher expected returns suggest stronger growth prospects and support the selection of portfolios aimed at long-term wealth accumulation. | Benefit |
: Portfolio risk (PR) |
Describes the variability of portfolio returns caused by market volatility, asset interdependence, and systemic uncertainty. It indicates the level of exposure to unfavorable market movements. | An increase in portfolio risk implies greater uncertainty and a higher probability of losses, which may reduce portfolio stability and investor confidence. | Cost |
: Value-at-risk (VaR) |
Estimates the maximum potential loss of a portfolio over a specified time horizon at a given confidence level. It is commonly derived using simulation and stress-testing techniques. | Lower VaR values enhance downside protection and improve the portfolio’s ability to withstand adverse market scenarios. | Cost |
: Liquidity ratio (LR) |
Indicates the ease with which portfolio assets can be converted into cash without substantial price concessions. It reflects the portfolio’s responsiveness to changing market conditions. | Higher liquidity enables timely rebalancing and reduces exposure to forced losses during periods of market stress. | Benefit |
: Inflation resilience (IR)
|
Measures the capacity of a portfolio to preserve real value during inflationary periods by accounting for inflation-sensitive assets and instruments. | Greater inflation resilience helps protect purchasing power and ensures more stable real returns over time. | Benefit |
: ESG score (ESG) |
Evaluates the degree to which an investment adheres to environmental, social, and governance principles, including sustainability practices, social responsibility, and corporate governance quality. | A higher ESG score supports sustainable investment objectives, regulatory compliance, and alignment with socially responsible investment strategies. | Benefit |
: Diversification index (DI) |
Reflects the extent of asset diversification across sectors, asset classes, and geographic regions based on correlation and allocation structure. | Improved diversification reduces concentration risk and contributes to more consistent portfolio performance across market cycles. | Benefit |
: Sharpe ratio (SR) |
Assesses risk-adjusted performance by comparing excess portfolio returns to overall volatility, providing a measure of return efficiency. | A higher Sharpe ratio indicates more effective risk utilization and supports performance comparison among competing investment strategies. | Benefit |
: Transaction cost (TC) |
Represents the total costs associated with trading activities, management fees, and operational expenses incurred during portfolio maintenance. | Higher transaction costs diminish net returns and may negatively affect portfolio efficiency, particularly in active trading environments. | Cost |
: AI confidence index (AIC) |
Captures the reliability of AI-driven financial predictions based on validation performance, robustness, and uncertainty estimation. | Higher confidence levels enhance trust in automated recommendations and support more dependable investment decisions. | Benefit |









