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. 2026 Apr 10;16:16871. doi: 10.1038/s41598-026-47042-3

Table 11.

Comparison of the proposed model and existing forecasting models.

Model Learning Strategy Bias–Variance Balance Robustness Across Folds Sensitivity to Data Split Error Distribution Characteristics Computational Demand
Gradient Boosting Sequential tree-based boosting Moderate bias reduction, moderate variance Medium Medium Moderate spread with occasional outliers Low
XGBoost Regularized gradient boosting Low bias, controlled variance High Low to medium Narrow distribution with limited extremes Medium
LightGBM Histogram-based boosting Low bias, moderate variance Medium to high Medium Moderate distribution spread Low to medium
CatBoost Ordered boosting with categorical handling Low bias, low variance High Low Narrow and stable error distribution Medium
Neural Network Feedforward deep learning Very low bias, high variance Low High Wide distribution with higher extremes High
LSTM Recurrent deep learning Very low bias, high variance Low High Wide distribution with temporal instability Very high
Proposed Stacked Regressor Meta-ensemble of heterogeneous learners Balanced bias and very low variance Very high Very low Tight and symmetric distribution Medium