Skip to main content
. 2026 May 29;123(11):303–309. doi: 10.3238/arztebl.m2026.0040

Table 2. Eligible male population and age-adjusted proportions with a positive screening test.

Year of birth Age Eligible men (×1000) Proportion of abnormal PSA levels (PSA ≥3.0) Estimated absolute number of screening results requiring further workup based on varying screening participation rates (participation in %)
10% 20% 30% 50%
1978 50/51 503 2.5%*1 1258 2515 3773 6288
1977 51/52 496 1240 2480 3720 6200
1976 52/53 483 1208 2415 3623 6038
1975 53/54 469 6.6%*2 3095 6191 9286 15 477
1974 54/55 471 3109 6217 9326 15 543
1973 55/56 471 3109 6217 9326 15 543
1972 56/57 508 3353 6706 10 058 16 764
1971 57/58 554 3656 7313 10 969 18 282
1970 58/59 570 12%*3 6840 13 680 20 520 34 200
1969 59/60 609 7308 14 616 21 924 36 540
1968 60/61 632 7584 15 168 22 752 37 920
1967 61/62 642 7704 15 408 23 112 38 520
1966 62/63 653 7836 15 672 23 508 39 180
1965 63/64 649 20.1%*4 13 045 26 090 39 135 65 225
1964 64/65 652 13 105 26 210 39 316 65 526
1963 65/66 637 12 804 25 607 38 411 64 019
1962 66/67 607 12 201 24 401 36 602 61 004
1961 67/68 588 11 819 23 638 35 456 59 094
1960 68/69 558 11 216 22 432 33 647 56 079
1959 69/70 533 10 713 21 427 32 140 53 567
*1

Krilaviciute. PROBASE EAU abstract 2026 (26). Bratt. OPT Sweden (27);

*2

Hugosson. GOTEBORG-2 trial(18);

*3

Eklund. STHLM3-MRI trial (19)

*4

Roobol. Initial screening round ERSPC (33)