Table 3.
Count time-series regression of monthly arthropod-related mortality in Iran (2016–2023)
| Term | Estimate | SE | IRR | IRR (lower 95% CI) | IRR (upper 95% CI) | p |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Intercept) | 1.1545 | 0.1091 | 3.1723 | 2.5618 | 3.9283 | <0.001 |
| t | 0.0010 | 0.0018 | 1.0010 | 0.9976 | 1.0045 | 0.558 |
| s1 | 0.6794 | 0.0844 | 1.9727 | 1.6718 | 2.3278 | <0.001 |
| c1 | -0.8596 | 0.0954 | 0.4233 | 0.3511 | 0.5104 | <0.001 |
| s2 | 0.2097 | 0.0796 | 1.2334 | 1.0552 | 1.4416 | 0.008 |
| c2 | -0.2002 | 0.0785 | 0.8186 | 0.7019 | 0.9546 | 0.011 |
T linear time term, s1/c1 and s2/c2 annual and semi-annual Fourier terms, IRR incidence rate ratio