Table 3.
Overall model performance metrics (R2, MSE, RMSE, MAE) and composite ranking scores for all sixteen models evaluated. Models are ordered by composite score (descending).
| Model | R2 | MSE | RMSE | MAE | Score | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Statistical distribution models | ||||||
| GEVMLE | 0.9677 | 2.285 | 1.512 | 0.907 | 1.000 | 1 |
| GEVLM | 0.9456 | 3.849 | 1.962 | 0.908 | 0.970 | 2 |
| GLLM | 0.9346 | 4.626 | 2.151 | 1.030 | 0.946 | 3 |
| GPMLE | 0.9322 | 4.798 | 2.190 | 1.213 | 0.928 | 4 |
| GPPM | 0.9281 | 5.088 | 2.256 | 1.281 | 0.918 | 5 |
| GPM | 0.9305 | 4.917 | 2.217 | 1.443 | 0.907 | 6 |
| GLM | 0.9144 | 6.051 | 2.460 | 1.253 | 0.904 | 7 |
| EMLE | 0.9142 | 6.071 | 2.464 | 1.374 | 0.894 | 8 |
| LLLM | 0.9044 | 6.763 | 2.601 | 1.263 | 0.892 | 9 |
| SEMLE | 0.9105 | 6.330 | 2.516 | 1.390 | 0.889 | 10 |
| ELM | 0.9113 | 6.276 | 2.505 | 1.447 | 0.885 | 11 |
| EPM | 0.9103 | 6.341 | 2.518 | 1.469 | 0.882 | 12 |
| LLPM | 0.8731 | 8.978 | 2.996 | 1.372 | 0.850 | 13 |
| Machine learning models | ||||||
| RF | 0.2799 | 50.925 | 7.136 | 3.007 | 0.218 | 14 |
| XGBR | 0.2577 | 52.494 | 7.245 | 3.506 | 0.159 | 15 |
| SVM | 0.0867 | 64.587 | 8.037 | 3.888 | 0.000 | 16 |