Table 5.
DeLong test comparisons of the 7-variable risk model with conventional severity scores for predicting 28-day ICU mortality.
| Cohort | Comparison | Model AUC | Score AUC | Difference | P value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Training | Model vs SOFA | 0.674 | 0.632 | 0.042 | 0.014 |
| Training | Model vs APS III | 0.674 | 0.668 | 0.006 | 0.727 |
| Training | Model vs SAPS II | 0.674 | 0.673 | 0.001 | 0.961 |
| Training | Model vs OASIS | 0.674 | 0.594 | 0.080 | <0.001 |
| Training | Model vs Charlson | 0.674 | 0.576 | 0.098 | <0.001 |
| Training | Model vs APACHE II | 0.674 | 0.635 | 0.039 | 0.034 |
| Validation | Model vs SOFA | 0.677 | 0.642 | 0.035 | 0.208 |
| Validation | Model vs APS III | 0.677 | 0.650 | 0.027 | 0.319 |
| Validation | Model vs SAPS II | 0.677 | 0.665 | 0.012 | 0.709 |
| Validation | Model vs OASIS | 0.677 | 0.641 | 0.037 | 0.309 |
| Validation | Model vs Charlson | 0.677 | 0.636 | 0.042 | 0.230 |
| Validation | Model vs APACHE II | 0.677 | 0.615 | 0.062 | 0.041 |
| External | Model vs SOFA | 0.783 | 0.687 | 0.096 | 0.012 |
| External | Model vs APS III | 0.783 | 0.680 | 0.103 | 0.018 |
| External | Model vs SAPS II | 0.783 | 0.682 | 0.101 | 0.032 |
| External | Model vs OASIS | 0.783 | 0.763 | 0.020 | 0.676 |
| External | Model vs Charlson | 0.783 | 0.629 | 0.154 | 0.006 |
| External | Model vs APACHE II | 0.783 | 0.647 | 0.135 | 0.001 |
AUC , area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. P value from DeLong test for pairwise AUC comparison. Bold P values indicate statistical significance (P < 0.05).