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. 2026 Sep 24;32:100498. doi: 10.1016/j.metop.2026.100498

Table 6.

Association of MetS score with incident heart disease and stroke.

Outcome/exposure N Events HR 95% CI P value
Heart disease: per 1-point MetS 7889 489 1.119 1.025–1.221 0.012
Heart disease: Q2 vs Q1 7889 489 1.042 0.728–1.492 0.822
Heart disease: Q3 vs Q1 7889 489 1.296 0.903–1.861 0.160
Heart disease: Q4 vs Q1 7889 489 1.444 1.001–2.084 0.050
Stroke: per 1-point MetS 7889 378 1.333 1.209–1.470 <0.001
Stroke: Q2 vs Q1 7889 378 2.103 1.308–3.380 0.002
Stroke: Q3 vs Q1 7889 378 2.420 1.493–3.924 <0.001
Stroke: Q4 vs Q1 7889 378 3.367 2.075–5.463 <0.001

HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval. Q1 is the reference quartile. P for heterogeneity between heart disease and stroke associations = 0.009.