Table 2.
Mean absolute error (MAE) estimates for the integrated indices against the references (SPI, SPTI, SPEI) across all stations. VMDI consistently achieves the lowest MAE in 17 out of 18 cases
| Station | Reference | VMDI (MAE) | JSDI (MAE) | MSDI (MAE) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilgit | SPI | 0.342 | 0.684 | 0.664 |
| SPTI | 0.268 | 0.653 | 0.641 | |
| SPEI | 1.014 | 1.005 | 1.020 | |
| Skardu | SPI | 0.375 | 0.978 | 0.968 |
| SPTI | 0.173 | 0.751 | 0.752 | |
| SPEI | 0.536 | 0.970 | 1.010 | |
| Astore | SPI | 0.334 | 1.002 | 0.995 |
| SPTI | 0.139 | 0.974 | 0.965 | |
| SPEI | 0.453 | 0.989 | 0.979 | |
| Bunji | SPI | 0.334 | 0.679 | 0.656 |
| SPTI | 0.249 | 0.641 | 0.628 | |
| SPEI | 0.991 | 1.003 | 1.021 | |
| Chilas | SPI | 0.309 | 0.974 | 0.958 |
| SPTI | 0.186 | 0.941 | 0.927 | |
| SPEI | 0.771 | 0.976 | 0.987 | |
| Gupis | SPI | 0.323 | 0.998 | 0.969 |
| SPTI | 0.210 | 0.971 | 0.943 | |
| SPEI | 0.884 | 0.990 | 1.004 |