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. 2026 Aug 8;27:955. doi: 10.1186/s12891-026-10343-9

Table 4.

Hazard ratios for progression to Arnold–Hilgartner stage ≥ IV

Univariate Multivariable
HR 95% CI p HR 95% CI p
Joint
 Elbow Reference Reference
 Knee 0.40 0.22 0.74 0.003 0.66 0.38 1.17 0.156
 Ankle 1.86 1.16 2.98 0.009 0.91 0.56 1.50 0.720
Arnold–Hilgartner stage at initiation of regular prophylaxis
 0 Reference Reference
 I 13.12 6.14 28.04  < 0.001 14.95 6.60 33.82  < 0.001
 II 13.72 6.99 26.94  < 0.001 11.84 5.48 25.56  < 0.001
 III 42.59 25.26 71.80  < 0.001 34.47 18.12 65.60  < 0.001
Age at first visit to our institute
 < 6 Reference Reference
 6– < 12 2.80 0.55 14.34 0.216 2.45 0.60 9.91 0.210
 12– < 18 9.42 1.95 45.55 0.005 2.63 0.68 10.23 0.162
 ≥ 18 16.28 3.23 82.18 0.001 2.03 0.43 9.44 0.369
Regular prophylaxis at first visit to our institute
 No Reference Reference
 Yes 0.44 0.28 0.68  < 0.001 0.54 0.32 0.90 0.019
Laterality
 Right Reference Reference
 Left 0.80 0.58 1.11 0.187 0.91 0.58 1.42 0.675

Univariate and multivariable Cox analyses of factors associated with progression to hemophilic arthropathy, defined as reaching Arnold–Hilgartner stage ≥ IV. The multivariable model included joint site, Arnold–Hilgartner stage at initiation of regular prophylaxis, age at first visit to our institute, regular prophylaxis status at first visit to our institute, and laterality. Cox models were estimated using cluster-robust standard errors with participant as the clustering variable

HA hemophilic arthropathy, HR hazard ratio, CI confidence interval