Table 5.
Variable | Incremental Costs per LYS† | Incremental Costs per LYS‡ |
---|---|---|
Screen Ages 50–79 Years | Screen Lifetime from 50 yrs | |
Survival/treatment | ||
Current (nonidealized) | $40,629 | $98,821 |
Current and quality-adjusted | $71,756 | $114,915 |
Screening interval annual | $118,762 | $301,173 |
Discount rate 10% | $148,980 | $225,968 |
Incidence rate (risk) | ||
Twice average (high-risk) | $62,842 | $112,094 |
Half average (low-risk) | $195,664 | $298,126 |
Dwell times | ||
Shorter than average | $103,939 | $190,788 |
Longer than average | $155,865 | $368,801 |
Quality-adjusted§ | – | – |
Costs and effects discounted at 3%. All parameters are the same as in the base case except for the one variable noted.
Compared to stopping screening at age 70 (i.e., compared to screening from age 50 to 70).
Compared to stopping screening at age 79 (i.e., compared to screening from age 50 to 79).
Costs are the same as in the base case using LYS. Quality-adjusted life expectancy for extending screening from age 70 to age 79 results in a loss of life expectancy due to the long lead time relative to absolute improvements in survival and disutility of undergoing cancer treatment and living with the knowledge of cancer over the period from screen detection until death (combination of lead time and extended absolute survival).
LYS, life years saved.