Table 4.

Referral Probabilities for Community Family Physicians

Case Type	Likely to Refer*, % (n)	Almost Certainly Refer†, % (n)
Coronary artery disease, good outcome (N = 25)	44 (11)	20 (5)
Coronary artery disease, poor outcome (N = 45)	47 (21)	22 (10)
Coronary artery disease, either outcome (N = 70)	46 (32)	21 (15)
Coronary artery disease, unstable angina (N = 52)	81 (42)	62 (32)
Appendicitis, good outcome (N = 34)	88 (30)	62 (21)
Appendicitis, poor outcome (N = 21)	86 (18)	76 (16)
Appendicitis, either outcome (N = 55)	87 (48)	67 (37)
Cancer (N = 40)	78 (31)	43 (17)

^*Likely to refer: referral probability is 51% to 100%.

^†Almost certainly refer: referral probability is 90% to 100%.