Table 5.
Comparison of VA with Other Models (without Consideration of the Operative Procedure)
| Serious Complications | Severe Complications | Serious Complications Bootstrapped AUCs | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model | AUC | P Value | AUC | P Value | AUC | P Value |
| DVAMC | 0.70 ± 0.03 | — | 0.71 ± 0.04 | — | 0.67 ± 0.03 | — |
| Goldman et al.1 | 0.62 ± 0.03 | 0.033 | 0.66 ± 0.04 | 0.19 | 0.62 ± 0.03 | 0.025 |
| Detsky et al.3 | 0.64 ± 0.03 | 0.09 | 0.66 ± 0.04 | 0.17 | 0.63 ± 0.03 | 0.012 |
| Ashton et al.5 | 0.65 ± 0.03 | 0.10 | 0.67 ± 0.02 | 0.17 | 0.64 ± 0.03 | 0.096 |
| Lee et al.13 | 0.74 ± 0.03 | 0.22 | 0.73 ± 0.03 | 0.33 | 0.73 ± 0.03 | 0.053 |
Severe complications include cardiac death, myocardial infarction, alveolar pulmonary edema, cardiac arrest, nonfatal ventricular tachycardia, and fibrillation.
Serious complications include above plus unstable angina and new or worsened congestive heart failure without pulmonary edema.
AUC, area under the curve.
The AUC for the DVAMC model is the reference value with which all others are being compared.