. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2006 Jul 28.

Published in final edited form as: Ann Am Acad Pol Soc Sci. 2006 May 1;605(1):82–103. doi: 10.1177/0002716206286859

TABLE 2.

RESULTS FOR ΔHOMICIDE RATES AND 2000 HOMICIDE RATES REGRESSED ON POLITICAL CHANGE AND CONTROL VARIABLES (N = 78)

	Model 1: DV = ΔHomicide			Model 2: DV = ΔHomicide			Model 3: DV = ΔHomicide			Model 4: DV = 2000 Homicide
Variable	b	SE	p	b	SE	p	b	SE	p	b	SE	p
Constant	8.25	6.33	.196	9.24	6.13	.137	8.53	1.38	<.001	13.39	11.78	.260
Political change	—	—	—	0.79	0.32	.017	0.67	0.37	.075	1.71	0.59	.005
SE change	2.13	0.80	.009	2.06	0.77	.009	2.07	0.84	.015	—	—	—
Alcohol	0.19	0.05	<.001	0.18	0.04	<.001	—	—	—	0.43	0.08	<.001
Log education	-3.17	2.11	.139	-3.87	2.07	.065	—	—	—	-3.58	3.77	.346
Log urban	1.52	1.16	.195	1.78	1.13	.119	—	—	—	1.23	2.05	.549
Poverty	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.11	0.09	.227
East	6.59	1.81	<.001	8.48	1.91	<.001	7.85	2.16	.001	24.58	3.36	<.001
Adjusted R²		.41			.45			.25			.56

NOTE: DV = dependence variable; SE = socioeconomic