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. 2003 Apr 26;326(7395):901. doi: 10.1136/bmj.326.7395.901

Table 2.

 Estimated cumulative numbers of women in study population expected to develop, or die from, invasive cervical cancer during each test period and for further 15 years into future, without screening (adjusted rates) and with screening (unadjusted rates). Expected deaths with screening beyond 1996 assume 60% of deaths after 1996 are prevented by screening

1976-81
1981-86
1986-91
1991-6
1996-2001
2001-6
2006-11
All women
No at risk (cumulative total tested) 109 012 204 327 287 300 348 419 348 419 348 419 348 419
Cases:
 Without screening     85    271    594  1 038  1 527  2 130  2 774
 With screening     85    271    594    846
Deaths:
 Without screening     32     95    194    327    490    673    878
 With screening     32     95    194    300    365    439    521
1956-60 births
No at risk (cumulative total tested)  15 478  30 608  40 694 45 737 45 737 45 737 45 737
Cases:
 Without screening      2     23     76    173    249    371    538
 With screening      2     23     76    118
Deaths:
 Without screening      0      4     13     29     55     86    127
 With screening      0      5     13     24     35     47     64
HHS Vulnerability Disclosure