Table 1.
Accumulative Risk Function, ƒ(x) | Interpretation | Relative Risk, RR | Example |
Relative risk depends only on current exposure, with no contribution from past exposure. | Instantaneous poisoning as a result of exposure to high levels of toxic chemicals; injuries or death in accidents due to binge drinking; infection with Hepatitis B or C as a result of an infected injection | ||
ƒ(x) = 1 | Relative risk depends on the accumulated exposure (or average exposure if normalized with respect to exposure time), without any effects from the temporal distribution of exposure. | Cancer risk from life-time exposure to carcinogens which have no threshold level | |
Relative risk depends on current and past exposures. But the role of past exposure lasts for a limited time, K, and decline as a linear function of time. | |||
ƒ(x) = ea(t-T) | Relative risk depends on current and past exposures. But the role of past exposure decays as an exponential function of time. |
For simplicity of notation, in all these cases we assume that: 1) L = 0. Including a lag is straightforward and can be done by replacing t with (t - L) in the corresponding formulas; and 2) there is no threshold for exposure. Including the threshold level is also straightforward using the TRUE (x (t) ≥ X) function. In scenarios 1, 3, and 4, where the effects of past exposure declines over time, risk reversibility can take place if exposure is reduced or removed. In 1 there is immediate risk reversibility; in 3, there is full reversibility after time K; in 4, risk reversibility asymptotically reaches 100%. In scenario 2 there is no risk reversibility and the effects of past exposure remain for an indefinite period.