Table 2.
Transition matrix of changes in agro-ecological constraints to agriculture in sub-Saharan Africa, predicted by AEZ for the 2080s under scenario HadCM3-A1FI.
| reference climate | 1000 km2 | HadCM3-A1FI, 2080s | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no constraint | slight | moderate | severe | ||
| no constraint | 535 | 457 | 66 | 6 | 6 |
| slight | 2704 | 11 | 2395 | 262 | 36 |
| moderate | 6061 | 3 | 67 | 5379 | 612 |
| severe | 15 128 | 0 | 0 | 80 | 15 048 |
| 471 | 2528 | 5727 | 15 702 | ||
Current land conditions are summarized in the first column. The values in each row indicate, for each different land classes, the projected change to different conditions.