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. 2005 Oct 24;360(1463):2049–2065. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2005.1739

Figure 3.

Figure 3

Two scenarios of fraction of land under agriculture at 2100, consistent with the IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (Nakićenović et al. 2000). (a) Scenario ‘A1b’ (global population peaks mid-century; very rapid economic growth; more efficient technologies; advancements balanced across energy sources). (b) Scenario ‘A2’ (continuous population growth; fragmented, slower, regionally oriented economic growth). Scenarios from the IMAGE model (Alcamo et al. 1998); data supplied by Detlef van Vuuren, RIVM.