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. 2006 Oct;96(10):1752–1755. doi: 10.2105/AJPH.2005.075812

TABLE 2—

Results From Longitudinal Analysis on the Proportion of Firearm Suicides in 13 Countries

Model A: Unconditional Means Model Model B: Unconditional Growth Model Model C: Composite Model
Estimate (SE) P Estimate (SE) P Estimate (SE) P
Fixed effects
    Initial status interception) –1.82 (.30) > .001 –1.63 (.30) > .001 .431 (.316) .19
    Rate of change (time 0, 1, 2) –.198 (.07) .017 –.070 (.048) .24
    Suicide rate –.033 (.015) .052
    Proportions of households owning firearms 1.03 (.087) > .001
Variance components
    Within country .118 (.033) > .001 .026 (.010) .011 .029 (.012) .03
    In initial status 1.15 (.465) .014 1.14 (.457) .012 .089 (.050) .08
    In rate of change .053 (.026) .04 .014 (.015) .34
    Covariance –.010 (.077) .89 .031 (.031) .32
Goodness-of-fit
Deviance 71.7 53.0 12.1
Akaike’s information criterion –37.8 –30.5 –10.0
Bayesian information criterion –39.5 –33.8 –13.1